What are the effects of the Afghan event in the Arab world?

Of course, this is a big question that arises today in governmental and popular Arab circles, after the return to power of the Taliban movement in Afghanistan. It may seem to some that the geographical remoteness of the Arab world limits the avenues of influence and influence, and this is true to some extent, but what made the relationship between the two parties special and reduced the distance geographical, it is the eighties of the last century, then the stage of jihad to liberate this country.
In the midst of this scene, many young Arabs joined in this march, and Arab governments were also involved to support this act with money and weapons, and to encourage the men to go to Afghanistan. And because this is the first arena in which the Arab youth fought directly and widely, with Arab and international blessing, and this act received the character of heroism, and because the fighting was in a camp and with a religious dimension, the conditions of combat were clearly reflected on them, and there was a significant change in their mood, and their behavior became general, a clear military behavior, which values ​​the confrontation with the West and the allied regimes, and defines solutions to all problems through combat. The idea of ​​jihad also developed and spread, and local arenas moved to international arenas, and targeting shifted from near enemy to distant enemy.
Writings have emerged from the combat trenches in Afghanistan examining and educating this thinking in this direction, which have been very popular and widely disseminated in many Arab arenas. A new dimension has also entered in this direction, which is the emergence of Al Qaeda in this period, which embodied much of this thought in its behavior, until September 11, 2001, after which the United States declared the world war on terrorism, and made Afghanistan After that, Iraq was the main battleground of this war, so Afghanistan and the stage of the conflict in which it took place are become an icon that many fighters are eager to repeat elsewhere. With the return of many young Arabs to their countries after the defeat of Soviet forces, clues began to emerge of attempts to confront local governments and seek to change them by force. The desire to target foreign assets has also manifested itself in these countries. Today, after the Taliban movement has returned to power in a historic armed struggle against the greatest power in history … and after all the United States has spent nearly ninety billion dollars to arm and train the Afghan armed forces, it collapsed without any resistance against the advance of Taliban fighters towards the camps. And the headquarters of this army, and the flight of the Afghan government in the person of its president, on whom s ” supported the United States, and in light of the romantic idea that Afghanistan represents in the minds of movements in the Arab world, in particular Salafi jihadism, the Afghan event must be for them the greatest dose hope and a great bundle of confidence. It will also be a great lesson that will teach them to be patient, persevering and to achieve their goals. It is true that the situation is different today in the Arab countries than it was in the 80s, because there is no push for the concept of jihad as there was then. , and there is no more support in this direction, neither Arab regimes encourage or urge fatwas, but the influence and victory of the Taliban movement They will have repercussions on the Arab political and social scene, because the forces that have been defeated by the Taliban still dominate the region and their allies in the eyes of this current, and the equation which says that the forces of external intervention are incapable of changing the balance of social forces, when these forces have a popular incubator and an iron will, the Taliban established it as a new reality on the ground, after it was just idealistic ideas and a utopian ideology that some have underestimated. Thus, the transformations that have taken place towards Islamic movements, by the Arab regimes which supported the idea of ​​jihad in the 1980s, and which changed course from support to the monitoring and surveillance of these movements, until ‘qualification as an enemy, the Afghan event will have a great impact on these regimes in two directions. The first is the fear of the return of Afghanistan as a refuge for these movements. The second seems certain, it is the horror that afflicted these regimes from the American position. It is no longer easy to digest to say that the United States is a reliable partner, after the scene seemed the regime they were protecting in Kabul, when it chose to negotiate with the Taliban, without involving the Afghan government , nor inform him of what had been agreed, so that the next step in our Arab region could be that of the movement of the security services, and the use of violence as a means of preventing an intellectually inspired state and practice of the Afghan experience by the political opposition, especially the Islamic one, but it would be gross short-sightedness if this trend is seen as the only option for Arab governments to break through the status quo. There is another path in which we can invest to get out of the situation of expected reactions to the Afghan event, which is the path to a peaceful solution to the political difficulties encountered by the Arab reality, but how?

The extent of contradictions and conflicts runs very deep in the Arab region, and the problem with the official Arab regime is that security directs and shapes its policies, not the other way around.

We know that politics does not know stability, and that is a mass of variables, and because the current evaluation stage, at least, says that there are future risks, and that current policies have produces a blockage on the horizon, and have no significant gains. Here, it becomes necessary to change the internal policies of certain Arab regimes, to review their foreign policies and priorities, to open up to all oppositions, including local Islamic movements, human development, the expansion of political partnership, the abandonment of state property, the resolution of inter-problems in the Arab world. environment, and move away from Patching’s policies in countries suffering from real crises that affect the political legitimacy of their governments in Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen, Syria and Libya. All of these are safe exits to get through the next security earthquake in Afghanistan and its aftermath, which was preceded by the economic devastation caused by the Corona outbreak. It has also become urgent for the Arab strategic mind to ask, what have the Arab regimes gained from all the miserable policies they have practiced? What are the gains? And what are the losses?
The extent of contradictions and conflicts runs very deep in the Arab region, and the biggest problem with the official Arab regime is that security often directs and shapes its policies, not the other way around. Therefore, it often facilitates the security solution to get out of political and social obstacles, in the sense that it does not use persuasion as a means of carrying out internal policies and applying the law. This behavior strips him of his legitimacy, so the people challenge him, and he will meet this popular challenge by resorting to material force and oppression, believing that it leads to submission.
Iraqi writer and professor of international relations