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The inaugural edition of this weekly article has excited me very much. For those who have followed my work, you know that I like to analyze fantastic data and analysis. Now I can preview each match and provide a wealth of information to help understand how team meetings will influence fantastic performance.
Each week, I will provide a preview article with some key general statistics to watch for, as well as Thursday's game preview, which includes the starting / sitting assessments. Then there will be subsequent sneaks later in the week with all the other games in time for the fantastic decisions remaining before the kickoff. For the most part, I will use 4for4's Snaps, Keys and Targets apps and analyze each team's pace and gameplay.
Five statistics to know for week 1
- Turtle vs the hare: The Colts were the fastest offensive of last year with 26.30 seconds per game and against the Chargers' slowest offense with 30.25 seconds per game.
- We will streaks: The Chiefs have 11 consecutive games with several touchdown passes. The Jaguars have allowed five such games in 2018, making them the third-ranked NFL team.
- I only want to be with you: Ezekiel Elliott has played at least 75% of the Cowboys offensive shots in his 15 games in the 2018 season.
- The man who runs: Josh Allen was the seventh quarter that averaged more than 50 rushing yards per game and a total of more than 500 rushing yards. One of his two 100-yard games was against the Jets.
- Catch feelings: Five halves took part in 75 or more receptions in 2018, the highest number in a season. 1986 was the only other season to see more than three.
Propagation: Bears -4 | Total: 46
Without doubt the most historic rivalry of the NFL, this game makes more sense to open the season knowing both of them aspire to the playoffs in 2019. The Packers are running fast, having the eighth fastest time between games ( 27.16) in 2018, but saw the third fastest pace (26.73). The latter was fueled by the fact that the teams had to catch up: about 70% of the Bears' defenses in 2018 were played when they took advantage (the league average was 46%). %). If the Packers fall behind, they will go from 65% to 72% gaming offense, making their receiving weapons more intriguing for this game.
Green Bay Packers
The Bears defense has given the Packers the adaptation in 2018 and will likely continue this season. Rodgers was sacked seven times and the team was unable to reach 100 yards in both runs. The Packers are likely to rely on Rodgers' arm to avoid falling behind. A certain vulnerability in the slot after the disappearance of Bryce Callahan could also give the opportunity to a non-Davante Adams option.
Team trends that matter
- Aaron Rodgers has absorbed 49 bags last year, its highest number since 2012, which included 10 games of three or more.
- The Packers only recorded 15 turnovers in 2018, the second total, but the Bears accounted for three.
- Head coach Matt LaFleur was among the top 10 in both season's offensive attempts as offensive coordinator but in the last 10 in passing attempts.
Fantasy Ratings and a statistic to know
Chicago Bears
Like last season, the Bears offense will likely play with a ball control strategy that will keep Aaron Rodgers off the field. This should get David Montgomery to see a lot of action with shallow field receiving options such as Tarik Cohen and Trey Burton (if they are healthy), which help move the chains in overtaking situations. Mitch Trubisky could have a sneaky day with some rushed chances to complete a passing game probably lighter since he lost an average of one meter less per attempt against the Packers than the average of his season.
Team trends that matter
- The Bears defense in 2018 has only allowed 193.5 passing yards in two games against the Packers, the lowest number since 2012.
- Jordan Howard had 20 touchdowns in every game against the Packers in 2018. He has had a total of six times 20 or more touchdowns for the season.
- Matt Nagy's Chiefs 2017 and Matt Nagy's 2018 Bears were among the top ten offensives and only doubled in points once in 32 regular season games.
Fantasy Ratings and a statistic to know
- Quarterback Mitch Trubisky (3) – No career interception against the Packers
- RB David Montgomery (3) – He has had more than 20 appearances in 13 of the last 19 college games
- RB Tarik Cohen (2) – Five matches of eight or more targets in 2018, tied with the team leader
- WR Allen Robinson (3) – The four touchdowns in 2018 came from over 10 yards
- WR Anthony Miller (2) – Played half of the offensive shots in 11/15 games
- WR Taylor Gabriel (1) – Target rate of 11% per instant ranked second behind Robinson
- TE Trey Burton (3) – Average of nearly four yards per catch at home in 2018
Fantasy evaluation key
- (5) – Elite option. Must start.
- (4) – Strong option. Probably start.
- (3) – Good option. Low-end backup to high-end backup.
- (2) – Low option. Possible flex or hopeless game.
- (1) – Bad option. Bench in almost all cases.
- (0) – Not an option. Injury, bench or derogations.
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