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In Ukraine, the appreciation of the dollar against the hryvnia is expected in the next week
According to OBOZREVATEL, the chief analyst Alpari Vadim Iosub caused a low activity of exporters – currency sellers [19659002] The non-monetary dollar will be traded in a week about 26.6 UAH, and the cash dollar in the banks is about 26.2 / 26.5 UAH.
It should be noted that since last Wednesday, June 27, the official exchange rate of the US dollar, established by the NBU, rose from 26.19 UAH to 26.44 UAH, or 1.0%. The average exchange rate of the dollar on the interbank market increased over the same period from 26.33 to 26.46 UAH, or 0.5%.
Average rates of buying / selling cash in dollars increased over the week from 26.05 / 26, 28 to 26.14 / 26.41. Thus, the purchase rose 0.4%, and sales – 0.5%. At the same time, the gap between the average sale and the average purchase rose from 0.9% to 1.0% due to the faster growth of sales compared to the purchase .
Note that the NBU has developed a strategy for not receiving the next tranche of the International Monetary Fund. In total, the NBU has prepared a document with three scenarios: the base (everything will be fine with the IMF's lending and export prices), without the IMF tranches, without the IMF tranches and the prices of the IMF. metals.
In the reference scenario, the dollar will cost 28.5 UAH at the end of 2018 and UAH 28.7 at the end of 2019. Without tranches of the IMF, the rates for these dates will be estimated by the NBU at 31.8 UAH and 33 , 7 UAH, and if we add a drop in metal prices, the dollar in the end The financial analyst Vitaliy Shapran previously explained that the recent quotes on the interbank market are steadily declining, so wait you to a decline in the US dollar and vice versa.
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