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Iran-Iraq border in the last days in the 6.4 magnitude earthquake occurring in Turkey is likely to affect the fact, but the earthquake in Turkey on August 17, 1999 Gölcük, November 12, 1999 Reminiscence of Duzce, and October 23, 2011 Van earthquake occurred the North-Anatolian Professor Fault Line Dr. Ercan, doğru breaks in the Northeast Anatolian fault line moves from east to west. When he arrives at Küçükçekmece, the fault can not progress. Because there is a magma rise of 2 km under the Bosphorus, "he said.
The Istanbul earthquake will be of at least three
Professor Dr. Ercan, declaring that the eventual earthquake in Istanbul will not be the only earthquake, the expected earthquake in Istanbul, there will be an earthquake. There will be at least 3 earthquakes in the Istanbul earthquake. When we look at the main earthquakes in northern Marmara, we find that they all occur consecutively. These earthquakes occurred in the next three years, "he said.
Sivriada 6.4, Tekirdag Silivri 7.3
He added that the North-Anatolian fault line could not cross the Kucukcekmece region. Ercan said, Er It takes 6 billion gigaton of power to break it. As soon as the fault line accumulates this power, it breaks it. Then we will say "the earthquake of Istanbul took place". Küçükçekmece Sivriada will face the earthquake of average size between 6.4 and 6.7. But Tekirdag Marmara Ereglisi and Silivri will be an earthquake with a magnitude of 7 to 7.3 ", he said.
The European part of the demolition will live
Noting that the devastating power of the earthquake depends on the distance and nature of the building, Dr. Ercan, yak Looking at the nature of the earthquake, 35% of the earthquakes will be affected by the Anatolian part. Dr. Ercan stressed that urban transformation in Istanbul could not be completed. "The urban transformation can not be fully implemented in Istanbul.It can be applied in rural areas of Istanbul.The biggest transport problem and population density of Istanbul," he said.
15 thousand people die
He said that the earthquake in Istanbul would not occur until 2045. Dr. Ercan said, m The bells begin to play after 2033. I do not think there will be earthquakes from here 2033. The most probable years are between 2040 and 2050. If the earthquake occurs for the moment, the places I just mentioned, such as "Küçükçekmece, Silivri, Marmara Ereğlisi", can lose between 15 and 20 000 people. We think that is 1 million 750,000 in Istanbul. Dr. Ercan said that the region of the historic peninsula would be one of the areas most affected by the possible earthquake in Istanbul. the earthquake will be strongly affected by the earthquake, "he said.
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