The stakes of the NBA's biggest lottery for years



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CHICAGO – When the ping-pong balls are unveiled Tuesday night at the Drake Hotel, the focus will be on the choice of choice No. 1 and the possibility of selecting the main hope of the consensus, Zion Williamson. . But the way this NBA lottery project will be implemented will have far-reaching repercussions on the league far beyond the team that will have the chance to choose Williamson.

For the first time, the top four places will be determined by the lottery rather than the top three. This additional factor, coupled with potential business scenarios, played well.

Here's a glimpse of what the festivities tonight will mean for everyone involved – no matter where they end up at the landing.

More: How the lottery works | Mock draft | Top 100 rankings


N ° 1 choice odds: 14.0 percent | The first three choose ratings: 40.2%

Knicks fans have been waiting for more than 30 years to win the lottery again after the team had the chance to take Patrick Ewing in 1985. They would very much like to have Williamson. But if the Knicks win the lottery, an immediate question will arise: Will Williamson ever play in New York?

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After exchanging Kristaps Porzingis on the trading deadline, the Knicks have enough space to sign up to two players in free mode. They also own several future first-round picks from the Dallas Mavericks. Winning the lottery would give the Knicks the best possible chip to catch the New Orleans Pélicans star, Anthony Davis.

And even if the Knicks do not win the lottery, the second or third choice might allow them to have the most alluring bid for New Orleans, according to the opinion of the new president of the the team, David Griffin, about Ja Morant or RJ Barrett. But to get Williamson would certainly guarantee that the Knicks will not leave this season empty-handed.

If New York goes from the league's worst league record to one of the top three places in the lottery, Knicks fans – who are already predisposed to believe that the worst will happen to their team – will be wary of another disappointing summer.

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Scoop Jackson explores what would happen if the New York Knicks win the first choice in the provisional lottery and choose Zion Williamson.


N ° 1 choice odds: 14.0 percent | The three best odds: 40.2%

If the Cavaliers receive the first choice (for the fifth time since 2003), the choice is easy. But what happens if they get the # 2?

Colin Sexton, the rookie goaltender, loves the Cavs, but it's hard to see them partner with Morant. Would they consider exchanging their choice? Exchange Sexton? Drafting Barrett? Morant write and try to make it work? This would make an intriguing situation to watch.

If the Cavaliers get Williamson, there is something else to consider: they give up their first game at 2020 in Atlanta if it is not in the top 10 of the draft next year. A Williamson-Kevin Love combo in Cleveland's front yard could at least give Cleveland a chance to do it.


N ° 1 choice odds: 14 percent | The first three choose ratings: 40.2%

A Williamson-Devin Booker-Deandre Ayton-Mikal Bridges core would be terribly beautiful. Coupled with newly hired head coach, Monty Williams, this group could finally usher in a new era of success in Phoenix.

Getting Choice # 2 would be a terribly enjoyable consolation prize, though. This team desperately needs a leader and she would be delighted to have the chance to recruit Morant. More than anything, Phoenix hopes to stay in the top three.

Although very subjective, many scouts have planned in this draft to have three franchisees: Williamson, then Morant, and then Barrett. Anyone who chooses after may have different expectations and will likely value these choices differently in the trades.

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Check out all the highlights and reactions of Ja Morant's outstanding season at Murray State, where he went from unknown to college superstar through his high flying dunks.


N ° 1 choice odds: 12.5 percent | The first three choose ratings: 36.6%

Eleven years ago, the Bulls took the lead and landed on Derrick Rose. The Bulls would like to have the chance to get Williamson to join their intriguing tandem of great men, in Lauri Markkanen and Wendell Carter Jr.

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Like Phoenix, they will also be very happy if they get second place because the Bulls have already made it known that they were looking for an upgrade on the outgoing starter Kris Dunn.

"Kris is going to have an opportunity because he's under contract," said John Paxson, vice president of basketball operations at an end-of-season press conference last month. "But we think that our organization will have a position to take if we have to take a step in the right direction."

Paxson, who has personally scouted Morant at Murray State this year, will make sure the new Chicago point guard, the goaltender, has the opportunity. For a Bulls team that is now in the second full season of a rebuild and has just given a contract extension to coach Jim Boylen, a jump in the lottery would give the franchise a big boost.


N ° 1 choice odds: 10.5 percent | The first three choose ratings: 31.6 percent

There is probably not a team with more players in this lottery than Atlanta. Already with an exciting young core composed of Trae Young, Kevin Huerter and John Collins, adding Williamson to this mix would be fascinating. Atlanta would get the same choice.

Would the Hawks take another leader (Morant) after writing Young a year ago? Some might say no, but General Manager Travis Schlenk's past is to take the best player available and get back into shape later.

Meanwhile, Atlanta will also be watching for the Mavericks, currently 9th. Whether it remains or returns, Atlanta will get the choice as part of the deal last year that saw the Hawks move back two places – allowing Dallas to take Luka Doncic – so they can choose Young.

The Hawks reached this deal by betting that they would get another choice in the middle lottery this year. If they do, they will look terribly good. But the Mavericks have a 26.2% chance of placing in the top four. If this happens, the legacy of the Young-Doncic trade could be judged differently.

If the percentages hold and Atlanta can get two lottery picks, this team could focus on the heart of a competitor in the East for years to come.

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N ° 1 choice odds: 9.0% | The first three choose ratings: 27.6

While the owner, Ted Leonsis, continues to question the choice of his position as a leader, which is already an attractive job for various reasons – stability, patience, market – would have a positive impact if Williamson was part of the mixture.

If assistants access one of the first choices, it could also leave them with an intriguing decision to make. John Wall being probably away for most of next season while he is recovering from an Achilles tendon injury, does recruiting a young elite hope convince them to rebuild themselves completely?

That could mean the exchange of Bradley Beal, who may be able to get a supermax contract extension if he trains an NBA team later this month. If the Wizards go up, Beal could be on the market before the draft, possibly making Wizards one of the most intriguing teams to watch on Tuesday.

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Duke's RJ Barrett projects are among the top three with his NBA prototype size and high basketball IQ.


N ° 1 choice odds: 6.0% | The first three choose ratings: 19.0 percent

There are a lot of big dominoes around the league that people are waiting to see fall this summer, but none are bigger than what is happening with Anthony Davis. Pelicans hope not only to be among the top four, but they also need to watch what's going on in the rest of the lottery, as it may dictate what their best business will be.

Focusing on New Orleans, however, Williamson's arrival here would be a compelling drama for the next few weeks. Would the new basketball tsar David Griffin be willing to double his hopes of keeping Davis longer than this summer and trying to sell him on a core of Jrue Holiday and Williamson? Or would climbing to the top of the repechage make a deal with Davis even more likely, as pelicans could then get several lottery picks and get back on the fly?

This is perhaps the most important day that the franchise has known since winning the lottery created by Davis seven years ago.


N ° 1 choice odds: 6.0% | The first three choose ratings: 19.0 percent

The worst scenario for the Grizzlies this year would be to stay exactly where they are and keep choice # 8. Why? Let us explain.

Like all teams, the Grizzlies would like to be in the top four and bring another talented young player in a relationship with rookie Jaren Jackson Jr. But this year's Grizzlies are among the top eight, which means that Memphis keep choosing it if it stays in the top eight. If it falls to the ninth or lower, it will go to the Boston Celtics.

Why would it be better to abandon choice number 9 this year? Because this choice will be protected among the top six next year and will not be protected in 2021. Given the direction taken by the Grizzlies with a new front office, a new coach soon hired and a training that will change from this selection obligation is now a victory – especially because this year's project is not considered very deep.


N ° 1 choice odds: 6.0% | The first three choose ratings: 19.0 percent

It's very simple: Dallas loses his pick on Atlanta if he is not among the top four. However, if the Mavericks keep their choice, this will give them the opportunity to add another young talent to a core that already includes Doncic and the restricted Porzingis self-contained player.

With the maximum space to sign up to a free agent this summer, this could be Dallas's last chance to get another great talent at controlled cost for a while, as the team is expected to improve and that the Knicks will have two futures of Dallas because of the trade of Porzingis. There will be a lot of hearts in the throats in Dallas and Atlanta if nothing has changed below this choice when the ninth selection is unveiled.


N ° 1 choice odds: 3.0 percent | The first three choose ratings: 9.9 percent

Gersson Rosas, the new president of the team's basketball operations, would like to get his hands on another best choice here to add another talented piece alongside Karl-Anthony Towns.

Minnesota have two former top picks on their team (Towns and Andrew Wiggins), but that was not enough to get the Timberwolves into the race (without Jimmy Butler, anyway). Add one of these top three talents to Towns, Wiggins, Robert Covington, Dario Saric and Tyus Jones. Maybe the Wolves could finally become a regular playoff team again.


N ° 1 choice odds: 2.0 percent | The first three choose ratings: 6.7%

If the Lakers beat the odds and won the lottery, the other 29 teams in the NBA and their fans would be excited. And that could totally change the prospects for the end of LeBron James' career.

But Los Angeles would simply be delighted to be in the top four, which would give the Lakers asset collection a boost for a possible exchange with Davis. If the Lakers fail to progress, by far the most likely outcome, this will be the last indignity of a dead season that has been filled up to date in Los Angeles.

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Scoop Jackson examines conspiracy theories about the Lakers organizing the season to try to recruit Zion Williamson.


N ° 1 choice odds: 1.0 percent | The first three choose ratings: 3.4%

Charlotte has arguably the darkest future in the league. Kemba Walker, arguably the best player in the franchise since his reincarnation of the last decade, is a free agent and his return is uncertain.

The Hornets have a full list of inflated contracts, and only one young player – Miles Bridges – seems to be a potential long-term adjustment. In short: it's a team that could really, really use an elevator as an unlikely leap into the top four.


N ° 1 choice odds: 1.0 percent | The first three choose ratings: 3.4%

While Dwyane Wade is at dusk, Miami needs to find an elite talent to grow. But as one of the league's most important free-league destinations is currently wrapped up, the best chance the Heat can take on a player of this caliber is to be lucky in the repechage.

Of course, this could happen at # 13 – but it would be a lot easier if Miami jumped on the heels and won one of the four best selections this year.


N ° 1 choice odds: 1.0 percent | The first three choose ratings: 3.4%

Although there is very little chance that the choice of Kings is raised, if their name does not appear in number 14, this lottery goes crazy immediately.

Under the Markelle Fultz traded two years ago. The Celtics will get this choice if it stays at No. 14 or if it goes to the fourth, third or second choice. But if it goes up to No. 1, it will go to the 76ers of Philadelphia.

Can you imagine the dramatic level in both Philadelphia and Boston if Miami comes first – which means that this choice among the top four is now a considerable asset to the Celtics trade negotiations in Davis or is completely out of scope? And if the choice was not revealed at No. 4 or No. 3 either?

In terms of excitement and anticipation, there is no better outcome for the neutral observers who attend the proceedings.

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