The only preview of the opening day you need



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Whether you're a relentless fan who's been counting since the start of the new season or someone who's waiting for the opening day to announce to annoy, the return of baseball is an event to celebrate.

We asked Bradford Doolittle, Sam Miller, Jeff Passan and David Schoenfield of ESPN.com to provide a preview of the opening day, the state of the franchise, the fact that you must know and privileged information about the 30 teams to prepare you to monitor your team. take the field for the first time in 2019.

Go to each opening match:
BAL-NYY | NYM-WAS | STL-MIL | ATL-PHI
DET-TOR | ARI-LAD | HOU-TB | CHC-TEX
LAA-OAK | SF-SD | CLE-MIN | COL-MIA
PIT-CIN | CHW-KC | BOS-SEA

Believe it or not, the Orioles have won a division title more recently than the Yankees. The Yankees have had six seasons since their last AL East title in 2012, although they have just finished their first season of 100 wins since 2009.

While Luis Severino is injured, Masahiro Tanaka marks the start of the opening day, but all eyes will be on the offense that hit a major league record with 267 homers in 2018. Of the 300 circuits are possible? Perhaps. Aaron Judge looks set for a monster season and the Yankees rely on more than 56 combined races from Giancarlo Stanton and Gary Sanchez.

What you need to know about Orioles

State of the Orioles by Doolittle: After a successful run of five-year winning seasons (96 wins and a stay at ALCS in 2014), Baltimore collapsed after a two-month freefall that culminated in a worst-ever defeat of 2018 in 2018. As the minor league system is in full swing, a new front-office staff has just started filtering debris.

The interior of Passan: The Orioles sum up their words: Max Scherzer's last spring start was marked by 12 strikeouts. Most Baltimore throwers hit for all of spring: Andrew Cashner with 14 …. The throws help arrives for Baltimore. A scout named D.L., 20 years old. Hall, a first-round pick in 2017, "the best pitcher I've seen this spring."

Fun fact from Miller: The greatest number of passes allowed by a major league team in the last decade is 894 – the 2017 Tigers – but this year's Orioles are projected by PECOTA to allow 895, which is really surprising considering the generally conservative nature of team projections. So who is the pitcher to watch? Paul Fry, a left-leaser with 38 career pitches and a slider he launches nearly half the time, should have the lowest EAR among his staff. It is expected that this will be the 472nd smallest league record in the league, which is more than the number of pitchers on the major league alignments, but someone must be the one Staff.

What you need to know about the Yankees

The state of the Doolittle Yankees: The Yankees remain the Yankees, although they are a little less decadent and much more efficient than they were in the days of Boss Steinbrenner. The Bombers have not experienced a lost season since 1992 and, after what now seems to be the epitome of a "soft" rebuild, New York has just won a season of 100 victories with an overabundance of young stars and resources to add more, and high hopes to break what is, for this franchise, an epic season epic for the nine seasons.

The interior of Passan: Even without the injury of Aaron Hicks, Greg Bird and Luke Voit could have ended up in a timeshare at first base and in DH. "I'd rather have them both [Brett] "Gardner," said a scout, sharing the same sentiment.When Hicks returns, Stanton could stay in the left field and judge right if the Bird-Voit experience works as she has been this spring. The Yankees are here for two beginners: Tanaka and Gio Gonzalez, a cutter … Only five of the first 28 games of the Yankees were opposed to teams over .500 last year.

Fun fact from Miller: Yankee Stadiums have always benefited from left-handed batters, and since 2000, the Yankees have made more appearances for the left-handed batters than any team. But this year's training – especially if Voit wins most of the game time on Bird – will be heavily based on the right hand, with Gardner perhaps the only regular southpaw bat. But it does not matter: last year, the Yankees had the best power in the field opposite to baseball, with 56 homers at the top in the league, including 55 scored by the huge right-hander.

Spring must be read: All you need to know about Severino's injury

Forecast of the opening day of Schoenfield

Yankees 7, Orioles 3. The judge and Stanton will both win the Yankees.

Here is your brand match of the day. The new Mets will face Nationals without Bryce Harper in a clash featuring Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer, who finished first and second in Cy Young's vote in the National League. The Ace of the Mets was only 10-9, but with a 1.70 ERA and finished the season with a record 29 consecutive starts, giving up three points or less. Scherzer went 18-7 with a 2.53 ERA and a career record of 300 strikeouts.

What you need to know about Mets

The status of Doolittle's Mets: The Mets have won five pennants and two world series during their 57 seasons, but have always seemed to follow this cycle: breaking up with a young team filled with twinkling stars, appearing to be at dawn. a golden age and end up with postscript composed of unrealized potential. Rather than demolish and start again, the Mets agent hired agent Brodie Van Wagenen as GM to take advantage of his latest core of endangered phenomena with an off-plan plan. aggressive season.

The interior of Passan: The Mets' decision to keep Pete Alonso is a great reminder that service time manipulation is an active choice that teams have to make. A Mets player this spring said the crop change was "huge" compared to the previous year. winning adds to a big difference. … Robinson Cano: "I do not care about his age, he'll be able to hit when he's 60."

The heating of DeGrom. The change of Mad Max – and three other indecipherable weapons. We combine the best things of baseball into one dominant ace. Discover the ultimate pitcher

Fun fact from Miller: Last year, the Mets had allowed only 26 bases on wild lands, the lowest number of any team since 2011. The lowest total per team was 39, the league average was 62 and the Pirates had 95. Although the Mets pitchers are terribly bad – They have allowed the greatest number of flights in the National League – their ability to keep the ball away from the field has limited the ride.

Spring must be read: Delivered under intense pressure to lock deGrom (ESPN +)

What you need to know about nationals

National status at Doolittle: The Bryce Harper era is over and the Expos / Nationals franchise is still suffering for its first NL pennant. Washington is on a string of seven consecutive seasons and, despite the loss of its franchise star, prospects remain bright in DC. A strong core of veteran stars remains, led by Anthony Rendon, Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg and Trea Turner. More than that, Nats fans can fully focus on the rise of rookie 2018 rookie Juan Soto and on the rise of the outdoor phenomenon Victor Robles. Harper may have gone, but the Nats' title hopes are not.

The interior of Passan: Hot shot from the exit: the field of the Nationals will be better this year without Bryce Harper than last year with him. Scouts are excited about 20-year-old Soto, using the initials M.V.P., and are excited to see what Robles, 21, can do in a full season at the center. If Adam Eaton can stay healthy, he is among the top five.

Fun fact from Miller: Soto not only showed an extraordinarily mature approach to adolescence last season, but he also showed the in-season growth associated with youth. In the first half, Soto's pursuit rate was 48th in baseball, out of about 300 batters. In the second half, he was sixth, just ahead of Alex Bregman. (This coincided with the league's first major adjustment against him, a fastball surrender.) The next step – combining that eye with a selective aggression in the zone – would push him to be part of Joey's elite group of elites. Votto.

Spring must be read: Life after Harper? Soto may be what Bryce was … and more

Forecast of the opening day of Schoenfield

National 2, Mets 1. The two starters dominate and this comes back to the corrector. The Nationals compete against Edwin Diaz in the ninth.

The Brewers have just won their division title and playoffs since 2011, while the Cardinals are entering a third consecutive non-playoff season, the first time since 1999. The Cardinals have been a sensation in the offseason and have acquired A Perennial MVP candidate Paul Goldschmidt of the Diamondbacks then signed for a five-year extension that will keep him in St. Louis until 2024.

Christian Yelich, the most valuable player in the Netherlands after beating .326 / .402 / .598 and getting closer to a Triple Crown (he was the first batting average, two behind Nolan Arenado at the circuits and a point behind Javier Baez), leads to the Milwaukee offensive that hopes to improve its seventh place in points scored.

What you need to know about Cardinals

The state of Doolittle Cardinals: The Cardinals have not had a losing season since 2007, but after finishing three consecutive playoff seasons, Redbird fans, who have a right, let's face it, are scared. Fortunately for them, it was the same for the front office of the club that feared the risk, who traded against a permanent MVP threat to Goldschmidt, and then, at the end of his spring training, the club. has hired for an extension of contract. St. Louis largely explains why NL Central looks so hard on paper, and the Cardinals have every reason to focus on the 12th crown of the World Series franchise.

The interior of Passan: As praised as any other pudding may be, the Cardinals could have the best 1-2-3 shot in baseball with Alex Reyes, Jordan Hicks and Andrew Miller. Reyes, who seems to have at least 50 pounds more than his stated weight of 175, has filled and found even more in his talented right hand. "His business is disgusting," said a scout. And it's alongside Hicks, who can cast harder than any pitcher in history. Miller is the left-handed complement, offering Mike Shildt an options menagerie. … to watch: how do the Cardinals balance the appearance of Harrison Bader, Marcell Ozuna, Dexter Fowler, Tyler O'Neill and Jose Martinez. Five guys, three field seats, countless difficult decisions.

Fun fact from Miller: O 'Neill is, aesthetically speaking, a unicorn. Out of more than 500 great players daily, he recorded the 20th fastest sprint speed of last year. Out of over 400, he had the ninth fastest exit speed of the second half. He has a cartoon body, all the muscles and eye-catching tissues, and he has pierced Triple-pitching last year. He also nibbled 47% of his swings in the majors, by far the worst in the league. There should be a camera isolated on him at all times.

What you need to know about brewers

The state of the brewers of Doolittle: In the last two seasons, the Brewers have managed to move from one conflict phase to another, without having ever been at a low point. After just missing the playoffs in 2017, the Brewers won the game for 2018 in Chicago and won the game for the first time in Chicago. They ended up losing their last game in front of the NL pennant, which would have been the franchise's first game. (Milwaukee won the 1982 AL pennant.) One of the seven unofficial World Series franchises, the Brewers returned in most cases to attempt to finish at the top.

The interior of Passan: Brewers third baseman Travis Shaw had an impressive run. It is extremely difficult to hit 22 times without walking. … The rotation at Milwaukee is the envy of many, and the addition of Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta for a full year, as well as the return of Jimmy Nelson, only strengthen the Brewers. while they're looking to tap this winning window.

Fun fact from Miller: The Brewers have committed, more than perhaps any team in history, to protecting their runners from the third time penalty. Last year, their starters faced 18, 19 or 20 heats exactly 38 times, the largest number of starts of this type in baseball. These are not the best performances of their starters. Together, they scored a total of 4.53 points for those 38 starts – but the Brewers benefited from the extra batting hitter and additional heats of their super strength. They went 23-15 in these 38 games.

Forecast of the opening day of Schoenfield

Cardinals 4, Brewers 2. Miles Mikolas, one of the biggest surprises of last year with a record of 18-4 with an average of 2.83, wins well, and this famous trio of Bullpen stops him.

The Braves arrive early in the season as Mike Foltynewicz (elbow), scheduled to start the opening day, and Kevin Gausman (shoulder), will open the season on the injured list.

After signing a $ 330 million contract over the winter, the new Philadelphia superstar is appearing before her new audience for the first time. Do not miss Harper's debut!
Watch Braves-Phillies, 3 ET on ESPN +

The Braves won the NL East last year in 28 games over .500 in the division, including 12 versus 7 against the Phillies, but it looks like a stronger Phillies team with the additions from Bryce Harper, Realmuto JT, Andrew McCutchen, Jean Segura and David Robertson. Aaron Nola had a brilliant 2018 season, finishing third in Cy Young's vote with a points average of 2.37 and a batting average of .197. Harper will be the center of attention, but the confrontation will be Nola against MVP candidate Ronald Acuna Jr.

What you need to know about the Braves

The prospects of the brave Doolittle: The Braves broke their four-year losing streak with a NL East title in 2018, after being quietly engaged in a complete rebuild before the subject of tanking in baseball became a hot topic. With a prominent farm system poised to increase the number of players still savoring the fresh taste of the playoffs, Atlanta has just sifted.

The interior of Passan: A scout on right-handed 21-year-old Bryse Wilson, who will be participating in the second game of the series: "He is a middle linebacker on the mound." I love his make-up, I love his attack. business beyond the fastball, but it's the child who discovers it. "… Wilson is the first of the 2016 Braves monster to qualify for the major leagues. He will not be the last. Right-hander Ian Anderson has serious helium. Huge left-handers Kyle Muller and Joey Wentz may have a year off, but they are also on the rise.

Fun fact from Miller: When the throwers pitched Freddie Freeman in first time last year, he played 75% of the time, easily the highest rate of baseball. Second in the standings: Ozzie Albies – the second early baseball player who has often beaten Freeman – at 70%. They tied for the second highest number of hits on the first throw and each time more than 0.66 on contact with the first throw. These two men have some kind of team-wide philosophy: the Braves put 25 percent more 0-0 in the game compared to the average team, and they hit .612, the sixth highest baseball total on these fields.

Spring must be read: Young arms could carry Braves in NL East stacked (ESPN +)

What you need to know about Phillies

The state of the Doolittle Phillies: Of the 16 franchises that formed the major league landscape during the first half of the 20th century, the Phillies had the worst percentage of collective wins. Philadelphia has been in continuous existence since 1883, but has the same number of World Series crowns (two) as the Marlins. After five years of rebuilding, the Phillies competed in 2018 before fading, then left and signed a 13-year contract with Harper, a true jewel of an aggressive winter acquisition campaign. The last age of the golden Phillies is born.

The interior of Passan: One of the most demanded players on the trading market this winter was Phillies right-handed Nick Pivetta, whose underlying spin metrics left the teams confident he had potential as. The Phillies saw it too, and insisted that he had at least one point – maybe two – better than his 4.77-time run last season. Despite his signing in March, Harper played almost as many spring games as second baseman Cesar Hernandez and more than field player center Odubel Herrera.

Fun fact from Miller: The Phillies of last year were the worst defensive team in terms of defensive victories recorded for at least a decade, having failed to defend their defense position above the average. The frictions of this defense do not affect the statistics of all the throwers in the same way, but the Phillies 3-4-5 starters – Pivetta, Vince Velasquez and Zach Eflin – achieved a collective ERA (4.68), what is almost superior to their FIP (3.78) suggests that it should have been. Philadelphia's winter spending frenzy means new defenders at five positions and the Phillies are now planning to be just bad, rather than disastrous, on the ground.

Spring must be read: How the club problems of the Phillies in 2018 caused by Fortnite led to the destruction of a television

Forecast of the opening day of Schoenfield

Phillies 4, Braves 3. Yes, Harper has the flair for drama. He dominated five times in seven career opening days. Make six.

Do not expect to watch Vladimir Guerrero Jr. play because it makes too much sense that the 20-year-old phenomenon starts his career at home in front of a sold-out crowd on opening day. Instead, he will begin the season with the miners while caring for an oblique strain. The Jays have finished under .500 in the last two seasons after consecutive playoffs. Although they are rebuilding, they hope Marcus Stroman and Aaron Sanchez will have rebound seasons in return. a chance to surprise. This pair has achieved a combined total of 8-15 in 39 starts with a 5.21 ERA in 2018. As for the Tigers … well, there is still hope that they will finish better than 64-98 this season.

What you need to know about Tigers

The state of the Doolittle tigers: The Tigers have been bickering for more than a decade and have even won two American league pennants in hopes of winning the late owner Mike Ilitch. With the aging of the composition and the inflated payroll, GM Tigers Al Avila has entered a much needed reconstruction phase in 2017, a phase that is only in its infancy. dawn of the 2019 season.

The interior of Passan: Similar to the opponent's Tigers opening day against Guerrero Jr. this spring, there is a strong urge to hold Casey Mize in Detroit this year as he wonders if it's worth starting the service clock of choice number one in what is emerging. until it's a miserable season. By the way, Mize has added a brittle ball to an already obscene arsenal of fastball-splitter-curveball.

Fun fact from Miller: The Tigers are entering the season with little hope of competing but hope to trade Nicholas Castellanos against a big shot in the near future. But these hopes could depend on Castellanos who will make big progress in his second season in the right field. At the moment, Castellanos is considered the worst defensive player in history until the age of 26, in number of defeats recorded. He ranked last among all out-of-field players among Statcast's outs from last year's average and, since 2016, he ranks 42nd in baseball (according to OPS +, minimum 1 000 AP), but only 125th in total WAR.

What you need to know about Blue Jays

The status of the Blue Jays of Doolittle: The Blue Jays won a third franchise title with a loss to Kansas City in 2015 against ALCS. This defeat resulted in the dismantling of Toronto's electrical training featuring sluggers Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Bautista and Josh Donaldson. All are gone and the Blue Jays have cleared the field for a promising new wave of young talents, named Guerrero Jr., rookie of the year AL 2019. The Jays have to deal with bullet and revenue problems but they are rarely rebuilt accompanied with as much anticipation as this one.

The interior of Passan: An oblique strain has allowed Toronto to avoid any question about his motives for holding Vlad Jr. off the opening list. Now the Blue Jays must be careful with their esteemed perspective, as oblique injuries have recurrence problems. … With Guerrero and Bo Bichette on the way, and the potential emergence of catcher Danny Jansen, league player Teoscar Hernandez and second baseman Lourdes Gurriel, the offensive core of the Blue Jays could be excellent. Pitching remains problematic.

Fun fact from Miller: The Blue Jays had Elvis Luciano in the draft Rule 5 because of a quirk in his eligibility because he is much younger than the typical choices in rule 5 and was not very close to the big leagues. Toronto should keep him in line with the big league all year, and despite a bad spring training, Luciano is still in the game, which gives us a fun experience to watch: what happens when a pitcher in a short season balloon crosses four levels and has to face the major leagues for a year?

Forecast of the opening day of Schoenfield

Blue Jays 8, Tigers 2. The Jays register three circuits and win big.

Clayton Kershaw will not leave for the Dodgers. Rich Hill either. Both players will start the season on the injured list, with Kershaw's shoulder inflammation being more of a concern than MCL's Hill strain at the left knee. Walker Buehler is in good health, but the Dodgers are already focused on limiting his heats, so he will not recover the ball in the first series of the season. That leaves Hyun-Jin Ryu, but all he did in 2018 was to publish a 1.97 MPM out of 15 starts. Yes, the Dodgers are excited to start pitching, which is why they are the consensus favorites to win their seventh consecutive division title.

The Diamondbacks have lost Goldschmidt, Patrick Corbin and A.J. Pollock (to the Dodgers), so the rotation will have to carry the load. Zack Greinke is in his fourth opening day but is looking to win his first win.

What you need to know about Diamondbacks

The status of Doolittle's Diamondbacks: The Diamondbacks have gone from 93 wins and a Wild Card place in NL to 82 in a pivotal winter for a "soft" rebuild. In practice, this means that a large team only has one star player (Greinke) and a top-five farm system that absolutely needs to be strengthened so that Arizona can soon exceed mediocrity.

The interior of Passan: Slowly but surely, Greinke is working on a hugely convincing resume from the Hall of Fame, with a Cy Young Award, five all-star games, five gold gloves and what is now close to the 3,000 innings. And he does not rest on his wide range of terrain either. A scout recently spotted Greinke working on a cutting machine and said that despite his reduced speed, Greinke, 35, was as good as he has been in years. His intelligence and incredible knowledge of the game could allow him to dive deep into his thirties.

Fun fact from Miller: Last year, Diamondbacks began using a humidifier to offset the effects of dry desert air attack in Arizona, and it worked. This year, they will replace indoor turf – which becomes dry, hard and fast – with artificial turf. That will not change anything, but last year's Diamondbacks pitchers had the highest groundball rate in baseball, and in the last ten years, the Diamondbacks hard ground has turned about 10 outs in single and 10 singles in extra-basic hits each year.

What you need to know about the Dodgers

The state of the Doolittle Dodgers: The Dodgers have won 91 games or more in each of the last six seasons, all of which ended with a NL West division title. The last two of these campaigns have also reported the 23rd and 24th franchise pennants to the franchise, but the drought in the World Series is 31 years old. With significant training in the Major Leagues, deep pockets and a deep farm system, L.A. has it all – except for the fourth win of a Fall Classic.

The interior of Passan: Scouts are curious to see Kershaw in good health to assess the speed difference between his fastball and his slider. Although a big gap is not imperative, the two courts were so similar in the World Series that a Red Sox batter managed to not worry about which Kershaw had thrown. … Even with injured Kershaw, the Dodgers have plenty of pitching options. Buehler is a big winner of Cy Young. The business of Julio Urias is at the top level because he gets shot after an injury to the shoulder. Tony Gonsolin, the pitcher of the year in the Dodgers minor league, is an incredible athlete (with an incredible mustache). And most important of all belongs to Dustin May, a 6-foot-6-inch flamethrower with red hair mane that gave him a mash-up of comparable / classic nickname: Gingergaard.

Fun fact from Miller: The 2018 Dodgers were by far the most important clutch team of the century: their OPS in high leverage situations accounted for only 73% of all OPS, and their lack of clutches cost them nine wins – basically, a Mike Trout in full – – all alone. Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger and the late Yasmani Grandal were the bottom three worst hitters in baseball, and Joc Pederson, Justin Turner and (also dead) Yasiel Puig were all in the 10th percentile. Clutchness of the team shows essentially no correlation from year to year, so the Dodgers – according to all that we have learned – should be safe. But it is to watch.

Le printemps doit lire: «Cody doit être notre gars»: Bellinger prêt pour le tour de star en L.A.

Prévision du jour d'ouverture de Schoenfield

Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 1. Greinke fait taire les chauves-souris des Dodgers alors que l’Arizona gagne.

C’est l’autre match de la journée à ne pas manquer depuis que nous avons Justin Verlander et Blake Snell, les deux derniers vainqueurs de l’année dernière dans la Ligue américaine Cy Young. Verlander est probablement encore enthousiaste à l'idée de terminer deuxième derrière Snell lors d'un vote serré – Snell a obtenu 21 victoires et une MPM de 1,89, mais Verlander a lancé 33 de plus.

Verlander vient de signer une extension de 66 millions de dollars qui le maintiendra à Houston jusqu'en 2021. "Je ne veux être nulle part ailleurs", a déclaré Verlander. Et le ferait-il? Les Astros viennent de remporter deux saisons de suite et tentent de devenir la première équipe depuis les Yankees de 2002-2004 à atteindre 100 années consécutives. Il entame sa 11e journée d'ouverture en carrière. Snell, quant à lui, commence avec une série de neuf victoires consécutives puisqu'il a remporté neuf de ses dix derniers départs en 2018, n'accordant que huit points en 57 victoires dans cette séquence avec 84 retraits sur des prises. Il veut prouver qu'un Cy Young Award n'est pas suffisant.

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Ce que vous devez savoir sur les Astros

L'état des Astros de Doolittle: Les Astros restent carrément au milieu de l'ère la plus réussie de l'histoire d'une franchise fière, même si Houston n'a pas réussi à défendre son titre en World Series 2017. Houston a remporté 101 et 103 matchs au cours des deux dernières saisons, a conservé une formation jeune et a également réussi à conserver son classement dans le tiers supérieur des majeures. Les Astros ne partent pas de sitôt.

L'intérieur de Passan: Un éclaireur de la LNH sur les Astros: "C’est la meilleure équipe de baseball. Je ne pense pas que ce soit proche." … Plus d'éclaireurs aime et n'aime pas du camp Astros. Il aime: Forrest Whitley – qui devrait faire partie de la rotation des Astros d’ici mai – et le joueur de troisième but Abraham Toro-Hernandez. N'aime pas: le futur espoir Kyle Tucker, dont le swing à bras nus l'a mis hors de cause avec certains membres de l'organisation.

Fait amusant de Miller: Houston a été l'une des premières équipes à apprécier la valeur de l'encadrement du receveur. Selon les statistiques de Baseball Prospectus, les attrapeurs Astros ont enregistré 77 courses avec encadrement depuis 2014. Mais avec l'acquisition du receveur Robinson Chirinos, Houston aura un peloton étrange cette année: Max Stassi était le meilleur entraîneur de baseball l'année dernière, tandis que Chirinos s'est classé 42e sur 47. Regardez comment Astros attribue des départs à chaque receveur pour voir si Chirinos apprend la compétence en temps réel ou si les Astros ont décidé simplement cesser de se soucier de la valeur décroissante de cette compétence.

Ce que vous devez savoir sur les rayons

L'état des rayons de Doolittle: Selon Cot's Contracts, les Rays commencent la saison avec une masse salariale de 59,9 millions de dollars, dont 7 millions sont sous forme de résidus qui ne seront pas versés aux joueurs inscrits. Pourtant, les Rays ont remporté 90 matchs la saison dernière, sont restés en désaccord avec les wild cards la dernière semaine et prévoient être au cœur de la course aux séries éliminatoires de l'AL en 2019. Voilà en résumé l'histoire de la franchise des Rays et la raison leurs méthodes de pointe et hyperefficaces ont été un peu un fléau pour la MLB Players Association. Le propriétaire cupide William Hulbert avait peut-être prédit les Rayons au 19ème siècle: "Il est ridicule de payer 2 000 dollars par an aux joueurs de base-ball, en particulier lorsque les garçons à 800 dollars le font souvent aussi bien."

L'intérieur de Passan: Plus d’un éclaireur a déclaré ce printemps que Tampa Bay avait usurpé San Diego pour le meilleur système agricole du jeu. À la fin de la saison, les dépisteurs ont suggéré que Wander Franco, une escale brisée qui a 18 ans il y a moins d'un mois, sera la meilleure perspective du baseball. Et l'émergence de Shane Baz – acquis dans l'accord Chris Archer – et de Matthew Liberatore, premier choix en 2018, n'a fait qu'ajouter à la richesse des Rays. … Les Rays ne savent pas exactement où Brandon Lowe va jouer cette saison. Ils savent juste que, après avoir terminé un mois et demi avec un OPS proche de 900, ce sera quelque part.

Fait amusant de Miller: Dans les deux semaines qui ont précédé la pause des étoiles et la date limite des échanges l’an dernier, Tommy Pham a battu un record exceptionnel de .289 / .372 / .421 pour les Cardinals, à la fin duquel les Rayons l’échangèrent. Mais Pham avait aussi la sixième vitesse de sortie au baseball la plus élevée au cours de cette séquence, et cela aurait pu être prophétique: Pham continuerait à avoir la cinquième vitesse de sortie au baseball la plus élevée après l'échange et frappait un Mookiesque .343 / .448 / .622 sur deux mois pour Tampa Bay. Le candidat le plus voté au scrutin le plus utile en 2017 est un cheval noir pour être le premier Ray de Tampa Bay à se classer parmi les cinq meilleurs votes.

Prévision du jour d'ouverture de Schoenfield

Rayons 3, Astros 2. Beaucoup de grèves. Mais Lowe – qui a eu un grand printemps – remporte la victoire dans une victoire pour les Rays

For most teams, 95 wins and losing the division title in a tiebreaker would qualify as a successful regular season. Not for the Cubs, who led the division by five games in early September only to see the offense collapse down the stretch and then score one run in losing the tiebreaker game and the wild-card game. Despite averaging 97 wins and making the playoffs all four seasons as Cubs manager, Joe Maddon's job is clearly on the line in the final year of his contract.

There is less pressure in Texas, where Chris Woodward takes over from Jeff Banister, but the rotation is counting on three starters coming off injuries (Edinson Volquez, Drew Smyly, Shelby Miller).

What you need to know about the Cubs

Doolittle's state of the Cubs: The Cubs won their first two World Series titles in back-to-back seasons in 1907 and 1908, went 108 years without a third, then set the baseball world on fire with their 2016 championship season. That seminal campaign was supposed to mark the onset of a new ivy-covered dynasty, but a subsequent pair of seasons with 90-plus wins have ended in postseason disappointment. If that stretches to three straight non-title seasons, change could be afoot in Wrigleyville.

Passan's inside intel: "Kris Bryant," one Cubs official said, "is on a mission." As extension season 2019 thinned out the crop of future free agents, nothing materialized between Bryant and the Cubs — not with Bryant coming off his worst season as a big leaguer. Bryant's goal isn't just a comeback; it's a reminder that he's one of the best players in baseball and that he warrants a generational-type deal even if he doesn't reach free agency until around his 30th birthday. … With Addison Russell suspended and Ian Happ in the minor leagues, David Bote — 18th-round pick, career minor leaguer until last season — stands to pick up at-bats for Chicago. He has elite exit velocity on balls in the air, though Max Stassi and Pedro Alvarez did too last season, so a bigger sample is necessary to render judgment on the 25-year-old Bote.

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• Law: Machado accelerates PadresInitiated

•&nbspFantasy impact | Machado timeline

Miller's fun fact: Spin rate isn't the be-all any more than velocity or control alone are, which is why Dillon Maples won't start the season on the major league roster. But his spin rate does make him impossible to look away from: In limited big league action last year, he had the highest spin rate in the majors on his four-seam fastball, the third-most spin on his curveball, and the fourth-most on an outrageous slider that he threw almost 70 percent of the time in Chicago. He struck out 84 batters in 44 innings split between Triple-A and the majors, while also walking 44.

Spring must-read: What can go right — and wrong — for Cubs in 2019

What you need to know about the Rangers

Doolittle's state of the Rangers: Another one of baseball's seven franchises with zero World Series titles, the Rangers are coming off a couple of enigmatic seasons on the heels of their 95-win season of 2016, campaigns that teetered in the awkward place between trying and not trying. With a starting rotation made up of red-flag health risks, the 2019 season looks like more of the same, though Texas hopes its group of potentially solid position players will soon be complemented by a wave of young arms, hopefully in time for the team's move into a new stadium in 2020.

Passan's inside intel: Long shot though it may be, the Rangers' entire rotation could find itself on the trading block this June. Mike Minor spent all offseason on it, and the Rangers repeated their excellent deal with him by signing Lance Lynn. The other three members — Smyly, Miller and Volquez — each are on low-cost one-year deals. … Under-the-radar prospect alert: Left-hander Brock Burke, acquired by Texas in the Jurickson Profar deal, impressed evaluators this spring.

Miller's fun fact: Rougned Odor remains the most prolific bunter against the full infield shift: He had (depending on your definition of a shift) at least 16 bunts against such defenses last year, double No. 2 shift-bunter Matt Carpenter's total, more than triple any other American Leaguer, and 10 more than his own AL-leading total the year before. Just six of those bunts went for hits — which goes to show how hard it is to do successfully — and defenses still shifted him more than all but 16 other batters last year, which discounts the postulate that defenses will stop if a batter lays a few down.

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Cubs 9, Rangers 5. Bryant is healthy. He homers and drives in three as the Cubs win a high-scoring opener.

Hey, it's always fun to watch the best player in the game, and Mike Trout's record-setting $430 million contract extension only seems to put more pressure on the rest of the organization: Can the Angels build a winner around their franchise icon? Shohei Ohtani, of course, won't pitch this year and won't be ready to join the lineup as a DH until May, and there are already concerns with the rest of the rotation as Andrew Heaney has some elbow inflammation and Tyler Skaggs is behind schedule with forearm fatigue.

The A's, meanwhile, looking to repeat last year's surprise wild-card spot, had a rough two games in Japan against the Mariners, starting 0-2 and then having first baseman Matt Olson land on the injured list after needing surgery on his right hand for a hamate injury suffered on a foul ball.

What you need to know about the Angels

Doolittle's state of the Angels: On one hand, the Angels are still a 59-year-old franchise with but one pennant and one World Series title, and have managed to squeeze into the playoffs just once during the first seven marvelous full seasons of Trout's career. On the other hand, Trout's decision to commit to the Angels through the age of 39 means that L.A. will enter each campaign in the foreseeable future with the sport's best cornerstone piece, and the Angels' once-barren farm system is shooting up the rankings under GM Billy Eppler.

Passan's inside intel: As Eppler does his best to cobble together a starting staff, scouts are raving about 21-year-old left-hander Jose Suarez, who more than held his own at 20 in the hitter-friendly Triple-A PCL last year. One scout threw out a Johan Santana comparison, thanks to Suarez's short stature and vicious changeup, while another said he's Santana "plus 50 pounds and minus the command." … Ohtani's return to full-time DH duty after undergoing Tommy John surgery is on schedule. He's due back in early May.

Miller's fun fact: When Ohtani comes back to claim the DH spot, the Angels might run the slowest platoon in baseball history at first base. Justin Bour took an extra base (e.g., first to third on a single, scoring from first on a double) in just 6 percent of his chances to, the lowest rate in baseball, while Pujols' 17 percent rate was seventh lowest. Pujols was the slowest runner in baseball, according to Statcast sprint speeds. Bour's sprint speed was faster than only 10 players', including six catchers and the now-retired Victor Martinez.

Spring must-read: Trout's greatness, as told by the back of his baseball cards

What you need to know about the Athletics

Doolittle's state of the A's: After the Moneyball heyday of the early 2000s, Oakland's GM has managed to open up contention windows for two or so years a couple of times, before being forced to strip down and begin again. This time, coming off a 97-win playoff season with a roster featuring very young stars like Olson (who begins the season in the injured list) and Matt Chapman, we may be looking at the dawn of another era of sustained winning in Oakland. Bolstering those hopes are the improving prospects for a long-awaited new ballpark by the bay.

Passan's inside intel: Like last year, when the A's won 97 games, their starting rotation is a work in progress. One particularly bright spot: 26-year-old right-hander Frankie Montas, who once upon a time was a top prospect and three trades later has earned a rotation spot on the strength of a new pitch. Montas is throwing a splitter — "It's nasty," one scout said — that can complement his still-righteous high-90s fastball. For now, Montas is little more than a flyer. But if he sticks, and Jesus Luzardo and A.J. Puk return healthy, that's the makings of a better rotation than Oakland has had in years.

Miller's fun fact: The A's had one of baseball's best offenses last year, and on the road — where their hitting stats escape the punishment of their spacious home ballpark — they had the best. But against pitches 97 mph or faster, it was baseball's very worst offense. This quirk doesn't matter much in the regular season, but it's terrible news for any team that wants to advance in October, when such velocity is about twice as common as in the regular season. A whopping 40 of the 116 pitches the A's saw in the wild-card game registered 97 or higher.

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Angels 6, Athletics 4. Trout homers twice, Angels win.

We get the first game of Bruce Bochy's final season as Giants manager and the first game for Manny Machado in a Padres uniform. The Giants were actually competitive for half a season last year: On July 1, they were 45-40 and just 2.5 games out of first place. They'd go 28-49 the rest of the way, however, to finish under .500 for the second straight season. While they pursued Bryce Harper, they didn't land him, so it was mostly a quiet offseason for a team that will have one of the oldest lineups in the league.

The Padres, meanwhile, will have one of the youngest teams, especially in the rotation where Eric Lauer and Joey Lucchesi are the most experienced of the group — and they were both rookies last year. Still, Machado and the arrival of Fernando Tatis Jr. — who has shown his superstar potential throughout spring training — will at least make the Padres much more interesting than they've been in a long time.

What you need to know about the Giants

Doolittle's state of the Giants: It was good while it lasted. Under Bruce Bochy, the Giants clawed and gritted and gutted their way to three titles in five seasons with largely the same core of beloved veterans. Some of those — Buster Posey, Madison Bumgarner, Brandon Crawford — are still around, but the architect of those teams (Brian Sabean) has been replaced by new analytics-age exec Farhan Zaidi, and Bochy is entering the last season of his storied managerial career. The path between one prolonged period of contention and the next one is usually not too scenic, and the one the Giants have just started across is unlikely to look anything like the Golden Gate Bridge.

Passan's inside intel: Quiz time: The Giants' Opening Day roster includes two of the following names. Michael Reed, Luke Jackson, Oliver Drake, Connor Joe. Who are the two actual Giants? … Like the aforementioned four, Joey Bart is a first-name-as-a-last-name guy. He could be with the Giants by midseason, depending on Posey's capacity to catch consistently. One scout suggested Posey has struggled to generate power because a lack of drive in his legs. Bart, San Francisco's first-round pick last year, won't have any issues hitting for power. … The answer, by the way: outfielder Michael Reed and utility man Connor Joe.

Miller's fun fact: The worst outfield spot in the National League, according to PECOTA, is the Giants' right field. At 0.2 projected wins above replacement, it's nearly a win worse than the second-worst outfield spot in the National League, which is … the Giants' left field. That's actually tied with the other second-worst outfield spot in the National League: the Giants' center field! The upside is that any threesome they throw out there will be younger and rangier than last year's unit, which had the league's worst defensive efficiency on fly balls.

What you need to know about the Padres

Doolittle's state of the Padres: The Padres won 90 games — but missed the playoffs — in 2010, and have since lost at least 85 games in each season of this decade. After an ill-fated payroll splurge in 2013, the Padres dove head-first into a full-on rebuild under GM A.J. Preller that has netted them perhaps the best farm system in baseball. However, the Padres have accelerated expectations over the past two winters by investing in, first, Eric Hosmer, and this winter in Machado, who has the opportunity to become the first true face of the Friars since Tony Gwynn retired. Hopes are running high in San Diego.

Acuna making history? Bauer for Cy Young? Thirty long balls for Donaldson? You heard it here first. Tristan Cockcroft

Passan's inside intel: The small-market Padres signed a star even though he cost hundreds of millions of dollars. The small-market Padres rostered Tatis and Chris Paddack for Opening Day without any service-time manipulation. If the baseball gods are just, they'll reward San Diego for showing what a desire to win looks like in an era when it's so rare. … Paddack, in the words of one scout, "has the best makeup of a pitching prospect I've seen in a decade." The stuff is great, too, though one official who knows Paddack well cautions he might not be ready to dominate. Which is fine. Remember, the Padres got him June 30, 2016, when they dealt Fernando Rodney to the Marlins, who were 41-38 and clearly not contenders. Owner Jeffrey Loria, ever wise, told the front office to get a reliever anyway. It cost them Paddack. … One scout's bold prediction on massive Padres outfielder Franmil Reyes: "He's going to lead the league in home runs."

Miller's fun fact: The last thing the Padres surely hoped for when they signed Hosmer to an eight-year deal was that their new slugger would turn into the league's most groundball-oriented hitter. Hosmer was the only qualifying hitter in baseball with a negative average launch angle, sinking from 3.8 degrees in 2017 (and 5.5 degrees in 2015) to -1.2 degrees in 2018.

Spring must-read: Machado's arrival accelerates Padres' path to postseason

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Padres 5, Giants 3. The big guy — that's Franmil Reyes — pops one out, and Lauer continues a strong spring with a victory.

This looks like a good opportunity for the Twins to maybe steal a couple of games early against the Indians, who will start the season with MVP candidate Francisco Lindor on the injured list while fellow MVP candidate Jose Ramirez is banged up after suffering a knee bruise on a foul ball Sunday. Jason Kipnis is also out. Not injured: Corey Kluber, Trevor Bauer, Carlos Carrasco, Mike Clevinger and Shane Bieber in what should be a powerhouse rotation. Berrios draws his first Opening Day assignment after going 12-11 with a 3.84 ERA. He threw one shutout in 2018: in his first start of the season.

What you need to know about the Indians

Doolittle's state of the Indians: The Indians are working on a streak of six straight winning seasons, a stretch in which they've won 90 or more games four times, made the postseason four times and won the 2016 AL pennant. Nevertheless, the Indians haven't been able to snap the franchise's 70-year-long title drought, nor have they cashed in at the box office in terms of banner attendance. Suddenly, Cleveland looks like a cash-strapped franchise on the decline, hoping to squeeze another division title or two out of its star-laden core before it all disintegrates.

Passan's inside intel: One reason Cleveland is comfortable at least discussing trading Bauer or Kluber: Shane Bieber, once seen as a back-end-of-the-rotation control-and-command guy, looks like at worst a No. 3 and probably more. In the minor leagues, Bieber's fastball sat 88 to 92 mph. Now it's closer to 93 to 94, and one scout called his slider a "wipeout." His changeup, always good, is improved as well. With Clevinger's leap forward last year and Carrasco still excellent, consider this: All five Indians starters would likely start Opening Day for three of Cleveland's AL Central rivals. … As Indians fans hold their breath about the severity of Lindor's second injury this spring, they should, in the words of Paul Dolan, "enjoy him." Because even as San Diego guarantees $300 million to Manny Machado, Dolan, the owner of a Cleveland team with higher revenues than the Padres, won't consider going there for his franchise shortstop.

Miller's fun fact: If baseball does indeed implement new rules in 2020 mandating pitchers face at least three batters per inning, Oliver Perez might be the face of the victims. Perez had 33 outings last year of two or fewer batters — the most in the AL — and had his most successful season in over a decade. He had a 1.39 ERA, struck out 43 batters against only four unintentional walks. The bad news is that this could be his final year in such a precise role. The good is that he was even better against righties last year, and Cleveland could try to start expanding his role.

Spring must-read: Young Indians inherit great expectations after winter turnover (ESPN+)

What you need to know about the Twins

Doolittle's state of the Twins: The Twins have bounced between low-level contention and noncontention all through the current decade, which has included six losing campaigns, a division crown way back in 2010 and a surprise wild-card berth after an 85-win season in 2017. After an offseason of midlevel acquisitions, the Twins are hoping to end up near the ceiling of its lower-middle-class existence in 2019.

Passan's inside intel: The man, the myth, the legend: Twins catcher Willians Astudillo did not strike out and walked once in 52 times up this spring. Over 2,461 career minor league plate appearances, Astudillo has walked 85 times and struck out 81. … At 25 years old, Byron Buxton may be facing his last shot with the Twins before a change of scenery is necessary. Minnesota isn't giving up on him yet, nor should it, not with the talent he showed this spring.

Miller's fun fact: The Twins had the most aggressive third-base coach in baseball last year: Their runners scored from second on singles more than any other team, and from first on doubles more than all but one team. They also got thrown out at home more than any other team. The man who was doing all that presumed arm-waving, Gene Glynn, has now been replaced by Tony Diaz. Now we'll find out whether it was Glynn or the Twins players themselves driving that action.

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Indians 3, Twins 2. The Twins never got going last year, including a 9-15 record through April that included four walk-off losses. The bullpen is a question mark and remains so after Berrios exits with the lead only to see Cleveland rally.

The Rockies nearly won the first division title in franchise history last year, tying the Dodgers only to lose in the tiebreaker game. After back-to-back wild-card trips, however, they have their sights on something bigger than a division title. They locked up Nolan Arenado to a long-term deal and they're hoping the 1-2 duo of Kyle Freeland and German Marquez can replicate last year's success. The key to the Rockies' success the past two seasons: They've finally won on the road, going 44-38 last year and 41-40 the year before.

Three teams lost 100 games in 2018 … and the Marlins weren't one of them. The lineup once again looks anemic, but the rotation could actually be halfway decent. In a tougher NL East, however, they will be hard-pressed to avoid 90-something losses.

What you need to know about the Rockies

Doolittle's state of the Rockies: For the first time, the Rockies enter a campaign on the heels of back-to-back playoff appearances, though this remains a franchise with a lot of "never-haves." Colorado has never won a division title or a World Series, nor has it had a player go into the Hall of Fame under its banner. After locking up franchise face Arenado during spring training, the Rox look like a club ready to start checking off a lot of those unchecked boxes.

Passan's inside intel: The defection of DJ LeMahieu to the Yankees hasn't left the Rockies struggling at second base. Ryan McMahon was arguably the best hitter in the Cactus League and Garrett Hampson one of the most dynamic athletes, and both should see plenty of plate appearances this year. … Breakout alert, though it's not really much of a breakout because he was so good last year: Rockies starter Marquez, who had a better strikeout rate than Luis Severino, Aaron Nola, Corey Kluber and others.

Miller's fun fact: The first team to make the playoffs without a single complete game was the 2015 Pirates, followed by the 2016 Blue Jays, and that was it. But the 2018 postseason had three such teams: the Dodgers, Brewers, and these Rockies, who also had their best starting staff in history. Pitching at altitude adds extra physical strain, and the Rockies invested heavily in relievers who could reduce the load on the starters. The super-bullpen wasn't so super, after all, but the shorter outings might have paid off for the starters.

Spring must-read: Arenado's record deal a win for Nolan and Rockies

What you need to know about the Marlins

Doolittle's state of the Marlins: No franchise has had a stranger history than the Marlins, who have the second-lowest composite winning percentage of any franchise and just two playoff berths in 26 seasons of existence. Yet both of those postseason breakthroughs ended in World Series crowns. A third remains a highly distant possibility after the inaugural season of a new ownership group led by Bruce Sherman and Yankees legend Derek Jeter ended with 98 losses and a per-game attendance figure lower than what the Cubs draw during spring training.

Passan's inside intel: Scouts differ on who they like best among the Marlins' young and surprisingly decent rotation. One prefers 23-year-old Pablo Lopez ("The change is legit") while another fancies 27-year-old Caleb Smith ("Swing-and-miss fastball and slider"). With Dan Straily released, the age of the Marlins' opening-week rotation goes 27, 25, 23, 23, 27. One evaluator on the Marlins' offense: "They're going to score 75 runs less than last year," which is saying something, because they plated a major league-worst 589 runs.

Miller's fun fact: After trading J.T. Realmuto, the Marlins have now traded 23 of their all-time top 25 players by WAR, which raises the question of who would come next. Among their current players, Martin Prado — a veteran utility man now on the Marlins' bench — is the active career WAR leader, with 6.7. That's 33rd on the franchise's all-time list, but Prado is unlikely to move up. Brian Anderson, a rookie last year, is next with 3.3 WAR, which is 66th. That makes him the current face of the franchise, and puts him probably two good seasons from joining the train of Marlins' greats in the trade history. This is a very bad team.

Spring must-read: What's it like being a Miami Marlin?

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Rockies 5, Marlins 0. Arenado and Trevor Story go yard while Freeland tosses seven scoreless innings.

The Reds were active in the offseason, trading for Sonny Gray, Tanner Roark, Alex Wood, Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp, while the Pirates … well, they acquired Erik Gonzalez, who has 79 strikeouts and nine walks in his big league career, and he'll be their starting shortstop. Still, don't sleep on the Pirates as the rotation could be very good. Jameson Taillon had a breakout season with a 3.20 ERA, including a strong second half, and makes his first Opening Day start.

What you need to know about the Pirates

Doolittle's state of the Pirates: The Pirates have operated smartly and efficiently under GM Neal Huntington, winning 75 or more games in each of the last seven seasons. However, that Vulcan-like approach has worn thin in Pittsburgh, as the fan base has raced right past apathy and gone straight to angry. The Pirates had another quiet winter, though this time is might have been justified, as they retain a middling roster that could soon be augmented by high-ceiling prospects like Mitch Keller, Cole Tucker and Ke'Bryan Hayes. If the Pirates push into surprise contention and prove willing to maximize that development with in-season aggression, it's not too late to win back those passionate Bucs fans.

Which stars of tomorrow are tearing up the minors today? Keith Law ranks the top 100 prospects in baseball. Nos. 1-50 | 51-100 | Complete prospect coverage

Passan's inside intel: The Pirates have a sneaky-strong bullpen, with breakout seasons from Richard Rodriguez and Kyle Crick complementing Felipe Vazquez's typical excellence. … The Jake Fox Award for spring training home run champion goes to Pirates third baseman Jung Ho Kang, who is back after missing nearly two years because alleged drunken-driving incidents inhibited his ability to get a work visa.

Miller's fun fact: If the Yankees are the perfect version of a modern bullpen — an average fastball of 95 mph, dominance from the fifth inning through the ninth — the Pirates were the uncanny valley version. Pittsburgh relievers also averaged 95 mph, matching the Yankees for the best in baseball, and for good measure also threw more fastballs than any other team's bullpen. But the Pirates were just so-so after the starter left, with a collective ERA and WPA around the league average. Most of those fastballs are back this year, though, and the Pirates' bullpen has the raw stuff to become something special.

What you need to know about the Reds

Doolittle's state of the Reds: The Reds have been in rebuild mode for five years now, the last four of which yielded no more than 68 wins and all of which displayed a persistent inability to turn minor league pitching talent into big league pitching production. Tired of running in place, Cincinnati beefed up the veteran presence on its roster over the winter by targeting a group of veterans on expiring contracts, such as mercurial ex-Dodger Puig, and opens the new season hoping to force its way into contention in the strong NL Central.

Passan's inside intel: The Reds' mandate to win from ownership led the team to trade for Puig, Wood, Kemp and Roark, plus acquire Gray and give him a contract extension. "I still think they might be the worst team in the division," said one scout who has tracked the Reds all spring. … He was impressed by top prospect Nick Senzel, who transitioned from second base to center field with aplomb, only to get sent down to protect his service time, at which point he suffered an ankle injury that will keep him out for up to two months. Compound that with the loss of second baseman Scooter Gennett for between two and three months, and the Reds' season is starting as so many recent ones have ended. … Worth watching: In more than 50 plate appearances this spring, Joey Votto didn't have an extra-base hit.

Miller's fun fact: For the past five seasons, the Reds have had Billy Hamilton — perhaps baseball's fastest man — covering ground in center field. But Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park has the fourth-smallest outfield in baseball, strangling some of Hamilton's range. Now, the Reds will make the most of their small confines: Center field will likely be manned by either Scott Schebler, who would be one of the slowest center fielders after spending last year in right; Senzel, who has never played a pro game in the outfield and has mostly held third base; or, in a substitute role, Michael Lorenzen, an athletic pitcher who is preparing for a two-way role.

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Pirates 6, Reds 2. Taillon deals, Pirates win.

The good news in this one: The White Sox signed Eloy Jimenez to a long-term contract, so there will be no service-time manipulation with him and he'll begin his career on Opening Day. As for the rest of this game: Both teams are coming off 100-loss seasons, so viewer beware.

What you need to know about the White Sox

Doolittle's state of the White Sox: Just as their North Side rivals were stepping to the fore, the South Side ChiSox decided to reset after more than a decade of mediocrity followed their 2005 championship. Now, a brimming farm system is starting to yield star-level talent, and with an improved performance from their young roster, the White Sox are positioned to seize the AL Central crown one of these years when Cleveland inevitably relinquishes its stranglehold on the division.

Passan's inside intel: Even with their improvements this winter, the White Sox will start with a payroll below $100 million for the third consecutive Opening Day. … Among Alonso, Tatis, Paddack and Jimenez — the only one of the four who signed a long-term deal — that's four more young players starting the year in the big leagues than one might've thought. And in guaranteeing Jimenez $43 million, clearly the White Sox believe he's going to be a star.

Which powerhouse will rule the AL? Can anyone top the Dodgers in a crowded NL race? We've got the new season covered with predictions, rankings and more. Preview

Miller's fun fact: The White Sox had the youngest average hitter in baseball last year, a consequence of the multiyear rebuild they're in the middle of. Such youth is part of the process, and seems promising, but it doesn't assure anything in the short term: Since 2000, each year's youngest offense has improved by only about one-tenth of a run per game the following season, and only two of 18 teams — both of them recent Astros clubs — made the big leap of at least a half-run per game.

What you need to know about the Royals

Doolittle's Royals outlook: The Royals went splat after a five-season run of solid play that included two pennants and Kansas City's second World Series crown in 2015. Efforts to restock the farm system remain a work in progress but, in the meantime, the Royals are embarking on an interesting effort to swim against current analytical tides by assembling baseball's fastest group of position players. Contention seems like a long shot, but the Royals can accomplish a lot by merely outrunning low expectations.

Passan's inside intel: One of the best stories of the spring belongs to Kyle Zimmer, the fifth overall pick in the 2012 draft who has thrown 42 1/3 innings since 2016 and didn't pitch last year. Arm troubles looked to be the death of his career. Zimmer worked himself back into pitching shape at Driveline Baseball, and he looked the part of an elite reliever during spring training, allowing one run in 12 2/3 innings while pumping a high-90s fastball and two good off-speed pitches. … Two years after opening the season with a $143 million payroll, the Royals begin opening day under $100 million. More than $25 million of it is tied up in two players on the injured list (Danny Duffy and Salvador Perez), another $16.5 million for a pitcher demoted to the bullpen (Ian Kennedy) and $20 million more for a veteran in the final year of his contract (Alex Gordon).

Miller's fun fact: Whit Merrifield led the American League in stolen bases last year, and had an excellent 82 percent success rate, but he's not exceptionally fast: His sprint speed was 50th last year. Adalberto Mondesi is exceptionally fast — 11th in sprint speed — and, with 32 steals in just 291 plate appearances, he would have led the majors in steals if he'd played a full season. The Royals like to run, and under first-year first-base coach Mitch Maier, they ran successfully. Which is all prologue to this: Billy Hamilton is now their everyday center fielder. If Hamilton is ever going to break the basepaths, this it his chance.

Spring must-read: Why baseball needs Royals to overachieve (ESPN+)

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Royals 5, White Sox 4. Brad Keller has that sinker working like last year and the Royals start the season on the right foot.

The Red Sox begin defense of their title and Chris Sale, appropriately, will get the ball after signing a five-year, $145 million extension last week that goes through the 2024 season. Sale's message to the rest of the league: "We want to build something that is sustainable for years to come. Especially in this day and age when half the league isn't trying to win anything, we have a team that's trying to win every year."

The Mariners are 2-0 after their two wins in Japan, but expectations aren't high after they traded or lost five of their top six players from 2018. Still, there could be some pop in the lineup if Domingo Santana, Jay Bruce and Tim Beckham find their 2017 grooves.

What you need to know about the Red Sox

Doolittle's Red Sox outlook: The Red Sox have been up and down over the last half decade, but since two of the "up" seasons have ended with the eighth and ninth World Series crowns in franchise history, no one is complaining in Beantown.

Boston's roster of in-their-prime young veterans is poised for high-level contention for a couple of years at least, and perhaps more if talents like reigning AL MVP Mookie Betts can be locked up for the long term.

Passan's inside intel: And here is a not-so-hot take: The Red Sox's Opening Day bullpen will look nothing like the one it takes into October. Matt Barnes and Ryan Brasier are sorta-closers right now for manager Alex Cora, and the rest of the relief corps is rather fringy. Some high-upside options do exist, whether it's Jenrry Mejia, the one-time Mets closer coming back from a lifetime PED ban, or Durbin Feltman, the 2018 draft pick with fastball velocity (up to 100) that belies his size (5-foot-11). Another name worth remembering: Darwinzon Hernandez, a lefty who may be the best prospect in Boston's organization. … The Red Sox are doing everything they can to avoid luxury-tax hell, and trying to maneuver beneath the $208 million threshold in 2020 is a legitimate possibility. If they don't, the Red Sox's base tax on every dollar over the threshold stays at 50 percent — and their top-end tax rate is 95 cents on the dollar. C'est possible. It also could necessitate some painful roster rejiggering.

Miller's fun fact: The Red Sox didn't use any lefty reliever in a specialist role last year, and they consequently finished last in baseball in batters faced with the platoon advantage. (Four lefties spent some time in the bullpen, but all faced at least three-quarters right handers.) Boston did little to upgrade the bullpen this offseason, letting Craig Kimbrel and Joe Kelly leave as free agents and handing closing duties to a righty (Barnes) with two career saves. They also didn't acquire a lefty, so converted starter Brian Johnson will be the main southpaw out of the bullpen.

Spring must-read: Mookie Betts might actually be the best athlete on the planet

What you need to know about the Mariners

Doolittle's Mariners outlook: Like the Diamondbacks, the Mariners have embarked upon a "soft" rebuild, at least as the season dawns. Seattle retains enough quality veterans that a surprise run at .500 isn't impossible, but it's unlikely as the realities of a thin rotation and a weak bullpen set in. Seattle has been jogging on the mediocrity treadmill for five years and for a franchise that is just one of two that has never won a pennant, that wasn't going to get them where they need to go, no matter how many trades Jerry Dipoto makes.

Passan's inside intel: The quick-and-dirty report on Yusei Kikuchi, whom the Mariners guaranteed $56 million with an opt-out after his third season: The stuff is quite good — solid fastball, above-average slider, solid curveball and changeup. The command needs work. He could be a strong midrotation sort. … "Tell you who can really hit," one scout said. "Jarred Kelenic." He is the 19-year-old who was the centerpiece of the Edwin Diaz/Robinson Cano salary-dump trade to the Mets. Another acquisition who has impressed: Jake Fraley, the outfielder Seattle received in the Mike Zunino deal.

Miller's fun fact: Seattle's plan of moving superfast second baseman Dee Gordon into center field last year didn't work at all, and Gordon's "play deep and just run in" strategy couldn't save it. Ultimately, all five Mariners who started games at the position ended up with negative defensive runs saved, with those five cumulatively playing deeper than any other AL team. Gordon et al will be replaced this year by superfast center fielder Mallex Smith, whose positioning last year was right at the league average.

Schoenfield's Opening Day prediction

Red Sox 3, Mariners 1. Sale spoils the home opener with 12 strikeouts and the bullpen holds on to open the title defense with a victory.

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