Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens – NHL Choices, Odds & Predictions on 2/16/19



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The Montreal Canadiens and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet on Saturday in the NHL action at the Amalie Arena.

The Montreal Canadiens could use a win after dividing their last eight games. The Montreal Canadiens score on average three goals per game and score 13.5% of their power play opportunities. Brendan Gallagher leads Montreal with 22 goals, Max Domi has 32 assists and Jonathan Drouin has 150 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens give 2.9 goals per game and eliminate 79.3% of the benefits of their opponents. Carey Price allowed 108 goals on 1,277 shots on target and Antti Niemi allowed 54 goals on 506 shots. The Montreal Canadiens have allowed three or more goals in five of their last eight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are looking for another win after winning seven of their last nine games. The Tampa Bay Lightning averages 3.9 goals per game and scores 29.8% of its power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 33 goals, Nikita Kucherov with 66 assists and Steven Stamkos with 178 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning allows 2.7 goals per game and kills 84.4% of its opponents' advantage. Andrei Vasilevskiy conceded 84 goals on 1,148 shots and Louis Domingue allowed 64 goals on 689 shots. The Tampa Bay Lightning has allowed three goals or less in eight of its last 10 games.

The Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 games played on 1 day of rest, 19-40 in their last 59 games as an underdog and 7-3 in their last 10 games on the road. The Lightning are 41-13 in their last 54 favorite games, 40-12 in their last 52 games played on 1 day off and 62-23 in their last 85 games as home favorites. The basement is 6-0 in the last 6 games of the Canadiens. The back is 3-0-1 at Lightning, the last 4 overall. The Canadians are 1-4 in their last 5 meetings at Tampa Bay and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Lightning has won each of the last four games against the Montreal Canadiens and has scored at least three goals in seven of the last nine games. Canadians deserve to be examined here because of their recent success on the road, but that's about it. The Lightning are just too consistent, especially at home, to bet against smaller teams. The price is not ideal, but it's lightning or happening for me.

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