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When Donald Trump spoke for the first time to Russian President Vladimir Putin after becoming US President, he denounced the "new start" – a pillar of gun control – as a bad deal for him. # 39; America. Two of them will meet on Monday in Helsinki, and they should discuss the possibility of extending this agreement until 2026 and what it is worth to make of another pact, the Treaty on Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces (INF).
Former US officials, arms control experts and diplomats do not expect a decision on the renewal of New Start or the INF Treaty in Helsinki but rather, at best, an agreement for experts. [19659003"LerésultatleplusprobableestleredémarragedespourparlerssurlastabilitéstratégiqueentrelesEtats-UnisetlaRussie"adéclaréFrankRoseanciensecrétaired'Etatadjointaméricainaucontrôledesarmementsauthinktankdel'InstitutiondeBrookings[19659004]. Russian talks on "Strategic Stability" – a catch-all term for nuclear arms control issues – was canceled in September and a subsequent round planned for March was canceled, reflecting tensions in the relationship.
They say that they are tackling a major problem, a result that analysts believe could appeal to the two leaders' egos, while leaving lower-level officials with the care of their own. To attack the problem.
Moscow interfered in the 2016 US elections, the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014 and support for separatists in eastern Ukraine, which triggered US sanctions , and their participation on the opposite sides of the Syrian civil war. Russian diplomats insisted on the need for strategic negotiations on stability, saying that existing arms control treaties are frayed and that they fear Washington will withdraw from the nuclear arms treaty.
& # 39; Long pants & # 39;
"The idea of dealing with the United States as equals in this area of nuclear weapons, where Russia is the only other party in the world comparable to the United States, has some appeal ( in Moscow), "said a former senior US official.
"(He) appeals to their sense of dealing with us as equals, as the other party who wears long pants on these issues," the former official, who spoke under the cover of anonymity, added. 9003] Historically, arms control has been an area in which Washington and Moscow have been able to talk to each other even though their broader relationship is in tatters.
U.S. The ambassador to Russia, Jon Huntsman, told reporters that Trump and Putin would probably discuss INF and New Start, but that they would not be forced to enter into agreements
. According to Kremlin spokesman Yuri Ushakov, the summit could produce a joint statement outlining the steps that both countries will take to maintain international stability and security.
New Start, signed in 2010, requires both countries to reduce The treaty, which also limits deployed land and submarine missiles and nuclear-capable bombers, expires in February 2021. It can be extended for five years if both sides
A US official said that Trump would be ready to talk about New Start if Putin raised it, but it was not a high priority of the United States.
The INF Treaty, signed in 1987, required the arms control experts to assert that there is a delicate interplay between how the United States can handle the two treaties.
A second former senior US official argued that Russia needed New Start to be more extensive than the United States, partly because of its budget constraints, and feared that Trump would accept that without requiring the government to start. Russian agreement on the INF pact. The worst result is … that Trump thinks he's a great craftsman and a great weapons controller … (and gives Putin something that Putin needs a lot more than us, "said L & # 39, former officer on condition of anonymity. [19659003] Since 2014, the United States asserts that Russia violated the NIF Treaty by developing the cruise missile system launched on the ground by the SSC. 8. In 2017, Washington said that Moscow had not only developed but deployed the missile, threatening US allies of NATO and US forces in Europe.
While there are Reports published, Trump aspires to be an arms control negotiator.In addition, Trump has operated under the shadow of suspicion on the links of his campaign in Moscow, which are being studied by Special Adviser Robert Mueller. 19659003] "The problem is that there is so little confidence in In this case, the President will make any suggestion of an agreement by him automatically suspect, "said Eugene Rumer, a former US national intelligence officer for Russia at Carnegie Endowment in Washington.
Rumer suggested that Helsinki could give something like the Trump meeting in June with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, who issued a general statement on denuclearization and left the details to others.
"They can agree to engage in a solid conversation," he added. "Similar to what apparently happened in Singapore … the heavy burden is going to be on the part of the negotiators."
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