The fourth wave of Covid targets the young and the restless

Since I complained about this several times in 2020, I must point out that the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began belatedly and half-heartedly to release realistic estimates of the extent of Covid-19 in the United States.

It’s hard to describe as a mistake what is deliberate, but at least the timely addendum reminds us that any fourth wave will be focused on people who are not among the roughly 100 million who have already been infected and thus acquired a some immunity. like the potentially overlapping 100 million that were vaccinated.

Which means the fourth wave will be largely confined to unvaccinated youth who have diligently locked themselves in the entire time and are now mingling and putting themselves at risk in a way they didn’t do it there. a few months.

Likewise, the results for California, Florida, Germany, Sweden and elsewhere have any simple correlation between mandatory lockouts and the successful practice of social distancing. One overwhelming conclusion is valid: Like Florida, whose peak workload occurred long after New York or northern Italy, some places took the time to reflect and consider and follow through. more nuanced approaches to the arrival of Covid.

We may find that foreclosure measures have come too late, are not being followed, or are simply irrelevant to the choices people make about when and how to put themselves at risk.