Sub-Saharan Africa: Strong growth in agricultural production expected by 2027



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The OECD and FAO expect "high growth of agricultural production" in sub-Saharan Africa by 2027, with a 30% increase in crop production and 25% in meat production, although this growth is insufficient to ensure food security.

This increase will be accompanied by an "expansion of cultivated areas for maize, soybeans and sugar cane", according to the report "Agricultural Prospects 2018-2027" presented Tuesday by the two international institutions.

Sub-Saharan Africa will experience a "general rise in productivity" with the use of "fertilizers, pesticides, improved seeds, and mechanization and irrigation technologies," he says.

However, this growth will not ensure food security in the region because of "growing consumption needs" due to population growth.

"Strong" growth is also expected for cotton (+ 33%) in this region, sugar cane (+ 18%) and sugar (+ 34%) while fish production is expected to increase by 12%.

Despite the rapidity of these increases, sub-Saharan Africa will contribute less than 5% of world sugar and sugar cane production by 2027.

 The armyworm, a scourge of crops in Africa (AFP - Thomas SAINT-CRICQ, Kun TIAN)

The armyworm, scourge of cultures in Africa (AFP – Thomas SAINT-CRICQ, Kun TIAN)

The authors of the report are also worried about colonies autumn armyworms that have recently appeared in 28 African countries "with potentially serious repercussions for crops of maize, rice, sorghum, sugarcane, and soya".

At the global level, the report also notes that the demand for animal feed will continue to grow "faster than the demand for human food due to the intensification of animal husbandry".

China will be responsible for much of this growth, because of the high demand for meat.

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