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This is a BIG number – and this shows the fact that there remains, at least in the Republican Party at large, a large pocket of people who just did not come on Trump.People who do not believe that it represents the present or the future of the GOP and who are looking for an alternative to it by 2020.
Who are these people? who among those who consider themselves "liberal / moderate" Republicans, 49% want Trump to be renamed, while 48% want another candidate to be the 2020 candidate. very conservative ", 85% wish to see Trump fame, while that only 11% prefer another candidate. Overall, the "conservatives" would like more than Trump to be renamed (74% Trump / 23% somebody else) more widely than Republicans (65% Trump / 32% somebody else). ;other).
This Post-ABC survey is very controversial. a very interesting moment both in the Trump presidency and in the wider debate on the future direction of the Republican Party.
"Here is an excerpt from a New York Times article that explores the potential for a major challenge for Trump in 2020:" Mr. Trump is still as loyal to a passionate electoral base that The councilors believe that the Democratic presidential candidates are plunged into a long struggle for the inauguration, but they fear they will not be able to face an exhausting primary next year.
"Several of Trump's notorious antagonists actively urge other Republicans to assume the president, and a popular governor, Larry Hogan, of Maryland, said he was now open to their proceedings. "
"Despite tremendous political pressure, he put aside his partisan spirit and responded to the demands of his conscience to do what he thought was the right thing for the nation that he loved, "said Hogan.
Then, turning to his own work. in Maryland, he expressed this idea, which is very similar to a man who plans to run for a national post:
"Although the content of the current national policy may have departed from the noble example that she has given, I still believe that what unites us is greater than what divides us.And for those who say that our political system is too degraded and that we can not fix it, I we have already shown a better way forward, and if we can do that here in Maryland, then there is no place in America where these same principles can not succeed. "
I really think that someone credible – whether it's Hogan or Kasich or someone I do not know – is running against Trump during the GOP primaries of 2020. But even keeping in mind post-ABC survey figures, it is highly unlikely that this challenger beats Trump.
Yes, there is resistance in some pockets of the GOP to the president. But the most conservative voters, who are the party's most committed base, are still far behind Trump. As in the vast majority of GOP infrastructure, which always means something – especially in a primary fight.
That does not mean that either a Hogan or a Kasich n & # 39; It does not really matter, even if their chances of victory are not very high. The danger for non-Trump Republicans is that the president destroys any semblance of what the party was before becoming its leader. That when Trump leaves office – whether in 2021 or 2025 – there is no GOP outside of Trump.
Hogan, Kasich, and according to the Post-ABC survey, a decent number of other Republicans do not share Trump's point of view. party or country. And they have every interest in making a Republican party stand out from Trump, so that once Trump can go to the public and say, "You see, we were not all – and we're not not "t – like this! "
Running against Trump – even as part of a likely quixotic primary – could well preserve the idea of republicanism outside Trump for every time he quits his duties." And whoever decides to assume this anti-Trump role will probably be the first among his peers in the first presidential fight that will follow the departure of Trump.
The race It's unlikely that winning a primary against Trump is possible, according to the Post-ABC survey, but that does not mean it's not worth doing. 19659022]
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