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by Brad Brevet
February 28, 2019
After last weekend, Universal and DreamWorks Animation made their debut with a franchise record How to train your dragon: the hidden world, this weekend serves calm before the storm that is coming Captain Marvel, on which the industry counts to give the 2019 box office the shock it badly needs. As for this weekend, Hidden world will remain in 1st place, hoping to retain more than the franchise's first film as the second, while Lionsgate debuts Tyler Perryof Funeral of the Madea family and Focus will release the thriller Greta. In addition, the winners of last weekend's Oscars are in full expansion, led by the winner of the best film Green paper.
After a better than expected debut last weekend, the release of DreamWorks Animation by Universal How to train your dragon 3 will remain the best box office movie this weekend, the question is whether it offers a performance more similar to the first movie, which plunged only -33.7% during his second weekend, or rather as the second film, which dropped by -50% his second-year frame. Based on the film's first performance, we expect a second weekend in the middle, predicting a trough of about 42% and a second weekend of $ 32 million, pushing the film to the bottom, or more, $ 100 million after. ten days of liberation.
Looking at a second place is is Tyler Perryof Funeral of the Madea familythat the multi-trait union suggested will serve as last Do one functionality. Family funeral is Madea's ninth film to date and all but one – A Christmas of Madea – has opened with more than 20 million dollars and there seems no reason to wait less than this latest version. With an opening in the 2442 sites, the industry expects an opening ranging from 18 to 20 million, but we expect a performance of at least 21 million dollars for 2017 Boo 2!. The film will have previews of 19h on Thursday evening.
Fox Alita: Angel Batlte dipped a little more than expected last weekend, down -56.7%. Things should slow down a bit this weekend, because we want the film to drop by 42% for three more days. $ 7 million and more, which should translate into a domestic expenditure of $ 72 million by the end of the weekend.
WB The movie LEGO 2: The second part also dropped a little more than expected last weekend facing Hidden worlddebut and this weekend he should lose about 36% more over three days $ 6 million and national consumption reaching $ 90 million, less than half of what the original had been at the same time of its publication.
Look for the release of Focus from Greta to complete the top five. Right now we are looking for the Neil Jordanthriller directed by Isabelle Huppert and Chloe Moretz start anywhere between 4-5 million dollars on 2,409 places with a slight possibility, it goes a little higher, going in the direction of the anticipation of the studio for an opening to a figure. With a focus on comps such as Paranoia ($ 3.5 million opening), He comes at night (Opening $ 5.99 million) and Unforgettable (Opening $ 4.79 million), the data on the IMDb page are displayed Greta a rhythm similar to both Paranoia and Unforgettable in the two weeks before the release, while He comes at night. The film will have previews of 19h on Thursday evening.
Elsewhere, some of the Academy Award winners last weekend, led by the winner of the best film Green paper, get important theater bumps. Green paper will continue to be in the top 10 with the creation of 1,388 movie theaters this weekend for a total of 2,641 venues. This is the biggest increase in drama that a Best Film (winner or other) candidate has ever received on the weekend following the ceremony – more than 400 more than expected. Moonlight, which experienced a dramatic rise of +979 after its win in the Best Film category at the 2016 Oscars. There are obviously many ways to slice the data, but if we consider the Oscar winners of the best movie that have Reached over a million dollars on the weekend following their victory and starred in more than 1,000 theaters, they averaged a 89.3% increase over the previous weekend. In the case of Green paper that would suggest a weekend performance just around $ 4 million and we see no reason not to expect such a performance from Green paper, if not a little better.
Other Oscar winners who get a bump this weekend include WB's ### A star is born, which will develop in what marks its 22nd weekend with 1,235 filming locations (+490); Winner of the best animation of Sony Spider-Man: in the Spider-Verse from 743 theaters to 2,404 (+1,661); Fox projector The favourite will take his victory from the best actress for Olivia Colman and expand to 742 theaters (+454); and, although it's already available on Blu-ray and digital, Fox will nominate four-time Oscar winner. Bohemian Rhapsody back to 839 theaters (+415).
In limited edition this weekend, A24 will debut Climax; Neon will release the documentary Apollo 11 in 120 IMAX theaters exclusively; Blue Fox is going out Saint judy in 55 places; and the IFC will publish The wedding guest in four places.
The forecast for this weekend is directly below. This article will be updated on Friday morning with the results of Thursday night's preview followed by Friday's estimates on Saturday morning and a full weekend's recap on Sunday morning.
- How to train your dragon: the hidden world (4,286 rooms) – $ 32.0 million
- The funeral of the Madea family of Tyler Perry (2,442 rooms) – $ 22.0 million
- Alita: Battle Angel (3,096 rooms) – $ 7.2 million
- The movie LEGO 2: The second part (3,458 theaters) – $ 6.2 million
- Greta (2,409 theaters) – $ 4.8 million
- Fight with my family (2,855 theaters) – $ 4.7 million
- Is not it romantic (3,325 rooms) – $ 4.6 million
- Green paper (2,641 screens) – $ 4.0 million
- What men want (2,018 screens) – $ 3.0 million
- Good death 2U (2,324 theaters) – $ 2.2 million
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