Tropical disturbance in Gulf of Mexico likely to become depression, rain over Louisiana | Hurricane center



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Hurricane forecasters were tracking one tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico and two in the Atlantic Ocean on Saturday morning. Two were given a high probability of strengthening into tropical depressions.

At 7 a.m., the Gulf disturbance was near Veracruz, Mexico, and was producing showers and thunderstorms, the National Hurricane Center said. It is expected to drift northwest and north along Mexico over the next two days, forecasters said.

They gave it a 70% chance of turning into at least one tropical depression by Monday and an 80% chance by Thursday if it stays above water. Regardless of the strengthening, Louisiana and Texas could receive heavy rains.






5-day perspective tropical disturbance 091121




The shaded area on the graph above is where a storm could develop. This is not a forecast trail. The National Hurricane Center clears a runway when a tropical depression forms or is about to form.

The Atlantic disturbances occurred off Senegal. The disturbance with the greatest likelihood of developing into a low over the next five days is likely to bring gusty winds and locally heavy rains to the Cabo Verde Islands over the next two days. The other disturbance is expected to continue moving westward across the Atlantic during the net week.

See the full outlook.

Now is the time to prepare for hurricanes, says National Weather Service director

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Storm categories

The categories, in order of increasing strength, are tropical depression, tropical storm and hurricane (categories 1 to 5).

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane wind scale, the wind categories are:

  • Tropical storm – 39-73 mph
  • Category 1 hurricane – 74 to 95 mph
  • Category 2- hurricane 96 to 110 mph
  • Category 3 hurricane (major hurricane) – 111 to 129 mph
  • Category 4 hurricane (major) – 130-156 mph
  • Category 5 hurricane (major) – 157 mph and above

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Carlie Kollath Wells contributed to this story.

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