Trade Ranking Between Odell Beckham Jr. Giants at Browns



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New York Giants general manager Dave Gettleman climbed onto the podium on February 27 to speak to the media at the NFL tandem. Someone asked about the rumors surrounding the star receiver, Odell Beckham Jr., that the giants have signed up for a five-year extension of $ 80 million in August 2018. "We have not engaged Odell to exchange it ", Gettleman said. "It's all I need to say about it."

Thirteen days later, the Giants traded Beckham against the Cleveland Browns against the first and third round picks and the safety Jabrill Peppers. To my knowledge, nothing has changed in these 13 days. Beckham seems to have all his extremities intact. The NFL has not banned the pass before. The Giants traded Olivier Vernon against Kevin Zeitler and let Landon Collins leave the country as a free agent, but they did not suddenly build a time machine and transferred Jerry Rice 1987 via a colorful portal. Giants.

The Browns get: WR Odell Beckham Jr.
The Steelers receive: S Jabrill Peppers, choice # 17, choice # 95

Category Browns: A
Note of the giants: D +
• Learn more about Barnwell's notes

Something dramatic and inexplicable must have happened during these 13 days to make sense of this trade, because it reads as if the giants had been hacked. A few months after paying him a $ 20 million signing bonus, they traded one of the best young players in the league to any position to the Browns for the type of offer that the computer would reject in a video game.

This could be a trade that will redefine the franchises, the kind of deal that will get everyone fired and let the fans mumble for decades about what could have been. The Giants have never had a player like OBJ before. Now they do not have it – or a lot of it – at all.


How to start a reconstruction

It is fair to say that Gettleman did not inherit much when he took office as General Manager of the Giants in December 2017. Jerry Reese left the team after a series of tests While the Giants were able to fill those holes by spending a lot on agency fees to make the playoffs 2016, the regression then took hold, and they dropped to 3-13.

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Even though Reese left little in the closet at Gettleman, there is little credence of what Gettleman has done since:

  • His free shot in 2018 was a disaster. Nate Solder, for whom Gettleman made the highest paid tackle in football, had the worst year of his career. Patrick Omameh, who signed a $ 15 million three-year contract to play guard, was interrupted mid-season. Halfback Jonathan Stewart, who signed a one-year, $ 3.5-million contract, touched the ball six times in three games before ending up in the casualty pool.

  • The Giants used the second overall pick on attacking midfielder Saquon Barkley, ignoring the simple concept of scarcity in position and transmitting punchy players to larger positions such as Sam Darnold, Denzel Ward and Bradley Chubb. Barkley looked bright with the ball in his hands and made decisive runs, but he was ineffective and accumulated yards in the lost time. The Giants took 18th place in DVOA with the return of their new star, but found themselves with holes or players below average at most critical positions in their lineup.

  • In October, Gettleman traded his former first-round pick, Eli Apple, to the Saints against fourth and seventh-round picks. Apple almost immediately joined the starting lineup for New Orleans and helped turn up a struggling defense, which improved considerably in the second half. New York finished the season with the minimum B.W. Webb corner starting at Apple's place.

  • Earlier this month, Gettleman refused to place the franchise etiquette for safety on Collins, who reportedly held the rights of the triple Pro Bowler for an additional season at $ 11.2 million. Collins quickly signed a $ 84 million, six-year deal with Washington, which more realistically equates to a $ 45 million, three-year, options-based deal. The $ 15 million annual figure and the rest of the free agency security market suggest that Collins would have had significant commercial value if the Giants had had their rights.

The most bizarre way of all, however, is the one that Gettleman followed with his wide receiver. After rumors that they would consider an exchange with Beckham for the final season, Gettleman signed a massive extension of OBJ in August. Beckham has been awarded a $ 90 million five-year contract with New York, with a $ 20 million signing bonus and a $ 41 million signature guarantee. The average annual salary of $ 18 million is the largest ever recorded in league history.

Less than a year after deciding to want Beckham, the Giants decided that it was not part of their future. In doing so, they burned all sorts of cash and space ceilings. Let's look at two scenarios. Scenario 1 would be what would have happened if they had not made it a long-term contract and had not franchised it in 2019. (Do not forget that the Giants do not have it. have not used their franchise label this off season.) Scenario 2 is what really happened.

  • Scenario 1: $ 8.5 million paid to Beckham in cash, $ 8.5 million on the 2019 ceiling of the Giants, 0 dollar without money on the 2019 cap

  • Scenario 2: $ 21.5 million paid to Beckham in cash, $ 5.5 million on the Giants cap in 2019, $ 16 million of money stuck on the 2019 cap

This is not a typo. Because Gettleman (or his owner) has temporarily decided to keep Beckham, the Giants have paid an additional $ 13 million on their coffers and will eat 16 million dollars of dead money on this year's cape for the privilege of doing so. It's not really a big competition problem, because the Giants do not seem particularly competitive in 2019, but it's a sign of the myopia of the franchise by signing OBJ before giving up things eight months later.

By performing this movement and moving from Collins to Vernon, Gettleman erases the essence of the Reese era and further builds the Giants in his image. As Dan Graziano of ESPN pointed out on Twitter, the Giants still have a player among the first nine Reese projects as general manager from 2007 to 2015, and that is Zak DeOssie, long-time player. The remaining quarter, Eli Manning, was technically acquired through an exchange with the Chargers on the day of the draft while Ernie Accorsi was the general manager in 2004.

Manning is still the quarterback, but Beckham's trading eliminates all remaining legged 38-year-olds who are over 38 years old. Manning has crossed the border with Beckham on the field since entering the training in the fifth week of the 2014 season, but when the former LSU star was injured or suspended, the QB's is limited to the verifications and was essentially unplayable:

Split Comp% Y / Att INT% Bag
Rate
TDs
by INT
Pass
Evaluation
Total
QBR
With OBJ 64.0% 7.2 2.1% 4.8% 2.2 91.9 56.3
Without OBJ 60.2% 6.3 2.5% 5.4% 1.3 78.8 46.9

Seventeen quarters made at least 2,000 passes during this period. Manning's notes without OBJ would place him in 15th place for the percentage of completion and in last place for binders and yards per attempt. The only quarterback with a worse The total number of QBRs in this period is Blake Bortles. The Giants will miss Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram, but in a draft that does not seem to have a cramped receiver and a free agent pool that has no money # 1, Manning will trigger the slot machine in Barkley.

The same trends apply to New York's performance overall, without Beckham in training. There is certainly a subgroup of Giants fans who will suggest that Beckham was cancerous for the team's chances of victory. This is not corroborated by reality. When he played the last five seasons, the Giants went from 25 to 34 (.424). They averaged 22.6 points and allowed 23.8 points per game.

2 related

Without OBJ, the Giants went 6-15 (.285). Their defense was slightly worse, with 24.8 points per game, but their attack was reduced and scored only 18.5 points per game. If you claim that the Giants can finish last with or without Beckham, they seem to have a much better chance of doing it without their star receiver.

It seems almost a waste of time to explain how good it was for the giants. You saw him play. I wrote how good Beckham was before last season and I noticed that he was on a trajectory suggesting that he had about the chance to become the Temple of the renowned professional football. He missed four games in 2018 and did not participate in the Pro Bowl, which reduces his chances, but we are talking about a 26-year-old man whose performance record still significantly indicates a gold jacket in Canton. Ask the Raiders how they feel about trading a player of this type with these classes these days.

What does it do for Browns?

Because the Giants are eating the $ 20 million signing bonus in Beckham's contract, the Browns have made a good deal under this contract. In Cleveland, the OBU has signed a $ 77 million, five-year, $ 19.5 million guarantee, of which only $ 2.75 million this season. From Brown's point of view, his contract averages $ 15.4 million per season. He owed $ 47 million over the next three seasons, which is less than Sammy Watkins – a substandard broadcaster with far fewer former track record – than he got an unrestricted free placement last year.

It is virtually impossible for the Browns to resist this deal, even after spending a five-year, $ 75 million contract with Jarvis Landry. Beckham and Landry are good friends, finding their life together in LSU. They have tried several times to recruit for their respective teams play on social networks. Now they will play together. Everyone will want football, and that's a lot of money to spend with two big receivers, but these two players complement each other well and should not be jealous if the other player has a big game.

With Odell Beckham Jr. in addition to his arsenal, second-year Baker Baker Mayfield is ready for a great year. John Glaser / USA TODAY Sports

While some will put Beckham in block with Antonio Brown as potential problem children for their respective new organizations, I would not be so sure. As a former teammate Geoff Schwartz highlighted on TwitterBeckham was a hard worker worshiped in the Giants' locker room. You may remember that his teammates celebrated with a dance party after Beckham signed his extension in August. In October, he gave an interview to ESPN in which he expressed his frustration that the offense did not allow him to make big games, but he had not abandoned the training before the games. key matches. Unless a major off-site incident is not yet known, it is not a Brown Redux.

It is clear that Beckham is getting a major improvement by moving from Manning to 2018's first general pick, Baker Mayfield, who excelled in the second half of last season. In the past eight games, Mayfield is ranked sixth in the smuggling rankings (106.2), seventh in the QBR (70.1) and second in yards per attempt (8.6 ). What must be the most exciting for OBJ, however, is that Mayfield has always played ground players. He led the league with 34 completions on deep passes during that period, posting a 113.9 mark for pitchers. During the same period, Manning posted a score of 81.4 on the deep passes.

Suddenly, the Browns seem to have one of the deepest skill groups in the league. The Browns ranked 13th in my armament ranking last season, but it was with Josh Gordon, Corey Coleman and Carlos Hyde playing a key role. All are gone.

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Now, the Browns can start the season with Nick Chubb half. Kareem Hunt will surely be suspended for a good part of the 2019 season, and the decision to return the former leaders after his break for assaulting a woman at the Cleveland hotel where Hunt was living was abominable, but his talent is undeniable. The Browns also received Duke Johnson, although there are rumors that he might be available in trade negotiations.

At the receiver, the Browns are suddenly blessed with Beckham and Landry. You may prefer the Vikings couple, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, and the Rams are deeper between one and three, but nobody will fight you if you suggest that the Browns have the best duo to start in football. Second-year receiver Antonio Callaway has a third role in the selection, and he will spend the entire year 2019 facing a unique coverage. The Browns appeared to sign a one-year contract again with Breshad Perriman, but after the signing of the agreement with Beckham, Perriman asked to be suspended from his contract and signed a one-year contract with the Buccaneers. In the tight match, David Njoku, who has accumulated 639 yards and four touchdowns in the second row, and the Browns have explosive receivers at each location of the formation.

This is the official end of the Browns reconstruction period. For the first time in ten years, they will be forced to win regularly. The Ravens have lost four defensive starters, including linebacker C.J. Mosley. The Steelers traded Antonio Brown for a pair of picks and are about to lose The Veon Bell. The Bengals almost went to the combine before they could find a defensive coordinator. After adding OBJ, negotiated for Olivier Vernon and signed Sheldon Richardson, the Browns have spent too much money and have too much talent to be happy to find a season 7-8-1. No matter how short in the playoffs next season could be described as disappointment.

The expectations are totally new and, while I'm sure Mayfield is happy to take on this challenge, the teams do not always respond well. Watch the Jaguars, who advanced to the playoffs in 2017, brought back their entire young core, eliminated the Patriots in the second week of the season, and then collapsed completely. New coach Freddie Kitchens will have a lot of personalities to handle in his first season as a head coach.

When: April 25-27
Or: Nashville, Tennessee
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This is a further reminder of the interest in finding an effective quarterback in the rookie contract cheat code to unlock a playoff team under the current CBA since 2011. The Browns can afford to devote close $ 30 million of their capitalization. Beckham and Landry in 2019 because Mayfield reached a cap of $ 7.4 million, which is less than a third of the $ 23.2 million that Manning will spend on the Giants cap this season. Manning's base salary of $ 11.5 million will earn him $ 718,750 per game this season, which is higher than Mayfield's base salary for the season, at $ 570,000. $.

Dorsey will rightly earn the credit for doing this trade, but one of the reasons why Browns can do such a trade and send back two draft picks is that they have amassed a huge amount of capital project from 2016 to 17 under Sashi Brown. Brown has certainly made a lot of mistakes, and comparisons between the former Jaguar leader and the tank mogul, Sam Hinkie, are doomed to overbidding, but if you want to make Comparisons between sports, the Browns come to exchange their Jimmy Butler.

Can this work for giants?

When there are such movements in which the vast majority of the public opinion seems to fall to the correct side, I at least like to consider the scenario in which the trade might work for the unpopular side. I'm not doing this to go against the grain – the Browns have won this job, and it's not particularly tight – but I want to at least try to figure out how the Giants might think they can win. In the case of the Amari Cooper trade, while the Cowboys were initially outraged by the media for giving up a first-round pick, their ideal scenario quickly came true.

Assuming there is no significant incident off the field that the Giants cover, they will advance with a short list. The addition of Peppers allows them to replace Collins, although Peppers' struggles in the space where he was playing free security as a rookie were more extreme than Collins's coverage problems. As a professional, Peppers was not a big comeback and did not demonstrate Collins' talent for the takeaway. While Collins has forced 11 takeaways in four seasons, Peppers has only two choices to show in two seasons with the Browns. Giants fans will enjoy the return of a high school neo-high school student from New Jersey to the area. The Peppers will only receive $ 3.2 million over the next two seasons, but it would only have gotten a mid-way pick if the Browns had made Peppers available. via the trade this offseason.

Beckham made 44 touchdowns in five seasons with the Giants. Jerry Lai / USA TODAY Sports

The Giants will mark the 17th and 95th selections thanks to this trade. it must be disappointing not to be able to convince the Browns to give them the best of their two third round picks, and Gettleman will be content with the third round that the Patriots sent to the Browns for Danny Shelton. According to Chase Stuart's chart, these selections fall between the seventh and eighth selections in a typical draft. The traditional Jimmy Johnson chart is less impressed by the mid-race selections and values ​​the return as being closer to the 15th overall choice.

Whatever the case may be, the Giants have an additional first-round pick in the top half of this year's draft, and they are recovering from a third fight after losing their pick to take cornerback Sam Beal in the extra draft. from last season. (Beal missed the entire season due to an injury to the shoulder.) He turned his fourth round choice of additional Apple trade into a fifth highest in the Olivier Vernon trade. .

The Giants do not have exactly leavers like the Browns or Colts of last season, but the first two players give them a lot of flexibility to progress. If they want to hire Dwayne Haskins before the Raiders are ranked # 4, they can move from # 6 to # 2 without having to touch future choices. The sixth and fifteenth selections form an almost perfect exchange on the Johnson chart for the second overall selection. Although the 49ers were able to position Nick Bosa with this selection, they are not as desperate to add talent after the negotiation. for Dee Ford on Tuesday. The OBJ trade could also indicate that the property has decided to restore the list, a decision that would make Manning even less indispensable.

If the Giants landed from Haskins, and that's a superstar, Giants fans will eventually lose Beckham, in the same way that Browns fans no longer complain about missing Carson Wentz or Deshaun Watson. It is also possible that Haskins simply falls to the Giants in 6th place, which would give them a chance to add immediate starters to both sides of the ball. Of course, even if they hire a quarter, the Giants will not have a superstar receiver to make Haskins' life easier as it will grow. (Gettleman and his coach Pat Shurmur have publicly stated that they prefer larger quarterbacks, which would seem to exclude Kyler Murray, but given what Gettleman said about Beckham's exchange, it seems that we should not treat his public speech as a gospel.)

to play

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Adam Schefter reports that the Giants traded Odell Beckham Jr. to the Browns for a first-round pick, a third-round pick and safety Jabrill Peppers.

In contrast, while Gettleman's defense finished 24th in the DVOA for the second consecutive season and is essentially devoid of young talent, the Giants now have three of the top 37 picks in a repechage full of potential defensive stars. If he wants to build his team around the ball with Barkley and a strong defense, it is an opportunity for him to add a large influx of talent to the defensive side of the ball. .

The Giants will also save a lot of money over the coming seasons as part of the transaction, and although they do not have a lot of cap space, given their general needs, they can structure an agreement with a number lower course in the first year. using the Beckham savings in the coming seasons. They still need a straight tackle, and that would not shock me if Gettleman tackled the previous Panthers starter Daryl Williams will help consolidate the weakest spot remaining on his offensive line.

It's hard to feel good about this job if you're a fan of the Giants. Even in the best of cases, it will take the Giants years to recover from this agreement and reap the benefits of their selection. The Giants were often a frustrating team to watch with Beckham, who apparently had to take the offensive a few weeks ahead. They will be an even more frustrating team to watch without him.

In a dead season full of big bets, no one made it bigger than Dave Gettleman on Tuesday. I do not think it will pay.

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