The rate of end-of-life suffering in rich countries is expected to increase by 50% by 2060



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The rise in the number of people suffering from death: the rate of end-of-life suffering in rich countries is expected to rise by 50% by 2060, with the increase in dementia and cancers

  • Cancer and dementia will increase the number of people requiring palliative care in most countries of the world, including the United States and the United Kingdom.
  • High-income countries will be hardest hit, study shows
  • In 2060, an estimated 48 million people die each year from serious health-related suffering (50% of all deaths)

The number of people living in high-income countries who are dying with "serious health-related suffering" is expected to increase by more than 50% by 2060, experts said.

According to a new study, cancer and dementia will increase the number of people requiring palliative care in most countries, including the United States and the United Kingdom.

Serious health-related suffering is defined as suffering that requires palliative care and pain relief.

The research, published in The Lancet Global Health, found that the number of people dying with palliative care needs around the world is expected to nearly double over the next four decades.

Cancer and dementia will increase the number of people requiring palliative care in most countries in the world, including the United States and the United Kingdom, according to a new study published in The Lancet

Cancer and dementia will increase the number of people requiring palliative care in most countries in the world, including the United States and the United Kingdom, according to a new study published in The Lancet

By the year 2060, an estimated 48 million people die each year from serious health problems, about 47% of all deaths and an 87% increase over 2016.

Most of these people would be in low- and middle-income countries, but high-income countries such as the United Kingdom would also be affected.

In high-income countries, an additional three million people will die of severe health-related suffering in 2060, a 57 percent increase from 2016 – from about five million to eight million.

Globally, the increase in serious health-related suffering is believed to be linked to an increase in the number of cancer deaths – 16 million people die each year from serious health-related suffering by 2060 , an increase of 109% compared to 2016.

For dementia, six million people would die each year from serious health-related suffering by 2060, an increase of 264% over 2016.

In high-income countries, 2.34 million people would die from severe health-related cancer, reaching 3.23 million in 2060 and, in the case of dementia, this number had increased from 575 000 to 1, 76 million in 2060.

The study projected the number of people who would suffer health-related suffering at the time of death, but did not consider whether people would receive palliative care or care. good quality.

The lead author, Dr. Katherine Sleeman, Honorary Consultant in Palliative Medicine at the Cicely Saunders Institute of King's College London, said: "The number of deceased people suffering from serious health problems in countries with high income (eg in the United Kingdom) will increase by 57%. percent between 2016 and 2060.

"This means that in high-income countries, out of 100 people who have died today with palliative care needs, there will be more than 150.

"Cancer and dementia will be the main drivers of this increase.

"Research has shown that palliative care can reduce the suffering of people at the end of life by improving symptoms such as pain, quality of life, risk of death at home, and reducing the risk of hospitalization." d & # 39; emergency.

"Given the expected increase in the number of people dying from severe health-related suffering, the provision of high-quality palliative care services should be a political priority."

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