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1. France is favorite in the semifinal against Belgium
Belgium is the team tournament: five matches, five wins – among others against the favorite England and now against the Brazil. In addition, 14 goals scored, twelve offside. And these counter-attacks. These counter! No team changes as well and quickly as the "Red Devils". France can not follow. Nevertheless, the French will win the semifinal against the Belgians. Why? Belgium against Brazil has revealed weaknesses that will exploit France.
In a first strong period, the team of Roberto Martínez had apparently spent: After the break Belgium was significantly degraded, played the counterattacks Of course, they have Thibaut Courtois as goalkeeper exceptional goal, but this is not the only reason why Belgians can not rely on France. Brazil should have managed to equalize. Kylian Mbappé and Antoine Griezmann will benefit from the opportunities left by Philippe Coutinho and Renato Augusto
2. France takes an example Germany
2014 World Cup: Germany arrives in the quarter-finals with an unorthodox fourth back. Instead of the regular rear center, two rear centers are placed on the outer positions. Benedikt Höwedes and Shkodran Mustafi play – Höwedes even in the finals, Mustafi must equal after the knockout stages. The result is known.
It seems that France is copying the defensive tactics of the German world champion. With Lucas Hernandez, Samuel Umtiti, Raphael Varane and Benjamin Pavard, four central defenders are moving in the chain, with great success – and the same result as in 2014? This is the defense of the French, the defense is maintained – as evidenced by the 2-0 win against Uruguay. Of course, at Edinson Cavani, the South Americans lacked a world-class striker. His friendly partner Luis Suárez did not have a single contact with the ball in the penalty area at 90 minutes from Nizhny Novograd. No!
With Romelu Lukaku, Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne in the semifinals, the French defense is facing a challenge even more great. The Belgians are also stronger than Argentina – and against Lionel Messi and Co. have conceded to the French at least three goals. One reason for this might be the lack of experience. With an average age of only 23.25 years, the French rely on a very young four-way chain. The German defense of 2014 was on average more than three years older. Nevertheless, that will be enough for "Les Bleus" in the final, because the Belgian defense has even more weaknesses.
. 3 Casemiro is the main reason for the failure of Brazil
A single goal in 28 shots: at first glance, fortuitous exploitation was the reason for the Brazilian quarterfinals. In fact, the absence of Casemiro was the decisive factor for the 0-2 draw of the Seleção at the break, a gap that they could not catch up. The great strength of the Real Madrid midfielder organizer is the defensive switching game and the prevention of counter-attacks. This is what Brazil needed against Belgium.
Especially the second goal indicated how much Casemiro was missing. Lukaku went deep into his own half and ran almost intact on half of the field. Fernandinho could not follow him and, for one reason or another, he did not want to make a mistake. Lukaku served De Bruyne, who hit the farthest corner. Overall, Fernandinho did not even win all other duels, Casemiro had won in the first round against Mexico over 70% of his direct duels for himself.
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