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By Carrie Dann
WASHINGTON – A slight majority of Americans say their taxes will remain unchanged or increase as a result of President Donald Trump's tax reform plan, according to new data released by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.
About equal shares say they think their taxes will increase (28%) or stay about the same (27%), while fewer Americans – just 17% – believe their taxes will go down the continuation of the plan signed by Trump at the end of 2017.
Another 28% say they are uncertain.
Republicans are more likely than their Democratic and independent counterparts to say that legislation will reduce their taxes.
One-third – 33% – of Republicans think they will pay less taxes, 11% think they will increase and 34% expect their tax account to stay the same.
Forty-four percent of Democrats, meanwhile, say they expect to pay more, against 23% who expect to pay the same price and 7% who say they will pay less.
A plurality of independents – about 40% – say they are unsure of the effects of the Trump tax plan on their families. About a quarter of independents think they will pay more (26%), and only one in ten think they will pay less (10%).
Trump presented this plan as an indispensable relief for middle-class families, while Democrats considered it a gift for the very wealthy.
However, there is little difference between different income groups as to how the plan will affect their taxes.
Thirty percent of high-income Americans, 26 percent of middle-class Americans and 28 percent of the working poor or the poor think they will pay more. These changes are all in the margin of error for these groups.
Similarly, 27% of high-income Americans, 29% of middle-class Americans, and 26% of the working poor say that their taxes will stay the same.
The richest are the most likely to say that they will pay less. A quarter of high-income Americans said they expect their taxes to be lower, compared to 19 percent of middle-class Americans and only 11 percent of the lowest-income group.
The survey was conducted from March 23 to 27, 2019. The margin of error for all adults is +/- 3.1%.
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