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President Trump's re-election team sees signs that the campaign could strengthen the coalition that has stunned the political establishment and sent it to the White House two years ago.
Despite the many controversies surrounding the administration since its inception – and the risk that negative hedge coverage hurts supporters in 2020 – new presidential gathering data, shared with Fox News, reinforce the hopes of the campaign.
NOTICE: THIS IS THE BEST MESSAGE OF TRUMP BEFORE 2020 (AND IT WAS NEVER WRITTEN WRITTEN)
"President Trump's unequivocal record for the American people should please all voters, including those who did not vote in 2016," said Kayleigh McEnany, new press secretary for the Trump campaign. "Thanks to President Trump, Americans are now benefiting from new jobs, higher salaries, leadership on the world stage and the confirmation of constitutionally-minded judges."
The analysis by the Republican National Committee of the President's rally data at El Paso last month – his first of the year – showed that nearly a quarter of those present did not vote for any of the last four elections, including in 2016. The figures also showed that 25% of those who attended the event voted only in one of the last four elections.
Of those who responded to the vote, 70% were Hispanic and almost 50% were women. In addition, 60% were between 26 and 55 years old, according to the RNC. Party leaders see them as new voters at their disposal in 2020, especially since they were interested enough in Trump to attend a rally.
"The enthusiasm for President Trump's successful program is reflected in the tens of thousands of new and non-traditional voters who attend his rallies and give us donations," said RNC President Ronna McDaniel. . "Once these voters have come forward, the RNC will be in league with the campaign to keep them involved and make sure that they will also report to President Trump on polling day."
POLL NEWS: The majority of voters think Democrats have the opportunity to rig the troops in 2020
The CNR continues to train from 2018 to follow with the people who responded to the event, sending a message that is usually sent the next day. The text usually includes a link to voter registration information or a specific policy issue on the GOP website.
The Republican strategists of the main states agree that they see the potential of new voters Trump, including Pennsylvania and Florida.
"In Pennsylvania, a significant number of voters did not show up in 2016 and will run for the next presidential election [and] will stand for President Trump, "said Charlie Gerow, a long-time Republican strategist in Pennsylvania. Gerow said some voters may not be sure of Trump in 2016, but they appreciate the opioids ', energy and manufacturing jobs' focus and could be persuaded.
In Florida, strategists say that Trump's strong language against socialism and his tough stance against the controversial Venezuelan president, Nicolás Maduro, will do him favors in a state with a large immigrant population coming from socialist countries.
"Some of the elements that are starting to define the 2020 campaign – and which figured in the State of the Union speech – were things like the clash against socialism," said Adam Goodman. , a Republican strategist from Florida. and opportunity. "
Admittedly, the accession of several Democratic presidential candidates to the policies of major governments, such as the Green New Deal, has emboldened the Republicans, thus giving political actors a powerful rhetorical weapon by the year 2020.
Republicans will certainly face challenges, including the Democratic enthusiasm that won them back in the House of Representatives last fall. A Democratic strategist said it was expected that voters who would not have committed in 2016 would be more involved in 2020 in the context of renewed activism, especially among the progressives.
"Look no further than the Women's March after the inauguration of Donald Trump," said the strategist. "We hired a ton of people who did not commit in 2016 and who continued until 2018, when the Democrats made significant gains in the Governor's homes and governors."
The Democratic National Committee also prepares its ground game very early – beyond the primary states – so that they have an infrastructure in place for the proposed candidate. The DNC has announced its intention to recruit and train college students who are expected to graduate by June 2020 as field organizers across the country, under the name of the 2020 Corps Organization. .
"We know that the key to defeating Donald Trump in 2020 is to organize early and put together the best team to motivate Democratic voters to make their voices heard," said DNC President Tom Perez in a statement. a statement announcing the new initiative.
The number of polls the president is another source of concern for Republicans: his approval rate increases but remains underwater at 44%, according to Gallup. The partial closure of the government was widely perceived as a blow to the Republicans' reputation, including the Trump administration.
Other recent polls give a contrasting picture. A Fox News poll conducted in December before the start of the shutdown indicated that 67 percent of Trump voters would definitely vote for him in 2020. Nevertheless, nearly 10 percent said they would vote probably or permanently for someone else. one another – which means Trump. Reelection campaign could lose a fraction of its support of 2016, even if it identifies and seduces new supporters.
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Democrats are already citing the president's approval rating as evidence that the president's prospects of re-election look bleak.
"As 2020 approaches, it is clear that Donald Trump will face a re-election campaign with an approval rate of less than 40 percent," said Sabrina Singh, DNC spokeswoman. "We will continue to harness the same energy that we found in 2018 by sending the organizers on the ground early so that they engage in their communities and develop the electorate."
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