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The Democratic presidential nomination race is already preparing, even though it remains close to a year before the Iowa caucuses.
Here is the rank of The Hill regarding the current position of the contenders.
1. Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisHarris, Booker, requests that the judgment on the Jussie Smollett case be suspended until the end of the investigation. Harris claims that Trump would trust Putin for the scandal of irresponsibility and shameful "Barack, Michelle Obama should refrain from approving by 2020. report MORE (D-Calif.)
Harris has by far the best launch of any candidate.
His speech declaring his candidacy was made forcefully in front of a large and grateful crowd in Oakland. His appearances in the early states were well received, as was his first series of interviews with the media. More generally, it is actually presented as a fresh and charismatic presence.
Harris has also put in place some of the early registrations, including Rep. Barbara LeeBarbara Jean Lee Kamala Harris shopping trip sparked debate on Twitter campaign Newsom endorses Kamala Harris as president, a Hispanic civil rights icon supporting Harris as president. (D-Calif.) And, Friday, Gavin Newsom (D) and Dolores Huerta, icon of Hispanic civil rights.
Harris will still have to answer many questions, including how his long career as a prosecutor will be reviewed by a Democratic base focused on issues of police misconduct and racial inequality.
The first riders can easily take off, but for now, Harris is the most formidable candidate of the race.
Ranking prior on 1 January: 4
2. Former Vice President Joe BidenJoseph (Joe) Robinette BidenBarack, Michelle Obama is expected to abstain in 2020. Primary: Klobuchar report, O 'Rourke visit Wisconsin as the 2020 race heats up. Biden: "The America I see does not want to turn its back on the world" PLUS
Despite all the excitement that reigns around Harris, he is the former vice president who still leads every significant national poll of Democratic voters.
In a poll released Wednesday to Emerson, he had 10 points ahead of his closest rival, Sen. Bernie SandersBernard (Bernie) SandersCongres wants to force Trump's hand on Saudi support Booker wants to dialogue on race as he begins his 2020 campaign Capitalism: the ideal known MORE (I-Vt.), With Harris third, two more points behind. A Morning Consult poll released earlier last week left seven points ahead of Biden in Sanders and 16 points over Harris.
In 2016, Biden thought hard before making a decision. His son, Beau, had died of brain cancer in May 2015 and Biden finally chose not to force himself to face the rigors of a presidential campaign.
This time, The Hill said that he was almost certain to run for office soon.
Biden has weaknesses in the race, including his age – he would be 78 years old on the day of the 2021 inauguration – and past votes that disregard the current democratic base on everything from the war in Iraq to crime bill of 1994.
But his skills as a retail politician, his experience and his loyal service to President Obama for eight years would be good for him.
Previous ranking: 3
3. Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)
The long-awaited entry of Sanders in the race seems imminent, while last weekend he reportedly recorded a video announcing his candidacy.
Sanders will clearly be a high flying competitor. Polls usually put him in second place behind Biden.
It could end up being a victim of its own relative success in a way. His challenge stronger than expected to the prospective candidate Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham shares the shares of Roger Stone with Clinton, quickly deletes the Instagram photo of the federal judge on his case. Barack, Michelle Obama should refrain from ratifying by 2020. Primary: report Why the national emergency? A second term could be the only shield against a Trump indictment. in 2016 showed that there was an appetite in the party for more leftist policies. Now, several other declared or probable candidates are coming on progressive platforms that could soften the once unique appeal of Sander.
He also has other problems, including the enmity he won among Clinton supporters in 2016.
In January, he apologized to the women who say they were harassed or abused by male staff during his 2016 campaign.
His decision to give his own rebuttal to President TrumpDonald John Trump: Rosenstein to leave MJ next month: Allies are wary of Shanahan's assurances and the imminent presence of Trump states in a lawsuit to block Trump's national emergency statementThe State of the Union speech has worsened some activists who thought he was the star of the official spokesman of the Democrats of the night, the former governor of Georgia, Stacey Abrams.
Age is also a problem for Sanders. He is 77 years old.
Previous ranking: 2
4. Former Representative Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas)
Is it ok or not?
This is the key question around O'Rourke, which sparked tremendous democratic enthusiasm in his ultimately unsuccessful challenge against Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward Cruz El Chapo's lawyer takes it to Cruz: "Playful" to suggest that the drug lord will pay for the wall Democrats have a chance to beat Trump with Julian Castro on the 2020 ticket The poll shows that the match is competitive if O & # 39; Rourke shows up again in the Senate PLUS (R-Texas) last year.
O'Rourke's intentions are far from clear. In January, he embarked on a journey on the road, mocking detractors for his introspective reflections in an online journal.
On the other hand, when Trump held a rally in El Paso, O'Rourke's base, the former Texas congressman presented his own event nearby, which drew a crowd of several thousand people.
The longer O'Rourke stays out of the race, the greater the danger that someone like Harris can really catch fire. On the other hand, his prodigious fundraising capacity – he raised $ 38 million in the third quarter of 2018 when he applied to the Senate – assures him of being a serious candidate.
Previous ranking: 1
5. Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenWarren is preparing to announce her plan for universal child care: according to Barack, Michelle Obama should refrain from endorsing this decision by 2020. Primary: Booker report seeks to establish a dialogue on the race as he launches the 2020 PLUS campaign (D-Mass.)
The beginning of Warren's election campaign, which had been considered one of the most prominent candidates of the first hour, was largely uninspiring.
Part of the problem lies in the problem that will not leave him: his own prior identification as an American, and his decision last year to take a DNA test to prove that she was telling the truth.
The test confirmed that she had an Amerindian ancestor six to ten generations ago. But even some Democrats think that this whole episode has been played in the hands of Trump, who continues to make fun of Warren, whom he has long mocked as "Pocahontas".
Warren is betting that there is a strong electoral market for a person who can combine his deep knowledge of the faculty, especially in financial regulation, with a style that deserves a confrontation with Trump.
But the results of his initial polls are at best average, fueling the suspicion of being overtaken by other personalities, notably Harris, who might have a stronger personal magnetism.
Previous ranking: 5
6. Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerHarris, Booker, asks that the judgment on the Jussie Smollett case be withheld until the close of the Barack investigation, Michelle Obama should refrain from endorsing it by 2020 The case of Jussie Smollett shows that the media treat despicably Trump and his supporters, without proof – even more (D-N.J.)
Booker is one of the newest participants in the race – he announced on February 1st.
The New Jersey Senator divides opinion, especially inside the Beltway. For his followers, he is a friendly, energetic candidate who speaks passionately and has the ability to warm young and non-white voters with special vigor.
Its detractors, however, assail it as an unauthentic lightweight, which has long been more interested in its promotion than by anything else. This criticism extends from his stint as Newark's mayor on Twitter, to his self-proclaimed "Spartacus Moment" at the Supreme Court judge's confirmation hearings. Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughThese things to watch as Barr takes the reins of justice, Mueller's Virginia investigation may be better than the one the constitutional conservatives need to oppose the national emergency MORE.
Booker will probably have to show that he can get traction fast enough, before the expected arrival of other big stars on the scene – Biden and Sanders – who threaten to push him to the margins of the race.
Previous ranking: 7
7. Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean KlobucharKlobuchar defends his work record: Yes, I am a "hard boss". Democratic women see the double standard in Klobuchar's accusations. Klobuchar, O 'Rourke go to Wisconsin as the 2020 race heats up MORE (D-Min.)
Klobuchar certainly had a catchy campaign launch – she delivered a speech declaring her candidacy in the middle of a big snowstorm.
The visuals were memorable and highlighted Klobuchar's fundamental message that she was a down-to-earth candidate from downtown.
But that in itself will not dispel doubts about Klobuchar's ultimate chances of success: Do Democrats really want someone who turns to centrism as a standard bearer against Trump?
Recent allegations of mistreating the staff further complicated Klobuchar's chances.
Some of the less serious charges against her carry a hint of sexism, but it is more difficult to demonstrate when it comes to the most dramatic allegations, including the case where she allegedly threw a binder that allegedly struck a member. Staff.
Previous ranking: 8
8. Sen. Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell Brown: More Modest Tax Refunds Place GOP on Defensive Democrats Against GOP "Keeping Back" on Green New Deal GOP "Green New Deal" is a Good Plan for Democrats MORE (D-OH)
Brown has long been a political curiosity: a progressive Democrat who continues to be reelected in the increasingly red state of Ohio by large margins.
Brown has gained momentum with a tour in the early-voting states. But it is not certain that he is going into the race, and Biden's likely entry – which has the same appeal for blue-collar workers – would greatly complicate the Ohioan's possible path to nomination.
Previous ranking: 6
9. Sen. Kirsten GillibrandKirsten Elizabeth GillibrandWarren is preparing to announce her plan for universal custody: the Senate introduces a bill to prevent Trump from using disaster funds for the construction of a wall Klobuchar, O & Rourke visits Wisconsin as the 2020 race heats up (D-N.Y.)
Gillibrand launched his campaign in mid-January with an appearance in Stephen Colbert's "Late Show" on CBS. Unfortunately for the New York senator, this is the most memorable thing she has done so far.
Gillibrand has always faced a difficult climb towards nomination. There is no reason to think that the gradient has become less steep.
Previous ranking: 10
10. Michael Bloomberg, former Mayor of New York City
Bloomberg continues to play with an offer but it is extremely difficult to see a credible itinerary for the former mayor of New York despite his great fortune.
Bloomberg's pro-business centrism does not seem to fit in with today's Democrats, and he is far from being a natural politician on the trunk, which would bother him in the early voting states of Iowa and New York. New Hampshire.
Previous ranking: 9
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