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FOREIGN CHRONIC Democrats' election victory in the House of Representatives may be a sign that the right-wing populist wave is beginning to fall.
The grouping of voters that can be read from the election figures does not favor Republicans in the long run. Democrats are progressing in the growing suburbs, especially among white women. They are growing among young people and continue to be strong in the multicultural population, which is also growing.
Donald Trump seems to have realized that his ability to recruit new supporters is limited. For his own campaign, they were entirely focused on maintaining the hold of their mostly nuclear, nuclear voters, fed new horror stories about the dangers of migration.
Among other things, Trump asserted that an "invasion" of immigrants from Central America was imminent and called on the armed forces to stop them at the border.
Trump visited only the states won in 2016, focusing on the Senate and Governor elections, where Republicans' chances were better.
In choosing "The House", where all seats were at stake, Republican candidates got the best possible, probably because he did not want to be tied to an expected loss. Then a president who thinks he has a headwind does not act.
That does not exclude Trump's victory in the presidential election of 2020. Then, the number of votes increases, then the whole party closes and the big money will come out unless the financiers deem it futile, which would surprise. But many can happen in two years.
The good economy, which Trump inherited from Obama and is booming, may have turned down.
The more severe scrutiny that the White House and Trump are now facing may reveal irregularities and scandals that make the prosecution of the president inevitable.
On the day after the interim elections, Trump kicked his justice minister with the clear purpose of preventing the investigation of his relations with Russia during the 2016 election campaign.
Nobody knows what the special prosecutor Robert Mueller is headed for, but the new majority of the House will never accept that the investigation be interrupted or dominated.
Instead, we will learn a series of new surveys. For example, Trump's private economy and commercial interests have influenced different foreign policy decisions.
It is a big step forward that the system of checks and balances on which the US Constitution is based is now reestablished in practice as well.
The White House is obliged to make known the basis of its decisions, the new laws will be examined more severely and the Democrats will be able to modify their proposals on taxation and spending. But Trump can continue to govern by decree, and he also has the Senate in the back.
The Senate approves appointments to important government positions, but also to new members of the Supreme Court.
In foreign and commercial policy, Trump has a largely free hand. He may therefore continue to poison the international climate for at least two years if he is not forced to advance by force.
Democrats have a difficult balance before them. They are supposed to conduct a thorough review of Trump and his administration. But they must also signal an attractive political option for new and old voters.
A majority of Americans do not like the way Trump runs the country, but does not necessarily mean everything he says he wants to achieve.
It will not be easy for Democrats to find a candidate standing against Trump's trumpet without contributing to polarization. Nobody has yet said they want to challenge Trump, but it does not work long.
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