Simulated draft based on the analysis: Quinnen Williams to Cards; QBs fall

School: Alabama | Year: Junior (RS)

In Alabama last season, Williams recorded eight sacks and 71 tackles (19.5 for loss). If we take a closer look, we find that, despite double playing at the highest SEC rate, he was the most effective home defender, BOTH, in stopping the race (42 saves, mostly among home defenders, by Pro Football Focus) and in defense. the pass (56 pressures per PFF, also the highest in his position group). As I told you, I create a model for several seasons and Williams ranks among the top five of the sample for his position compared to predictions of previous players. Also remember that when passes – especially fast passes – become more common, the value of this position increases. Williams' multiple abilities would help the
The Cardinals are targeting their worst Red Zone smuggling rank and the percentage of success allowed last season (122.5% and 73.7%). Setting aside the long-term implications of what Arizona has decided to do with the quarterback position, my model has allowed Arizona to win more games.
in 2019 with the holder
Josh Rosen from QB and Williams on the team that with
Kyler Murray starting QB and no first-round upgrade will be defended.

School: Georgia | Year: Senior

Do you remember when I said that I did not allow myself to do trades? Well, this choice is an example of where a team
could trade down, probably always the same player and reap a harvest in terms of additional choices. I guess people will be a little shocked by a corner placed in second position, but listen to me. Veterans Acquisitions
Dee Ford and
Kwon Alexander has changed the potential of the Niners. Adding Baker means realizing the value at the NFL of a player who showed Georgia that he could be effective in several regimes, possess speed measured by elite gaming and, according to PFF, only allowed 10 first tries (and no touchdowns) last season. Baker's projected contribution to the NFL creates the kind of front-back defensive balance that has proven most correlated to victories. The Niners defense posted the lowest mark in a season in the history of the NFL in the draw (seven) and interceptions (two) last season. The addition of Baker here makes all his other investments (including the signing of the Veterans Corner
Richard Sherman last season) the most effective and efficient.

School: Ohio State | Year: Junior

There are a lot of well documented positives about this striker, but I can add one that could be more unique: In his last two seasons (17 games), according to my model, not only has he been a disruptive elite, but he has done it since the widest range of spaces on the ground (think: hit the tackles on the outside and slide inside to beat the guards).

School: Kentucky | Year: Junior

the
The Raiders' defense only managed 13 sacks last season, the least in the NFL. Project the
The Raiders' defensive statistics next season with Allen on the wire show that he alone could account for more than half of his total last year's sacks; in 61% of the simulations too early, he wins more than 7 bags.

School: LSU | Year: Junior

Kwon Alexander signed in San Francisco, which further impoverishes a defense that allowed the worst 110.9e passer of the league last season. Adding the most powerful linebacker of my model – and one with the highest coverage potential at the next level – moves the
The largest number of buccaneers needles. Regardless of the analysis, I interviewed 10 individual sources belonging to 10 different teams – I only ask questions in the field – and all strove to give rave reviews "of the personality". Of the approximately 100 people I've interviewed in this draft class, White is the one I've heard about having the most positive "intangible assets".

School: Michigan | Year: Junior

Gary's curriculum vitae in Michigan points it out more like a
exceptional athlete that & # 39; a
Day 1 star in the NFLbut the strong point here is that his role in New York would be somewhat indefinite and give him some leeway to maximize his capabilities. Gary covered more ground on average in the first 2 seconds after the decommissioning of the ball than any other player in his Big Ten position in the last two seasons – but that's not the case. translated by higher bag and pressure rates. , although. the
The giants exchanged
Olivier Vernon and seem to be rebuilding under coordinator James Bettcher. Helping Gary achieve his potential (and ultimately not less) gives them the best ROI for the sixth choice.

School: Florida | Year: Junior

With
Cam Robinson coming back from a torn ACL to play on the left attack, my model projects the addition of Taylor to the right, where he played in Florida. This will go a long way towards reducing the pressure and the total bag size of the Jags, with a new quarter
Nick Foles takes the reins. Jacksonville has cleared 53 sacks last season (tied for 29th in the NFL).

School: LSU | Year: Junior

Detroit added a defensive end
Trey Flowers to a unit that also includes the corner half
Darius Slay, and my model shows that combining Flowers and Slay with this corner half results in the biggest increase in the number of wins for the
The Lions. The straight-line speed measured by the game of Williams, which remained with the receivers (measured by computer vision) during his time at LSU, and the disturbance caused by the blocking of the receivers of the melee line make a strategic adjustment.

School: Clemson | Year: Senior

the
Bills' defense lost the third-lowest rush per game last season (4.86) and was one of four teams to allow 5 yards or less per game in the first attempt (4.97). After the retirement of Kyle Williams, it is essential to strengthen the position of defensive tackle. Clemson's ability to stop the race and defend the pass earned him a top-three finish at home last season by PFF.

School: Alabama | Year: Junior

My model really likes Williams as a good tackle. I know that Denver just invested in a right tackle (Ja & Wuan James) free investment, and I also have custody for Williams. But the combination of Williams right tackle and
Garett Bolles at the left attack creates the best opportunity for QB
Joe Flacco and the passing game to succeed. According to PFF, Williams only allowed 12 presses in Alabama last season.

School: Michigan | Year: Junior

There is a significant gap between the two linebackers named Devin and the rest of the linebacker's field. In the light of veteran LB
After the departure of Vontaze Burfict, Cincinnati added the linebacker with the best ability to help reduce the pressure by pushing the passer in a hurry (10 sacks in the last two seasons) and cover (11 defensive passes in the last two seasons).

School: Iowa | Year: Junior (RS)

S addressing their defense during the off season, via the signatures of
Za & Darius Smith,
Preston Smith and
Adrian Amos, has created many options for the
Packers, for example, negotiate this choice. Nevertheless, if Green Bay sticks to selection # 12, Hockenson could be attractive. He let only one goal go on 51 targets last season (by PFF), and his resume in Iowa positions him as a potential generational talent.

School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior (RS)

I do not think that will happen, because in reality Murray probably will not be available yet. But I can see what the model was doing here. For a team with many areas to focus on, Murray's ability to run the ball makes the difference (Murray racked up 1,001 yards on 140 attempts last season, 7.2 yards at a time with 12 touchdowns); as a more mobile and precise quarterback, his talent for creation would make him a good fit behind the dubious line of Miami.

School: Houston | Year: Junior

With
Deion Jones and
Keanu Neal returning from injury, placing Oliver next to
Grady Jarrett completely changes the space in which the offenses would take place in the middle of the field. Considering the
The Falcons dropped the most yards in the first try last season (132.6). This selection would be particularly useful in NFC South; Last season, all NFC South teams had at least 100.5 receiving yards on the first try, putting them in the top half of the NFL.

School: State of Mississippi | Year: Senior (RS)

With
Preston Smith, now Packer, Sweat Project offers the best return on investment, based on Sweat status as the best forward rusher and hybrid of players still available here. the
The Redskins defense gave the fourth highest conversion percentage in third down (43.9) last season.

School: Washington State | Year: Senior (RS)

My computer vision statistics reveal that Dillard has much better results in terms of protection of the passages compared to the configuration of the race. Dillard is likely to succeed in one or the other position.

School: Clemson | Year: Junior

The addition of Lawrence to the team helps fill the void left by
Damon Harrison's trade at the
Lions last October. Lawrence's profile is that of a "real" nose-tackler, except with more speed. Yes, he posted a 40-yard dash in 6.40 inches and 5.02 seconds, but I'm talking more about his gaming speed measured by computer vision.

School: State of Mississippi | Year: Junior

We do not have a specific schedule for Simmons' return from
the torn LCA that he suffered in February, however, it is certainly possible that he recovers in time to play during his rookie season. Yes, my model really focuses on wins
this season – which means we are a bit confused by the way we got here. Here's how: with
Sheldon Richardson signed in Cleveland, the need for the
Vikings at this position are increasing. With the presence of an already formidable defense, the opportunity to get Simmons even for six games places them in a total range of playoff victories.

School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior

My wide list of recipients is very different from that of many other project analysts and I am a little disappointed that Brown is the only receiver to participate in the first round here. No receiver in a Power-Five school had more yards after contact with the contact. (It's not just the yards after the shot, we're talking about yards after the shots that have been challenged or have been in contact with a tackling attempt.)

School: Washington | Year: Sophomore (RS)

Corner is such a strong need for the
Steelers whose turns are even lower than Murphy create the biggest gain for the
Steelers.

School: N.C. State | Year: Senior (RS)

Inside the
The Seahawks line is a major area of ​​potential improvement, and the North Carolina State Center is the top rated here.

School: Kansas State | Year: Senior (RS)

the
The O-line of the Texans was my lowest-rated O-line of last season. Risner was a four-year starter at Kansas State and provides the kind of pass and run protection at the tackling station that will help optimize QB
The effectiveness of Deshaun Watson.

School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior (RS)

the
The O line of the Raiders was problematic last season – and it was before
Kelechi Osemele was traded. Free Signatory
Trent Brown would be better matched to the left tackle by adding a straight upgrade (even with the first leg of the first round 2018)
Kolton Miller on the list), where this product from Oklahoma is expected to be most successful.

School: State of Mississippi | Year: Senior

Defensive back flags as the area where the
The eagles have the greatest need. Mississippi State Security Projects Go Good With The State of Mississippi
Malcolm Jenkins in a hybrid security role. My favorite note about it: During his stay in the state of Mississippi, Abram got the most positive results from all the safety measures of this water pull (measured by disturbing the catch and limiting the number of yards after taking) when he was asked to defend the slot.

School: Florida State | Year: Junior

At Florida State last season, Burns recorded the third highest number of pitfalls (66, by PFF). Measured by my computer vision, Burns covered the third highest number of yards per game in 2 seconds or less among VAC defenders.

School: Temple | Year: Senior

The spot in front of
Gareon Conley is very important for the
The Raiders' total wins, once the pass and O-line are improved. Ya-Sin's game speed and ball tracking scores are high. He was not asked to play at college as often as the other players in this draft, but he would still be starting for the first day for Oakland.

School: Delaware | Year: Senior

Adderley + Derwin James = bravo for the other teams. Delaware's security offers strong coverage at the NFL level.

School: Notre Dame | Year: Senior

The move to 4-3 means more opportunities for inner pressure to change the game. The impact of Notre Dame's interior on Taillery, especially next to
Chris Jones, will help offset the loss of
Dee Ford, himself responsible for 10 turnovers last season.

School: State of Mississippi | Year: Senior (RS)

The addition inside the offensive line is the next most powerful move of the
The packers could do if the project shook like that. Central Mississippi would really help a line that allowed 53 bags (tied for third in the NFL). PFF estimates that Jenkins allows just five total pressures in 369 assists last season.

School: Alabama | Year: Junior (RS)

the
Rams added free security
Eric Weddle this off season, and safety in Alabama would be a great complement. This is another example of a hybrid security project, and coordinator Wade Phillips is exactly the right teacher to get the most out of it. A big trend reflected in my model is the evolution of the security position. This is a great example, because for another team, Thompson would be more of a "real" free security. But as offenses evolve, changing the tight end and backhand roles, and relying more on short, fast passes, security roles also evolve.

School: Ohio State | Year: Sophomore (RS)

If you think I suggest
Tom Brady does not play, think again. Shifts are underestimated. Consider that 16 teams –
half of the NFL – used several quarterbacks last season. In addition, I followed teams that have beginner level backups and solid development plans for future players, and they earn more games. Non-beginners who have similar play-style profiles to beginners also have higher success rates, and in that sense, the Haskins Pocket Pass.