There is no guarantee for Arab stability without powerful opponents capable of negotiating and governing: strong opposition is the condition of the stability of Arab states



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The Arab region does not lack strong governments, but powerful opponents capable of forming governments. The international community must bet on stronger opposition than strong governments to ensure stability. Max Galen's analysis.

"Investing in stability" is the title of the final declaration of the first top Which took place in the last week of February 2019, in the Egyptian city of Sharm el-Sheikh. For years, stability has been the main objective of the international community in North Africa, particularly because of the concerns of immigration, terrorism and states collapsing at the gates of the world. # 39; Europe.

Thus, stability is at the center of development policy and cooperation in the security sector – while diplomacy is often tolerated for human rights violations. This policy is fundamentally misunderstood by what stability means in North Africa – and is therefore likely to contribute actively to the destabilization of the region.

It is recognized in Europe that the North African region is stable as long as its states manage to maintain the status quo. However, this region is affected by large-scale demographic and economic changes, with the collapse of old social contracts between leaders and peoples and the disappearance of the traditional regime of authoritarian elites. In recent months, protest movements have been symptomatic of these structural problems.

Therefore, stability in North Africa can not mean that the status quo is maintained at all costs, but that the region must have institutions that create these changes and can negotiate. To this end, the region needs not only strong states and governments, but also strong opposition.

The state needs opposition

In this context, Morocco provides a clear example. Morocco has for many years been a powerful partner, an island of stability for neighbors in difficulty.

While every opposition has been questioned internally about the power of minors to be oppressed or captured. It is true that it was an effective strategy for dealing with opposition movements, but not for dealing with the problems that are increasingly isolating the Moroccan people from their government: corruption, police violence and social inequalities.

The West can not consider the suppression of opposition movements by local Arab governments as a "sad but necessary" price for stability, as this ensures that there are no partners to negotiate peaceful changes and destabilizing. – Max Galin}

In recent months, demonstrations have occurred on several occasions in economically vulnerable areas, such as the Rif Mountains or the Jaradah. There have been campaigns for more women's rights in social media. The chants of state repression have been heard from beaches at Moroccan football stadiums.

The collapse of old social contracts between leaders and peoples

As a result of the crackdown, protest movements in Morocco have multiplied. This is also due to the increasing abandonment of these manifestations by clear leadership structures, in order to avoid repression. Thus, the Moroccan state has no more opposition to negotiate.

The social media boycott of three companies accused of corruption and price manipulation across the country is an example. The absence of a clear hierarchy allowed a great mobilization because the arrest of the organizers of this province was impossible.

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