The future of Merkel in the hands of the Bavarian CSU

The asylum policy that triggered a crisis among German Christian Democrats CDU and CSU, and which could lead to repression of the government coalition, is whether people who have applied for asylum in another country may be rejected at the German border.

Behind the proposal for a stricter immigration policy the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Horst Seehofer, of the CSU Bayerienne. He has threatened to close the country's borders for overseas migrants unless the Dublin settlement is respected.

Merkel, meanwhile, can not unilaterally deny refugees via Austria. This would have profound consequences for cooperation within the EU and, in the long run, threaten freedom of movement. Merkel wants to have a common solution among the Member States [Wednesday:Merkel:TheproblemofimmigrationcandeterminethefutureoftheEU

An argument that does not bite on Seehofer. He gave Merkel a deadline until July 1 to solve the problem – otherwise he will seriously make plans. Merkel's option is to overthrow the Minister of the Interior, which would likely lead the CSU to leave the government and lead new elections where it will likely not be re-elected.

Therefore, before the EU summit last week some kind of settlement in the issue of migration to save his coalition government at home.

It succeeded. Merkel has a bilateral agreement with 14 Member States that states that individual countries can prevent asylum seekers from going to another EU country to choose where they want to apply for asylum.

The German government, including the included Social Democrats, meet to evaluate Merkel's dealings. Even on Mondays, various meetings are planned. According to the Reuters news agency, the leaders of the CSU and SPD have already been informed of the content of the agreement Friday and have received a positive welcome from SPD.

But how that ends is an open question. Prior to the meeting, a source from the Retuers news agency said that Interior Minister Horst Seehofer would not accept any alternative to his claim that migrants should be rejected at the German border.

Richard Swartz: Migrants and Bavarians threaten to fall Merkel

The German debate is also complicated by the Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán who denies having signed an agreement, although Merkel said that Hungary does part of the 14 states agreed "on a political level."