[ad_1]
Despite our obsession with what teams will do in the NFL Draft, the team is not making a decision. It is usually up to one person within the organization to choose a franchise, and if that same decision maker is watching over what he really thinks, no one, not even his associates, knows what the "team" is planning.
Take the Cleveland Browns last year. General Manager John Dorsey, who was hired at the end of the 2017 season, kept the first major card that was distributed against his chest. Illustrated SportsPeter King said that Dorsey had the strong impression of choosing Baker Mayfield no. 1 after a private training session in March, but Dorsey did not share this information with the people who worked for him until April 26, day of the first round. The foreigners spent four months wondering if the Browns would call on Josh Allen of Wyoming. Sam Darnold, from the USC, and even people who work for the Browns discovered that the team was going to take Mayfield just hours before his appointment.
This year's project will be dominated by a handful of decision makers who have the capital to give a few sparks and the sleight of hand that makes it difficult to see how things will unfold. These are the four people who could wreak havoc on the NFL 2019 project and what everyone can think of.
Steve Keim, Managing Director, Arizona Cardinals: The chaos from top to bottom
Choice: No. 1, No. 33, No. 65, No. 103
Keim is sitting in Dorsey's chair this year. As MJ making the first choice in the draft, Keim will dictate what everyone is doing. But while Cleveland was clenched last year, there is plenty of information on the Cardinals' plans this year.
Little Brain – Draft Kyler, Swap Rosen: The only widespread belief in this rough draft is that the Cardinals are well engaged in the quarterback / center player Kyler Murray's draft, winner of Oklahoma Heisman. The movement has a sense of football. Murray has experience in the management of the new type offensive air raid type coach that Kliff Kingsbury should employ and he could become one of the best football's deep smugglers while possessing the ability to run as well as almost any quarter. Josh Rosen would have offered Arizona a second-round pick, but the Cardinals may be hoping to turn it into a first-round pick in 2019, possibly from Washington, Miami, or the New York Giants.
Bigger brain – Draft Kyler, keep Rosen: Rosen Trading may be the traditional logic but, as The ringKevin Clark noted earlier this month, the revolutionary idea is to keep both. The value of the first round of the 2018 Preliminary Round reached its lowest point after a disastrous rookie campaign, but he never had the chance to succeed with an overworked coaching staff and poorly constructed alignment. Rosen can increase his business value simply by sitting on the bench to start the year, and it could be worth a lot more if another team gets injured in the quarter. Maybe two young shifts are better than one.
Brain larger – Swap the pick, keep Rosen: There is a more intriguing and chaotic possibility that could explain the prevalence of Kyler's rumors in Arizona: the Cardinals may have fanned Murray's flames to increase the value of the no. 1 global choice in trade negotiations. Even by rough standards, the certainty around the league that the Cardinals will bring Murray is exceptionally high, and there is a chance we can queue for an even bigger rope without more. 1 in total as the Browns taking Baker. Here's how Keim described the NFL project's top:
"I think every year it's different, but for me, many players really deserve no. 1 choice, "Keid told ESPN's Josh Weinfuss. "Enough of guys for me to think that there is a lot of value in this choice right now."
And here is Keim, last year, who was discussing the possibility of exchanging:
"To exchange, you have to find a partner. No. 2, which player is on the set when this team is ready to trade? If he is a dynamic player who changes the game in this position, he will not take anything less than the mortgage for the house, the farm and all that will happen. "
Maybe the Cardinals are considering choosing Murray over Rosen to say that Murray is a revolutionary player and they will only trade for no. 1 place if they get a mortgage offer for the house and the farm.
Brain Enlightened – Play both at the same time: Kingsbury, offensive guru, will take the air raid to a new level and execute a two-quarter attack.
Jon Gruden, Head Coach, Oakland Raiders: All Choices
Drafts: No. 4, No. 24, No. 27, No. 35, No. 106
Do not be fooled by its title. Jon Gruden has full control of the Raiders' organization. The Raiders hired Mike Mayock, an NFL Network analyst, as the team's chief executive on New Year's Eve, but just over a week later, Mayock said Gruden was the manager.
"In all honesty, Jon has the last word, if ever we get there, and I have no problem with that," Mayock told ESPN's Paul Gutierrez.
Great power involves great responsibilities. The Raiders have four of the top 35 picks in this year's draft after defenseman Khalil Mack and receiver Amari Cooper.
Little Brain – Use the four choices on four players: Gruden can use the four top 35 choices to build the foundation he wants, as he has the rare opportunity to define two pillars of the franchise on either side of the ball.
Bigger brain – Exchange yourself: Gruden's only surprise would be to sit with these four selections. The Raiders made 10 swaps involving a player in 2018, the league's second-largest league against the Cleveland Browns. After sending his third player to Pittsburgh in the Antonio Brown trade, Oakland's only pick on day two of the repechage (rounds 2 and 3) is nil. 35 – the third choice of the day – which means that Jon Gruden and his biting finger should stay up for five hours. In last year's draft, Oakland completed two transactions for more second-day picks. and did two exchanges for the players he wanted on day 2. Unless Gruden gets a restless spinner, they'll probably make a move.
Bigger brain – Swap, get two smugglers: The Raiders could take the pass of their choice at no. 4, but it is unlikely that he who takes them is as good as Khalil Mack. But if they take two of those caps at the end of the first round and play in the top 10 against another defensive lineman (Ed Oliver), they could give themselves two players who could do more together than Mack can. to do it alone. would combine for less than half of Mack's loss of course. Besides Oakland could still hang on to no. 35 in all in the process.
Illuminated Brain – Kyler Murray Draft: Most of Gruden's contracts last season appeared to be an attempt to purge the line-up of former GM Raiders Reggie McKenzie. But there is still one glaring element: quarterback Derek Carr. Gruden made it clear that Carr was the quarterback of the team's franchise at the combine, and Mayock also reminded him.
"I think Derek Carr is a franchise quarterback, I really believe it," Mayock told reporters at the meeting. "Now, do I also think it's a job of general manager and head coach to keep your eyes open to improve any position in a football team? Sure. But I think it's very difficult to improve a quarter of a franchise like the one we currently have in our building. "
Find a better quarterback than Carr would be difficult, but you know what else is difficult? Trading up to no. 1 global choice. It's no exaggeration to imagine that Gruden thinks trading is not. 4, no. 27, and another second day choice in Arizona for the right to nominate Murray while retaining status no. 24 and no. 35 is better than holding his picks. If you think that the Cardinals want to be part of the first choice, or that it makes sense for the Raiders to play at the quarterback, if they have the opportunity, it is also wise that the Raiders pay too much. Kyler as the icing on the cake of traders Mack and Cooper.
Dave Gettleman, General Manager, New York Giants: Wild Card!
Capital of project: No. 6, No. 17, No. 37, No. 95
Gettleman won the title of "joker" by exchanging Odell Beckham Jr. Even the Beckham trade dropped in a banal way: Gettleman wanted two first-round picks in exchange for Beckham, and the Browns replied with a first round, a third Jabrill Peppers. Instead of shopping in the league to try to get both first-round picks, Gettleman agreed to the deal, according to ESPN.
Little Brain – Roughing a Quarter at No. 6: Eli Manning is old and the Giants' property said they would like to come out of this draft with a quarter. This is not complicated.
Bigger Brain – Roughing a Quarter at No. 17: One thing is certain for the Giants on the day of the repechage: New York will not come back. Gettleman was the general manager of the Panthers for five projects and was the general manager of the Giants for one, and in these six projects he was never traded. That does not seem to be an option, and the Giants beat writers who believe the team is looking for a defensive player, but who would be willing to take a quarter with no. 17 global choice. (This is also what The ringDanny Kelly in his latest model.) This strategy is crazy. Pass on a quarterback at no. 6 and writing one later means that the team believes that one of the following is true:
- Their favorite franchise quarter is not worth the no. 6 overall choice.
- Their favorite franchise quarter is so hated by the rest of the league that it will fall to zero. 17
- Their favorite franchise quarterback will be available after the no. 6 but will go before no. 17, forcing them to exchange.
- Their quarterly assessments should be available at no. 6 are similar, suggesting that the best course of action is to take the one that remains at no. 17
All feel logically distorted. If the Giants believe that there is a quarterback to take at no. 17 but not at no. 6, they may as well not take a quarter. And if the player is really worth the no. 17 choices, it's probably worth taking a step. 6. As for the quarterbacks, it does not make sense to mess around and hope that a player falls as if it were a fantastic football match.
A bigger brain – Writing a QB in 2020: The 2020 quarterback class should be much better than this year. Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama) could be the best prospect since Andrew Luck in 2012, and Jake Fromm (Georgia) would have a chance not to participate. 1 this year if it was available. Giants co-owner John Mara said New York would not take a quarter if he is a board member of the team.
Brain Enlightened – Extend Eli Manning: Forget the new quarters – the team would be willing to extend Manning, whose contract will be effective after this year.
Bill Belichick, Sith Lord, Patriots of New England
Capital of project: No. 32, No. 56, No. 64, No. 73, No. 97, No. 101
With 12 choices, the Patriots have the most selections in the repechage, though four of them will be in the seventh round. But the Patriots have six choices in the top 101, which prepares them for the type of roll and shopping for which they became famous in the Belichick mandate.
Belichick this week presented an elaborate defense against the traditional commercial value chart, created by Jimmy Johnson to properly value drafting over the course of the years and has been adopted by many teams since then. that it is considered obsolete.
"So, for you, having a different graph from the other 31 graphs is not really productive because we are now discussing which graph -" My graph says it. Your graph says it. '… I would say that everyone probably uses the same value graph. I would say that in our draft trade negotiations over the years, especially the last two or three years, there has not been a lot of ", says my chart, your graph says that.
Brain enlightened: Maybe Belichick will use the same graph as everyone else, but the chances of him noticing his own transactions based on Jimmy's chart seem small.
[ad_2]
Source link