SEIA and Wood Mackenzie announce 10-year forecast for solar CTI extension



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An extension of the Solar Energy Investment Tax Credit (SIC) would generate $ 87 billion in new private sector investment and add 113,000 US jobs compared to baseline estimates. here 2030, according to the 10-year forecast published by the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) and Wood Mackenzie Energy and Renewable Energy.

The forecast comes as SEIA steps up its efforts to get an ITC extension to Congress and that nearly 20,000 solar and storage professionals land in Salt Lake City for Solar Power International.

"These forecasts prove that an extension of the ITC will continue to deliver real results for our economy and for the planet," said Abigail Ross Hopper, President and CEO of SEIA. "The ITC has allowed us to add billions of dollars to the economy, employ thousands of Americans and be a real solution for cities and businesses that want to do their part to reduce emissions. We ask members of Congress to take this winning climate now. It is not necessary to wait for a complete solution to act on our energy future. "

Key Forecast Data:

  • With an extension of the ITC, annual investment in solar energy would reach $ 41 billion by 2030, more than 141% from the $ 17 billion invested in 2018 .
  • An extension of the ITC would compensate for an additional 363 million tonnes of CO2 emissions over the next 10 years, which equates to 21% of all emissions from electricity generation at the same time. United States in 2018.
  • By 2030, the annual offsets will be equivalent to eliminating the emissions of 93 coal-fired power plants.
  • The 82 GW of additional capacity generated by an ITC extension is enough to power more than 15 million US homes.

Wood Mackenzie Power & Renewables developed capacity forecasts, while SEIA extrapolated these data to develop additional analysis.

"The utility segment will derive the greatest benefit from the extension of tax credit, with 63 of the 82 additional GW coming from this segment, as solar energy will gain ground relative to the others. production resources based on price competitiveness, "said Colin Smith, Senior Analyst. with Wood Mackenzie.

Austin Perea, senior analyst at Wood Mackenzie, added: "The distributed solar energy sector will also benefit as an extension of tax credit accelerates the time frame for emerging markets to reach parity. the network compared to our benchmark prospects. "

Since its inception in 2006, ITC has helped create more than 200,000 US jobs, an additional $ 140 billion in private sector investment, and a 10,000% increase in deployment. Solar energy.

The solar CTI is currently expected to start retiring by the end of this year, with the commercial system credit falling to a permanent 10% in 2022 and the residential system credit fully eliminated.

Read the 2019 solar CSI impact analysis report here and learn more about SEIA's campaign to extend the solar investment tax credit to www.seia.org/DefendTheITC.

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