What Statistics Say: Is England really bad at taking sanctions – or are the guardians to blame? – 2018 World Cup – Football



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Thought that players from outside of England were the only ones to blame for their penalty sorrow at major tournaments? Think again. According to statistics, England has another problem: the goalkeeper, as Ben Snowball explains …

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Stuart Pearce, Chris Waddle, Southgate Gareth, Paul Ince, David Batty … the list of scapegoats from England goes on and on.

And yet, winning a penalty shootout does not just require a ruthless series in front of goal. You can score 100 points in a row, but if your opponents continue to struggle, you will play forever, unless your goalkeeper saves one.

And that made us think. Are we sure that the woes of England in the penalty shoot come from his field players who bottle from 12 yards? Or could we blame the guards?

We recruited Opta boffins to collect data from all shots of the World Cup in history …

AVERAGE RECORD OF WORLD CUP PENALIZATION

After Sunday's Penalty Party – which saw Russia and Croatia face respectively Spain and Denmark – 259 shots on goal were since the final in 1982.

Event Total %
Purpose 182 70.3
Retrieved attempt 56 21.6
(or crossbar) 12 [19659013] 4,6
Miss 9 3.5

While the table above shows that 21.6% of the penalties were saved, it's a little hard for the guards of purpose. It's not their job to save bad penalties – that is, those that hit the woods or go to the goal – then we have to make a fit and only judge the goalkeepers. on the punishments that were on the target.

Thus, although 259 sanctions were taken, 21 of them did not need to be spared. Taking into account the 238 penalties that were on target, the average chances of a goalkeeper saving a penalty is 23.5% at the World Cup.

HOW DO THE GUARDS OF ENGLAND COMPARE THEM?

Abystiquement.

Daniel Subasic, Kasper Schmeichel and Igor Akinfeev saved seven penalties between themselves in a shootout on Sunday; The numbers of England gathered just one stop – David Seaman, take a reluctant bow – between them 12 efforts on target, just 8.3%.

Even more ridiculous, the Ukraine has only faced two penalties in the history of the finals … and saved them both. Only Romania (at a 0% desperately clumsy) has a worse record than England teams that have faced at least 10 kicks or more.

  Penalties: World Cup shot record (10 or more penalties)

  Paul Robinson defeated by Cristiano Ronaldo, 2006

Paul Robinson defeated by Cristiano Ronaldo, 2006 Getty Images

BUT L & ENGLAND IS STILL TERRIBLE TO TAKE THEM, RIGHT?

Super terrible. Obviously.

Only four nations posted a better result than the 50% success rate in England – and none of them took 10 or more penalties to meet the criteria. Kings Shootout Germany have only failed to score once in their history; The Three Lions have failed to score seven of their last fourteen.

  Penalties committed: World Cup shooting record (10 or more penalties)

IS ENGLAND BETTER THAN EUROS?

Of course, a sample of 14 penalties on three shootouts is inconclusive. But what if we also slipped in their success (read: failure) at the European Championships?

Bizarrely, goalies are even worse, with only 5.3% of shots saved.

Penalties incurred Goals conceded Penalties recorded Message Off target % Saved (on target)
22 18 1 1 [19659046] 2 5.3

  Andrea Pirlo, Joe Hart

Andrea Pirlo, Joe Hart Getty Images

But that's where it gets interesting …

The attackers are MUCH better, scoring 76.2% of the penalties – a whopping 26.2% more than the World Cup average.

Penalties Imposed Goals Sanctions Saved Publication Off-Target % Scored
21 16 3 1 1 ] 1 ] 76.2

WHAT IS THE RECORD OF THE COMBINED PENALTY OF ENGLAND?

Since England has only saved two penalties during its history in major tournaments, it makes a gloomy reading for the goalkeepers.

Their combined record of 6.5% is a whopping 15.1% of the World Cup average – making it virtually impossible to win a shootout unless their opponents hit the woods or miss the target.

Penalties incurred Goals conceded Penalties suppressed Message Off target % Saved (framed)
36 29 2 3 [19659046] 6.5

But when the Euros are taken into account, the record of England improves considerably – which brings them much closer to the average Magic of 70.3% of the World Cup.

Penalties Imposed Goals Sanctions Saved Publication Off-Target % Scored
35 23 9 1 2 ]] 65.7

  Gareth Southgate sees his penalty saved, Euro 96

Gareth Southgate sees his penalty saved, Euro 96 Eurosport

PUNITIONS ARE NOT FARES?

Whenever a shooting takes place, commentators hasten to call it a "lottery". But is this really true?

In the age of unlimited data and technology, a goalkeeper is more likely than ever to study his opponents. Of course, they will not record the perfect penalty – something that these data do not take into account – but by reading small clues of the race, they will dramatically increase their backup rate. After all, it is unlikely that Germany's impeccable record, both from 12 yards and between posts, boils down to luck.

The England stopper was surpassed by his counterpart in every major tournament shootout, with the exception of the quarter-final win against Spain at the Euro & ## As shown in the table below:

Tournament Round Opponent The opposition saves The England saves Result
World Cup, 1990 Half Final Germany 1 (Bodo Illgner) 0 (Peter Shilton) Defeat
Euros, 1996 Quarter final Spain 0 (Andoni Zubizarreta) 1 ( David Seaman) Victory [19659113] Euros, 1996 Semi-final Germany 1 (Andreas Kopke) 0 (David Seaman) Defeat
World Cup, 1998 Last 16 1 (David Seaman) Defeat
Euros, 2004 Quarterfinals James) Defeat
World Cup, 2006 Quarter-final Portugal 3 (Ricardo) 0 (Paul Robinson) Defeat
Euros, 2012 [19659046] Quarter-final Italy 1 (Buffon) [19659012] 0 (Joe Hart) From feat

So blaming Southgate all you want for Euro 96 and the grief of penalty shootout against Germany. But if you do not recognize either Seaman's inability to save the six kicks that he has had to face, you're missing half of the problem.

If England will put an end to her shooting in Russia, it is clear that she needs her players and her goalkeeper.

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