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Can not be lost – both seemed to meet each other.
Donald Trump walked to Putin and shook his hand eagerly. Putin raised an index finger in an enthusiastic gesture. They had no interpreters – the handshake was pressed in the corridors of the G20 in Hamburg on July 7, 2017.
This was the first meeting of heads of state for the world's most powerful nuclear energy
. It is remarkable in the documentary film of Oliver Stone, where Putin often answers questions without waiting for translation. It includes everything to pronounce oral English as well as fluently, but rather avoids speaking the language in public. The only exception he's made was in 2007 when Russia applied for the Olympics in Sochi and he went to Guatemala City to plead for Sochi to win the 2014 season.
Putin held a speech about a couple, but Fully understandable, English where he neither smiled nor crushed, but almost angrily insisted that Sochi is a "unique place". He gave dividends.
This was before the invasion of Georgia, the war in Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea. Indeed, the growing authoritarian movement of the Russian president had put the Western world on its guard, but in 2007, Russia was still a country that held joint summits with the EU and where foreign companies were investing. A country that managed to get the Winter Olympics 2014 and negotiated seriously with the EU on visa freedom.
It was at a time when no one thought that a real estate mogul leading reality TV could become president in the United States. Putin hardly thought he would meet Trump in Helsinki. He is proud of Russia and likes to show his country to foreigners. Given the way Trump settles in New York, the US president would probably have been attributed to the glory of the Kremlin's gold rooms. That gave Putin a mental grip. But it also gave him the chance to prove to Trump in concrete terms that Russia was misunderstood and supported, according to Putin,
Putin avoids coherent situations where he must be shot with a form of disability. To speak English in public is such that to do private is another matter. We must not doubt that he will be able to chat with Trump without interpreting it when they meet in Helsinki on Monday.
It is not a coincidence that they both want a meeting on your hand, where only the performers are present. Both Trump and Putin sent signals of sympathy on several occasions.
Before Barack Obama left the White House was one of his last steps to deport 35 Russian diplomats as punishment for Russian involvement in the elections – an accusation that the Kremlin has always denied. Everyone was waiting for a symmetrical answer. In Moscow, American diplomats have already packed their bags.
Instead, Putin invited the children of American diplomats to dance around the Christmas tree in the Kremlin. He completely abandoned the maxim that Russia always responds to an injustice with exactly the same measure. It was an ingenious move, typical of the chess player Putin
The message was clear: I gave priority to my relationship with the new US President.
Putin did not care. Most of Trump's first year as president was to dismiss information about Russia's involvement in the US elections. Trump continued to write friendly tweets about Putin while sending Tomahawkmissiles to Syria and the US Congress introduced new sanctions against Russia.
Within the Kremlin, returned from triumphant optimism to ruin. Frustration in the political establishment has increased. When I met Aleksej Pushkov, chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Council of the Russian Federation last year, he said that it was no longer interesting to discuss the relationship between Putin and Trump. The American establishment always has the last word
– Trump is a very lonely president. The US Congress and the Senate destroy everything that helped us end the Cold War, Pushkov said in the DN interview
It's this circumstance that unites Putin and Trump. Their dissatisfaction with formal institutions, against principles that outweigh pragmatism. Since Trump took office, US and Russian leaders have repeatedly reported how tired they are at the facility that prevents two red men from doing business.
– The common opponents of Putin and Trump are partly the American establishment and the Western media. Both hate them. Trump – just like Russia – wants a business relationship between states, says Alexander Baunov, a former Russian diplomat who is now the editor of the Russian carnegie.ru website of American thinker Carnegie.
In the Western world, an obvious sympathy between the two presidents – who do not know each other – aroused astonishment. There has been speculation about what Putin has to Trump. But Baunov does not seem strange that two politicians who think the same way of each other. For example, Trump's annoyance on everything that he believes is being squeezed in the United States, he, according to Baunov, automatically automatically put Putin.
– Unlike allied NATO countries, Russia is not asking anything from the United States. The United States does not have to put resources to protect Russia. Trump is far ahead of other NATO members in several frantic statements about how the United States is forced to pay to protect "Germany and other rich countries from the rest of the world. NATO "against Russia. . According to Trump, nothing comes back, especially not in the trade.
What Trump loves is doing business – politically and economically. And just the economy is one of Putin's priorities for the meeting, according to Baunov.
– Putin executes a comprehensive economic program and he has to do business in Russia more than living room of poverty. Today, the buyers of securities consider that the Russian market is too risky. Russia has partially succeeded in replacing imported products with its own manufacturing, but the financial market does not work at all. The economy is still global, and investors want peace, says Mr Baunov
However, he does not believe that Putin will try to persuade Trump to abolish sanctions
– Putin knows that Trump There is no proxy, it is the congress that decides. about sanctions. But the finance ministry decides how to implement them, and the White House has opportunities for influence. Putin can, for example, convince Trump that there will be no new penalties.
From this point of view, on Friday, the US Department of Justice accuses twelve Russian intelligence officers of extremely unlikely computer fraud. According to US prosecutors, these twelve people hacked the computers of the Democrats during the US presidential elections in 2016. The Russian Foreign Ministry rejects the news bank charges. Trump for their part calls them a witch hunt and the meeting will take place as planned.
Single Baunov is the meeting in itself important to send signals about the role of Russia in the world.
– After the collapse of the Soviet Union, it has never happened that an American president waited so long to meet the Russian leader. This has been a bad sign for foreign investors.
Also, Maria Lipman, an independent analyst in Moscow, says that it is the meeting itself that is the main thing. Not what Putin and Trump are coming. Lipman doubts, in fact, that they are coming to something.
– The present meeting is a very convincing demonstration that Russia is not isolated. We have the World Cup and the world is visiting us, Putin meets Trump. All this proves that Russia is part of the international community and that is essential for Putin.
Trump loves to brag and despise his meetings with other leaders is also a great benefit for Putin, according to Lipman.
– We know that Trump likes to declare great successes that he has accomplished things like none of his predecessors managed. For example, he did after the meeting with the leaders of North Korea, despite the fact that the concrete results indicated their absence. But it does not matter to Trump, he's always the best at all, everywhere.
Trump vanity is in other words, a great benefit to Putin, notes Lipman.
– If Trump, against the wishes of his advisor, decided that he wants to meet Putin, the meeting must be a success. In the loyal troops of Putin, the languages are triumphant. Sergej Markov, a doctor of political science, has high expectations for the meeting. He heads the thought center "Institute of Political Research" in Moscow and is one of Putin's so-called personal messengers. Markov is famous for his radical and antisocial views and often accuses the Western world of Russian phobia. He believes that the meeting between Putin and Trump will be an excellent opportunity to "crush the anti-Russian front".
– Since 2014, we have an anti-Russian front in Europe. You will see cracks in it but it's still there. This disrupts Russia's economic development and is a problem for geopolitical stability. According to Markov, the Ukrainian government is addicted to drugs
. According to him, Putin and Trump must now face a blow to this front.
– Many have accepted sanctions in the United States. Now, they are going to ask themselves: What should we do with sanctions if the United States wants to be friends with Russia? For leaders like Viktor Orbán, there will be another reason to want to abolish them
At the G7 meeting in Quebec City in June, Trump said in informal talks that he would not did not understand why the Crimea would belong to Russia, since the inhabitants speak Russian. He did not deny the statement afterwards. Sergey Markov, however, does not believe in any recognition.
– Trump will not recognize Crimea. This statement made him the most to send a positive signal to Putin. Crimea is the reason for all attacks against Putin. But Trump does not manage to convince the United States to recognize Crimea as Russian – and we do not need it either. What we want is an end to the blockade against Crimean citizens
(Common credit cards do not work in Crimea, which are banned from the Swift system since Russia occupied the region.)
Markov sees an opportunity there. In particular, considering the meeting between Putin and Trump as a miscarriage for the Ukrainian government of today.
– Nobody in Europe really likes the Ukrainian government. And this meeting only confirms the futility of continuing to support them, says Markov triumphing over the Crimea, where he stands when DN calls.
The personal chemistry between Putin and Trump has long been speculated. The fact that they like them shows how much they are in agreement, they do not know it because they have not met much. Putin is famous for loving small lectures on his worldview – and probably also with Trump, says Alexander Baunov.
– Putin will try to anchor his worldview to Trump. He will tell him how he sees Crimea, Ukraine, the Middle East and the Russian political system.
Sergey Markov, who is ideologically close to Putin himself,
– Putin will provide Trump tasks that the US intelligence service conceals for him. He is exposed to misinformation, he says.
It is explicitly that many in the West are afraid – that Putin fools the Trump easily led. But Markov, who does not belong to Putin's deepest circle but meets him regularly, says no one knows how the two leaders will be together.
– Their personal relationships? Nobody knows. There are two elves, two main characters. Relationships between these characters can never be known in advance. They can become competitors or friends.
Maria Lipman says that West Fear of Putin will ask Trump various concessions – for example, to recognize Crimea or abolish sanctions – is excessive.
– One of Putin's main interests is to soften the sanctions. But it's perfectly unthinkable that he's asking it openly. When Trump said that Russia should be offered to the G8, Putin replied that Russia has never left the G8 and that you can come back to us. He does not want to be in the weakest position. Moreover, it is the Congress that decides sanctions. Trump melt leather clothes to be able to promise gold and green forests, but that does not mean anything. And it's known to Putin.
In the West, many consider the genre and vanity Trump as a mouthful of bread for the experienced and streetmart Putin. Putin is a former KGB agent and has learned to deceive. But the people I meet in the foreign administration in Moscow are at least as worried as the unpredictable Trump will destroy the encounter with unexpected explosions.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zacharova urges the outside world to have realistic expectations. everything to avoid words like "breakthrough". I propose that we approach the meeting in a pragmatic and realistic way. It is high time that such a meeting take place. Many of the problems we are constantly talking about have been very important. It is better to have realistic expectations, said Zacharova during a press conference in Moscow in late June.
When I interviewed her at the beginning of May, her secretary suggested to me to pass the questions on Trump. I did not have the impression that the question was somehow sensitive, only that the Russian administration is tired of the subject.
The disappointment of the Russian establishment of 19459005 of a president publicly killing Putin in the back but at the same time An establishment that opposes him is obvious.
Putin himself has always been extremely cautious when it comes to Trump. There is a widespread perception in the West that Putin had high hopes for the new president.
But, in fact, while Putin works to speak well of his American colleague, he has always been very masterful in terms of Trump
Others have opened jublat, as the channel's editor-in-chief Kremlin-funded television station, Margarita Simonjan, and right-wing political leader Vladimir Zjirinovsky. Putin himself was much quieter.
Maria Lipman does not believe the meeting in Helsinki will be a problem for the Ukrainian government
– There are serious forces in the West who will never accept that Ukraine is sacrificed. I also do not think that Trump will have Putin to join a tougher policy against Iran. Russia and Iran are on the same side and Iran is a self-sufficient country on many levels, with great potential to influence its neighborhood.
Therefore, the world should not wait for new agreements that upset the world. This meeting, according to Lipman.
– In all likelihood, only vague statements will be made. You usually say that the devil is in the details, but the comments for this meeting will be rather: hell with the details!
The fact that Putin and Trump probably do not deal with details can, on the one hand, be considered a relief for, for example, Ukraine. On the other hand, it is also a factor of uncertainty. The lack of concrete agreements leaves the field open to his own interpretations.
Putin proved that he was able to use every inch of free space that he could get.
Martin Gelin: Trump has already embraced much of Putin's worldview. Helsinki Summit
The summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin is held Monday at the Finnish Presidential Palace in Helsinki. The host of the meeting is the President of Finland, Sauli Niinistö.
Problems to be Predicted:
– Situation in Syria
– Iran (Trump decided to leave the Iran Agreement in May)
– Situation in Ukraine [19659002] – Continuation of the START Agreement on the Reduction of Nuclear Weapons
– Prosecution of Russian Interference in the US Elections
– Economic Cooperation
[19659002]
Vladimir Vladimirovitj Putin
Born: October 7, 1952 (65 years old) in Leningrad
Background: Parents who survived the Second World War were factory workers. Putin was the only child. He studied law and, after completing the degree, sought to enter the intelligence service of the KGB, where he worked until the fall of the Soviet Union.
1998 Head of the FSB (successor to the KGB). 1999 Prime Minister
2000-2008 President
2008-2012 Prime Minister
2012-2018 President [19659002] As president, Putin was severely criticized for his restrictions on press freedom, political assassination and electoral fraud. When Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, Russia lost its membership to the G8 and was sanctioned by economic sanctions, which are still in effect.
Facts. Donald J Trump
Born on: Jun 14, 1946 (72 years old) in New York
Bottom: Heir to the Church. a real estate company that he took headed by 1971. Under the name of The Trump Organization, he bought, built and renovated skyscrapers, hotels and golf courses. Trump is the 248th richest person in the United States and became known to the general public through the documentary "The Apprentice"
1971 becomes the president of the family business The Trump Organization
1983 Manhattans Fifth Avenue
1996 Shopping Miss Universe Beauty Contest
2003 The Apprentice "The Apprentice", with Trump in the leading role, will be shipped
2015 Publication of his candidacy for the presidential election
2016 is elected to the 45th president of the United States
A prosecutor Special then investigates Russia's involvement in the 2016 US elections, including on Trump's cooperation in May 2017. As president, Trump has notably introduced a ban on immigration to predominantly Muslim countries. imposed on important tax cuts, abandoned the agreement on climate and Iran and held a summit with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un.
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