American disorder | Opinion | thenews.com.pk



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The attempts of US President Donald Trump to shake up America (which, he says, equates to making America even more beautiful) have persisted without any end in sight. In less than two years in the public service, he has managed to dominate politicians, the media and people with his views on policies, alliances and longstanding trade agreements.

Trump questioned the two pillars of the new US-led and post-war world order: NATO and free trade. In the past, American diplomats in Pakistan believed that there was never a moment of boredom in Pakistan's politics. There was always something going on. This view is now true for the United States, where the president's tweets set the agenda for televised debates, giving policy makers an opportunity to react and Trump's supporters to defend his position. . Despite major protests against him, Trump still enjoys the support of 45% of the white American population

People in developing countries who witnessed dictatorial regimes feared the anger of their leaders. Now, Americans worry about their president in the same way that the Pakistani people fear General Ziaul Haq's approach to women's rights, minorities and the constitution. They remain worried about what he will do next. Analysts and media gurus have trouble describing Trump's agenda – foreign and domestic. Some elements of the Democratic Party think that he is a "Russian agent".

At a rally in Washington against the separation of migrant families seeking asylum in the United States, an activist commented that: "[The] Americans should [the] lawfully". call [out] Congress when it fails to perform … a constitutional amendment is necessary. "She added that" this constituency is a great joke … the Senate [is] unequal and has more power than the Ordinary Citizens. "

The issues that she has raised are central to the debate over how the current constituency electors, especially in larger cities where Republicans have a limited base of support. remain speechless when asked what they think of Trump's presidency.They consider it a "clumsy move" for the United States and its values.

Trump does not not devised a new path for the covenant s American foreign and security policy. He openly questioned the agenda of the alliance and free trade after the Second World War, which was reinforced by the process of globalization. It seems that the world's largest economic and military power derives no benefit from globalization centered on free trade and its security alliance – mainly NATO.

Others are looking for a method to Trump's madness. "[We] believes [that] that he is a negotiator, successful businessman [who will] do [the] best for the United States," remarked a Wisconsin worker who was fired by the American manufacturer Harvey Davis, who moves his business abroad following sanctions imposed by China, Canada and the EU.

Many believe that the Republican Party has become the "Trump Party" and has lost its support base to it. Whoever gets Trump's approval has a chance to win the election. Some key leaders – like Tennessee's Bob Corker – who do not agree with the president have decided to put an end to their political career, fearing their defeat without the support of Trump. The Republican Party loses some of its followers. House Speaker Paul Ryan has already announced his decision to withdraw from politics

The United States will not isolate itself. This is absolutely out of the question. Its production and consumption depend heavily on multilateral trade agreements, as 25% of its GDP includes imports and exports. An economy that exports $ 2.3 trillion can not sustain and grow without foreign markets. The United States imports $ 2.8 trillion worth of goods and services – more than any other country or regional grouping.

Interestingly, Mexico, Canada and the EU responded to Trump's tariffs. They do not follow a policy of collective punishment of the US economy, but instead target products made in states where Trump's support base remains high. Wisconsin, which voted for Trump, suffered as motorcycle manufacturers move factories abroad and fire workers. Thus, the reaction to Trump's commercial tariffs has been calculated politically. Many view these tariffs as "Trump-era phenomena", and not as a long-term US policy.

There is no indication that Trump's commercial tariffs are intended to reduce the US trade imbalance and bring back employment. It is also an interesting dichotomy that immigration is opposed by majority white states where the presence of immigrants is limited compared to larger cities. Trump's openings have already scared investors. Foreign direct investment fell by 32% in 2017. Europe alone accounts for 61.2% of total foreign investment in the United States, or $ 1.92 trillion in an economy. $ 20 trillion.

But there is no evidence to suggest that these tariffs were raised as disputes with Canada and the EU countries. These are instruments of the trade war, which Trump uses to seek concessions and supposedly reduce the growing trade deficit of the United States which has risen 12 percent last year to $ 566 billion – and this n & # 39; 39; was not due to imports of steel and aluminum. For example, a recent study found that consumer goods and automobiles are the main drivers of the trade deficit in 2017. The United States imported $ 602 billion worth of generic drugs, televisions, clothing and clothing. other household items. The result is a trade deficit of $ 404 billion.

Democrats and the American media attach great importance to the November mid-term elections. Mid-term negotiations are their only hope of changing the Republican majority in Congress and perhaps preventing Trump from destroying the security and free trade regimes that, from an American point of view, have produced seven decades stability and economic prosperity. Democrats need 23 victories in the House to win the majority. Although this is difficult to achieve, it could very well be possible given the divisions within the Republican Party and low Trump approval rates.

But did the ratings in the 2016 presidential elections not predict the opposite? The United States is at a crossroads and tensions are deep. No matter if the mid-term elections change something or if the country faces up to two more years of Trump, there will not be a moment of boredom in the United States in the next few days.

Email: [email protected]

@mushrajpar

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