"Towards an ENERGY crisis and a war against Iran?"

The United States threatens to completely isolate Iranian oil, which would deprive Tehran of its main source of income and the world of large quantities of hydrocarbons. Washington merchant with India and China to try to arrange them on his side. What would happen to the world if Donald Trump got his way? Iran exports significant quantities of oil, which will be difficult to to replace . Its exports rose in April to 2.62 million barrels a day and reached a new record at 2.7 million barrels in May, before slightly back down in June at 2.61 million barrels. According to June information, China, India on Japan and South Korea imported from Iran in total 1.8 million barrels . In other words, Asian countries account for nearly 70% of all Iranian oil exports.

" The abandonment of Iranian oil exports would create a huge deficit in the market and the price of oil. barrel would fly . The cessation of all exports would be harmful for Iran and its leaders, "says the expert of the Foundation for National Energy Security Igor Yushkov . No wonder, then, that Tehran took out its trump by threatening radical measures – namely blocking the Strait of Hormuz through which at least 20% of world oil passed. Obviously, Iran would do it only if it had no other choice, because the consequences would be disastrous .

This would cause a shortage in the world oil market, and a crisis energy even worse than 1973 burst. The world would not only be deprived of Iranian oil: oil could no longer leave Kuwait, LNG would no longer leave Qatar, and Saudi Arabia would not be able to export its hydrocarbons either. This would logically result from a US military strike against Tehran. "All states Sunni and Israel would support it. That would be the end of Iran in its current form, "adds the expert.

This time, the US insists on the total ban on Iranian oil exports. Which was not the case last times that Iran had been hit by the sanctions. Similar sanctions to 2012 would not have as much effect on Iran today, that's why the US wants to lean India and China from their side . Moreover, the experts do not believe the total isolation of Iranian oil. "Asian countries continued to import Iranian oil even under previous sanctions. And today, there is no evidence that Europe will give up Iranian imports, "said Vassili Tanourkov, deputy director of ACRA. Moreover, this whole story could finally prove to be beneficial for China. "When Europeans and Americans leave the Iranian market, China will establish itself even more on the Iranian oil market and in all the other economic sectors " , concludes Igor Yushkov.