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President Donald Trump has stated that "no one loves Hispanics more" at a rally on Monday in New Mexico, but his openings to Latinos have not allowed much of this electorate to hit the ball in 2016 and polls suggest that this will no longer be the case in 2020.
While the president assured the crowd that "we love our Hispanics," Latinos seem to reject "amor", according to polls conducted in recent months.
Seventy-three percent of Latinos are considering voting or are voting for a Democrat in the 2020 presidential election, according to the Univision poll released last week.
A Washington Post-ABC News poll, released this month, indicates that its approval rate among Hispanics is 25%.
And 79% of Hispanics across the United States disapprove of how Trump manages his job as president, according to a Pew Research Center poll in August.
Will Latinos from New Mexico love it?
New Mexico has 49% Latino – the highest concentration of all states.
Trump would need about 40 percent of the votes of Latin Americans in New Mexico to win the state, said political scientist Gabriel Sanchez of the University of New Mexico, director of the polling station. Latino Decisions.
That's what Republican Susana Martínez received when she was elected the first governor of the state of Latina in 2010.
Repeating this story in 2020 seems dubious, Sanchez said.
"It would be a great performance for him if he got 25% of Hispanics," he said.
Trump's most effective arguments for Latin American voters are tied to the economy, said Sanchez, who boasted Monday night, saying unemployment was at a record high.
But he warned the president against the excitement aroused by New Mexico's Latino Trump sympathizers, who argue with much vigor and aggression, although they remain a minority, Sanchez said.
According to Lonna Rae Atkeson, director of the study on voting, elections and democracy at the University of New Mexico, New Mexico has many conservative voters, including Latinos.
Hispanic voters are more conservative in the state, she said, but she has struggled to imagine the president picking up many "engaged" Democratic supporters.
"We should pull together all the independent votes and part of the Democratic vote, and it's hard to imagine that happening," she said. Trump has the most support in the southern part of the state, but "I can not imagine him capturing Hispanic Democrats in northern New Mexico where they dominate."
Drugs, walls, Cubans and Venezuelans
Trump told Hispanics at the rally that they should support him in his efforts to build a border-wall – which he thinks Latinos will love – because with regard to the drug crisis, "Hispanics know it better than anyone else."
Trump also boasted during his speech about his support for Latino in Florida. "Venezuelans and Cubans, they are all for Trump."
Cuban American voters were more Republican than other groups, but that changed in the last election. At the mid-point of 2018, two Latino-dominated congressional districts in South Florida went from Republican to Democrat. Former representative Carlos Curbelo, a Cuban Republican American, lost his seat in Congress and voters brought an Ecuadorian American Democrat, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, sending the first South American to Congress.
According to a recent survey conducted by Equis Labs, a newly formed progressive group, about half of Latinos in Florida, supports a Democrat, a third would reelect Trump and about 14% would support another party candidate or would be undecided.
The president and his administration have gathered support from Venezuelans for its strengthened measures and sanctions against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. In response, the Democrats have stepped up their harsh speeches against Maduro and blame the Trump government for not granting temporary protection status to Venezuelans in the United States.
But Trump has been sharply criticized for his rhetoric and immigration policies – including his separation of children from his parents and his restrictive policies on migration and asylum – as well as his comments on Porto. Rico in the wake of Hurricane Maria.
In national polls such as Pew Research, a majority of Latinos said they feel less safe with Trump as president. In the recent Univision poll, nearly seven in ten Latino voters agreed with the statement that El Paso's shooter was influenced by Trump's anti-immigrant rhetoric.
Trump asks, "Who do you like most about the country or Hispanics? "This is to make people understand that Latinos are different from them," actress Cristela Alonzo said on Twitter.
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Suzanne Gamboa contributed.
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