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President Donald Trump is “very, highly unlikely” to win enough still-uncounted votes in Arizona to defeat President-elect Joe Biden, the state’s Republican attorney general said on Wednesday.
And there is no indication to date that Arizona’s votes were tainted with fraud or other irregularities that could affect the election, Attorney General Mark Brnovich said.
“It looks like Joe Biden is going to win Arizona,” Brnovich said in an interview on Fox Business.
NBC News has yet to project a winner in the Arizona presidential election. Former Democratic Vice President Biden currently holds a lead of just under 13,000 votes, a margin of less than 0.4 percentage point over Trump in the state.
But even without Arizona, Biden is currently expected to win 279 Electoral College votes, nine more than he needs to deny the incumbent Republican a second term in the White House.
If he wins Arizona, Biden would get 11 more Electoral College votes. This would give him even more protection against the ongoing legal efforts of the Trump campaign to invalidate a number of ballots in six battlefield states, including Arizona.
Brnovich said with less than 50,000 ballots to count in Arizona, Trump would need to be nominated on at least 65% of the ballots to catch up and surpass Biden’s final tally.
While this is possible, statistically it is “very, highly unlikely,” Brnovich said in his interview.
The attorney general said his office had looked into more than 1,000 complaints about ballots being invalidated by inklips and people using Sharpie markers, and his office had also conducted random district audits. .
These investigations found no evidence of fraud, and “no fact that would allow anyone to believe the election results will change,” said Brnovich, whose wife Susan Brnovich was appointed to the US District Court in Arizona. by Trump in 2018.
Brnovich said that the idea of a major fraud in Arizona is thwarted by the fact that in many cases voters “split the ticket.”
“People voted for Republicans, but they didn’t vote for President Trump, [or for incumbent GOP Sen.] Martha McSally… this is reality, ”said Brnovich.
“Just because it happened doesn’t mean it’s a fraud.”
McSally should lose his race. On Wednesday, she had 48.8% of the vote, against Democratic challenger Mark Kelly, who had 51.2% of the vote.
Georgia’s secretary of state said on Wednesday that there would be a manual recount of all ballots issued in the state, which has 16 electoral college votes.
NBC has yet to project a winner in Georgia, where Biden leads Trump from 49.5% to 49.2%, a margin of around 14,000 votes in Wednesday afternoon’s tally.
Legal analysts say Trump faces a daunting task to avert Biden’s defeat through a combination of court challenges and narratives.
He recounts that rarely, if ever, fluctuations in the thousands of ballots for a candidate, let alone the 10,000 or more ballots that Trump follows Biden to states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, the Nevada, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
And while Trump can prove fraud in some cases, legal observers say judges are unlikely to invalidate a state’s election results unless there are enough cases of fraud to make a difference. in the result.
Trump’s electoral vote count stands at 217, according to NBC News projections.
Even if he wins all 15 electoral votes at stake in North Carolina, where he leads Biden by more than 70,000 popular votes, Trump would have to reverse the projected results of three states, at a minimum, to earn enough electoral votes to win the race. national. .
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