It threatens the GRIP, which would take up to 200 million people

Scientists say that influenza viruses remain under control and that a new pandemic could easily destroy the world's population, reports the BBC.

Given the trend of mutation of the virus and its constant presence in the wild, occurs naturally in wild water birds, Experts agree that a new type of virus will only appear as a matter of time – as infectious and deadly as the Spanish flu and maybe even a mountain..

Recall that in 4 months, the Spanish flu, considered the most deadly in the history of medicine, has spread worldwide and that about 5% of the population was dead. The causative agent was a subtype of H1N1 avian influenza and caused the death of people in a few hours to several days.

"The flu pandemic is like earthquakes, hurricanes, or tsunamis – you never know how strong it will be," said Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at Minnesota Depot.

"The idea that it will not be repeated in 1918 is stupid"He says, although it should be impossible to predict, but at least we can guess.

The reality is that the virus will come out safely. Once that happens, it will go around the world and, given the mobility of people, will end up in different parts of the world in a few weeks, "said the professor of epidemiology and biostatistics, adding: "An infected patient transmits the virus one day before he feels the first symptoms himself."

Given that the number of people on the planet has more than quadrupled in the last 100 years, there will likely be more deaths.

If it killed 50 million people in 1918, this time there could be more than 200 million deaths worldwide.

"That's a lot of dead bags, the first thing that could happen is that they will soon be missing," says prof. Чуэл.

"Today, we do not have enough antivirals for the richest country in the world, and that 's America, so what can they do for? wait for India, China or Mexico? " He also says that the drugs we have are less effective.

If a pandemic similar to that of 1918 were to occur today, cities around the world would probably be affected by a collapse. Companies and schools would be closed; public transportation would not work; electricity would be cut off and corpses piled up in the streets. The supply of life-saving foods and drugs, including diabetes, heart disease and immunosuppressive drugs, would be discontinued.

The huge loss of young and middle aged people could endanger the global economy in this case.

Despite all the bad news, there is still a chance of rescue: a universal flu vaccine.

"Studies are in progress, so we hope that the vaccine will be ready by the time such a virus appears, so far we have not achieved it," says Prof. Webster.