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The Kansas City Chiefs will look to maintain their recent dominance over the Buffalo Bills when the two teams face off in a scintillating Sunday night football game at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are 5-1 against the Bills since Andy Reid became coach in 2013. That record includes two wins last season – a 26-17 win in Week 6 and a 38-24 win. during the AFC Championship game. This season, the Chiefs (2-2) have started slowly but come off a 42-30 victory in Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Bills (3-1) have won three straight games after losing their season opener to Pittsburgh.
Kick-off is 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a three-point favorite in recent Chiefs vs. Bills from Caesars Sportsbook, and the total points scored is 56.5. Before you make any Bills vs. Chiefs picks or Sunday Night Football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine senior analyst and Kansas City expert Larry Hartstein has to say.
A former senior writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. This season he’s on fire. In four weeks, Hartstein is 18-5-1 with his NFL picks, for a winning percentage of 78.3 and a profit of $ 1,225. With his last 21 picks, he’s an absurd 18-3.
He’s also had a keen eye on Chiefs trends, posting a 16-5 record on his last 21 broadcast picks involving Kansas City. Whoever has always followed him is very high.
Now he has locked onto Chiefs against Bills and posted a confident pick against the spread. You can now head over to SportsLine to see Hartstein’s pick. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Bills vs. Chiefs:
- Spread Chiefs vs Bills: Kansas City -3
- Chiefs vs Over-under Bills: 56.5 points
- Silver Line Chiefs vs Bills: Kansas City -150, Buffalo +130
- KC: Patrick Mahomes leads the league in touchdowns (14)
- TB: Bills lead the league in scoring defense (11.0 points per game)
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
Why chefs can cover
The Kansas City running game has been on a roll. Over the past two weeks, Kansas City has racked up 386 yards on 62 carries, averaging 6.23 yards per carry. The team’s 200 rushing yards last week against the Eagles were the Chiefs’ second-best total in their last 79 games, a streak stretching back to Week 17 of the 2016 season.
Additionally, Kansas City has a revolutionary receiver at Tyreek Hill. The 5-foot-10 speedster ranks second in the NFL this season for receiving yards (453). He just had his best game of the year, catching 11 passes for 186 yards and three touchdowns against Philadelphia.
Why bills can cover
Buffalo has one of the best defenses – if not the best defense – in the NFL. Led by star linebacker Matt Milano, the Bills lead the league in scoring defense (11.0 points per game), total defense (216.8 yards per game) and pass defense (148, 8 yards per game). Last week, they limited the Texans to just 109 total yards in their second shutout in three games.
Additionally, tight end Dawson Knox has become a legitimate receiving threat. A third-round pick in 2019, Knox has had four touchdowns this season. It’s the second-highest number in the NFL and tied with Tampa Bay’s Rob Gronkowski for most tight ends. Knox is tied with wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley for most red zone targets (six) on the team and leads the Bills in red zone receiving yards (29).
How to make Chiefs vs Bills choices
For Sunday night’s game, Hartstein looks at the point total, but he also says that a critical X factor makes one side of the gap a must-have. He shares what it is and who to support, only at SportsLine.
So who wins Bills against Chiefs? And what critical factor makes one side of the spread a must-have? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Bills you should jump in, all from the NFL expert who went 16-5 on his last 21 gap picks involving the Chiefs, and find out.
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