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London – The foreign policy of all American administrations has emphasized the values of democracy and human rights and the need to promote them. They have also introduced new elements in their policy in the Arab region, allocating part of the aid they provide to some countries in the region to civil society organizations, but this change has not reached the level of A well-defined policy.
After September 11, 2001, the neoconservatives in the United States formulated a foreign policy vision that preferred to use force to impose democratic institutions on persecuted people under the pretext of the inability of those under dictatorship to determine their fate, giving thus to foreign powers a moral obligation to improve their destiny rather than them.
The imperialist idea of democracy in the Middle East, which has been at the center of most US military activity for the past two decades, rests on the belief that the inhabitants of this vast region are culturally homogeneous and that their middle classes are politically powerful, that their citizens recognize their duties to one another, and that the social and institutional basis for democracy exists. .
The American model has been cracked
As a result of events in the United States over the past period, think tank analysts have entered into discussions on whether the United States will wreak havoc in the Arab world instead of extending the principles of democracy they adopt.
This debate comes as the weights suggest that President-elect Joe Biden’s administration will focus on restoring internal democracy and deterring the risks of real divisions and rebellion against the law and constitutional institutions in the country.
According to a risk assessment monitor prepared by the Arab Gulf Center for Studies and Research, the events the United States has known since the presidential elections last November would gradually diminish its historic balance in democratic practice and distort its reputation as a beacon for the spread of democracy around the world, setting a bad example to emulate.
The United States may offer the worst model of irresponsible and chaotic democracy
In a recent report, experts from the Center believe that in this situation, the United States could lose its recommendations to support democracy in the world if the insecurity of the security situation increases and the security situation increases. the collision between the regime’s forces and the divided people, fearing that the country could be drawn into internal repression, which has always been among the most critical in the world.
Since the establishment of its constitution, the United States has not witnessed a popular rebellion against constitutional institutions and the law, as it has witnessed in recent months, motivated by escalating hatred and violence. mutual racial discrimination, which was first pushed by black grassroots groups that protested last summer against the murder of a black citizen by white police and ended in riots.
Trump’s speeches later ignited after losing the right-wing fanatic groups to white supremacy, which stormed the Congress building, the stronghold of American democracy, in a message from anger over fears of kidnapping the racially diverse United States in exchange for the hope that the white segment of Americans would grow from a majority to a minority after just about two decades.
The demonstrations carried out by blacks or whites on more than one occasion in recent months have raised slogans of hatred and rebellion against the police, the law and the institutions, and posed a real threat to the unity between the components of society and US states, prompting reconsideration of measures that might restrict freedoms to deter the spread of chaotic behavior and riots to oppose policies. the government.
Perhaps the latest sign is what social media companies have launched to shut down Trump accounts on social media sites and the accounts of other prominent figures under the guise of inciting violence and hatred, which some view new restrictions on free speech in the virtual world with suspicion and fear.
Such a rare move can also hurt the United States’ record on freedoms, which American literature does not originally believe by putting a cap on it, and what the American communication platforms have done is considered by certain human rights organizations such as interference and restriction of freedom of expression, whatever its content, which makes the country lose, whatever the justifications, its first place. In support of rights and freedoms around the world.
The fate of the Arab region
Gulf Center for Studies and Research analysts believe it is possible that in the coming phase the United States will present the worst model of irresponsible and chaotic democracy supported by figures up to the rank of President of the United States , referring to Trump, who is threatened with trial for inciting chaos and hatred, and therefore the United States could issue a model Chaos Is In The World despite President Joe Biden’s promises to try to heal what Trump screwed up.
There is another hypothesis that emerges on the surface related to the reduction of direct intervention by Washington in the affairs of state, especially in matters of rights and freedoms, until the divide that has struck the edifice of internal American democracy, where it loses its symbolism as a platform for the free world.
Fears have grown since the start of the Biden era, coinciding with a frenzy in several countries around the world over popular criticism of government policies in handling the Corona crisis and accusations of placing the greatest burden on people with the economic and social cost of this crisis without prospects of compensation for the damage done to the weak classes, which could explode. Anger that could turn into demonstrations and riots sweeping countries around the world.
The region that is a candidate for protests and chaos seems to be the region of the Arab world, especially the countries of the so-called “Arab Spring” and also the poor and low-income countries, whose citizens are suffering from the reduced possibilities of positive change amid rising poverty, unemployment, early dropping out of education and inflation indicators.
The events that the United States has known since the presidential elections last November will undermine its historic balance in democratic practice and tarnish its reputation as a beacon for spreading democracy around the world.
Most Arab governments face real risks of an outbreak of chaos that could destroy stability threatened by a huge financial crisis unprecedented for the needs of citizens, as many governments are still grappling with the pandemic and are forced to pursue a complete closure for more than a year, exacerbating the collapse of development indicators and the specter of bankruptcy, as some countries’ debts have soared. Less than 90 percent.
Biden is likely to follow the same path as former President Barack Obama, particularly in selective intervention in government policies through Washington’s influence over global financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund. and the World Bank, which increases a worrying view of American policies in Arab countries on the basis of new negotiating conditions.
Washington’s interventions to support stability in a number of countries may be ineffective given the policy of supporting most parties, especially those that are popular in their country, as Biden’s policy, if it is inspired by Obama’s approach, may not intend to pursue the direct exclusion of political parties in favor of other parties, as the democratic administration always does. The method of negotiation with most of the parties, which in most cases leads to the crisis being prolonged without resolving it.
The large Arab countries do not count on the American decision in the coming phase, especially the Gulf countries, given the return of the global policy of negotiation and the imposition of a policy of double treatment with friends and enemies. according to the evolution of interests.
In light of the expectation of protests sparked by economic and social conditions, especially in countries around the world, much of which is under pressure to recover from the heavy impact of the Corona pandemic, fears of chaos and l infiltration of terrorism increases in light of the expected inability of some governments to meet the demands of a large part of the popular layers and lead to a collision with the regimes, this is what the service reports expect American intelligence.
But the greatest fear might be the possibility of American handling of Arab crises in the same way that the Obama administration intervenes in the biggest crises in the Arab world in modern history, known as the “Arab Spring”. in 2011.
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