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Russian President Vladimir Putin has said nothing new, claiming that the exchange of enthusiastic Ukrainian sailors would not be done until they have ended alleged criminal prosecutions against them. This was expected from the start, when he ordered the firing of our ships. And
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Putin ordered the bombardment of our ships and launched a process trial on our POWs for a certain purpose. Before the presidential elections in Ukraine, these so-called investigations and these courts will not end and there will be no exchange. Therefore, it is possible that a new passage of our ships through the Kerch Strait with the participation of international institutions is necessary in order not to completely abandon the use of the ports of Mariupol and Berdyansk,
– considers Vigirinsky
. However, according to a political scientist, it is difficult to know which ships are going to throw themselves. . Who will be there? OSCE or NATO? NATO, in his opinion, will probably not agree. The OSCE is not a military organization and participates in monitoring and surveillance. They can participate, but they must have a corresponding mandate for that.
See also: Black Sea Special Operation: US warships planning to cross the Kerch Strait
Does the Turchinov Declaration concern a new crossing of the Kerch Strait with international institutions? There are doubts. The United States can support such an idea. But the end result depends on the granting of permission to pass near the Crimean Bridge. It comes from Russia. It is likely that Moscow will accept
– note Vigirinsky
At the same time, the expert notes that, in the context of Ukraine's support for the confrontation with the Russian aggressor, several events bear witness to certain geopolitical arrangements. In particular, Trump statements on the withdrawal of Syrian troops from the United States and the victory over IDLI. According to Andriy Vigirinsky, Syria and its dictator Bashar Assad, supported by Putin and who helped him maintain the regime, remain the sphere of influence of Iran and Russia. In addition, the United States is lifting the sanctions against the companies of the Russian oligarch Deripaska. If the US-Russia confrontation were to be resolved, no one would take sanctions.
On December 20, Russian President Putin told a press conference that the exchange of Ukrainian sailors arrested against prisoners in Russia would be possible only after the closure of the prison .
Earlier, December 19, Donald Trump had announced that the US military in Syria had defeated the terrorists of "the Islamic State". The US leader also ordered the withdrawal of an American army from the country.
What happened in the Kerch Strait? On November 25, a Russian border ship broke into the tracks of the Ukrainian tug in the Kerch Strait. It is known that two small armored Ukrainian artillery boats and raids were conducted in accordance with international standards from the port of Odessa to the port of Mariupol
However, Russia said that Ukrainian warships would have illegally penetrated the temporarily closed waters of the Russian Sea and continued the movement towards the Kerch Strait. A group of Ukrainian ships continued their journey to Mariupol. However, during the withdrawal from the Kerch Strait, Russian border ships opened fire on Ukrainian ships, injuring six Ukrainian soldiers. Russia also seized two Ukrainian ships and captured 24 Ukrainian sailors, who were subsequently arrested in occupied Crimea and taken to the Moscow SIZO.
Ukraine then introduced a military state in 10 regions until December 26th. In addition, on November 30, Ukraine banned the entry into its territory of Russian citizens aged 16 to 60 years.
Russia is no longer the first month of the world to block foreign ships going to the Ukrainian ports of the Azov Sea. As a result, the Ukrainian economy suffers considerable losses.