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1. How to interpret the first figures?
As a cold shower for Christian Democrats Angela Merkel CDU and Social Democrats SPD. The parties, which also sit on the Berlin government, both seem to be losing weight compared to the elections of five years ago. Corresponding to the figures of the investigation on the vallokals, Merkel's party is clearly the biggest party, but goes against the lowest results cited in public opinion polls and which prevented Party strategists sleep at night. With a loss of just over ten percentage points, not only the head of the ruling Christian Democrat government, Volker Bouffier, who has long been closely linked to Merkel, as a loser, but also the chancellor himself -even. At the same time, Bouffier seems to be able to retain power – thanks to the success of the Green Party. They seem to be the big winners of the elections and can double the number of their voters, as in the elections in Bavaria. Thus, the green wave seems to be a fact in German politics.
For the SPD of the Social Democrats, the defeat – in what we have recently called "Red Hessen" – is bitter. The party has largely supported two consecutive elections in the states. After the Valencian elections in Bavaria two weeks ago, while the SPD did not reach more than 10% of voter support, many Social Democrats feared the future.
The other winners of Valet are the right-wing and xenophobic party. The alternatives to Germany are progressing and seem to be able to capture about 13% of the votes. This means that AFD is now represented in all German federal parliaments and in Covenant Day – five years after its creation.
2. Why is an election in a German state so important?
Although Chancellor Angela Merkel and SPD leader Andrea Nahles have been asked to try to mitigate the importance of the Hessian election in national politics, political evaluators have decided to 39, hold a referendum on the future of Angela Merkel and her fragile coalition government in Berlin. He was called to the "small federal election" and after the summer government crises and the Valencian elections in Bavaria, many considered it a second – and possibly a last trial – for the great coalition. Correcting the numbers makes everyone involved sweat.
3. What happens next?
Germany is now moving towards more uncertain times. The question is whether the fragmented leadership of the SPD will hear the increasingly wrong-handed falsification that the party is leaving the grand coalition – or the fear of a new election is greater. Angela Merkel will insist on the importance for Germany of having a stable government, but the question is whether critics in her mind want to see a government led by it. Negative reactions to Hesse do not increase the chances of being re-elected as party leader for the CDU during party days in December.
Read more:
Merkel's party strongly supports the parliamentary elections in Hesse
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