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On December 24, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia issued a series of important statements. Maria Zakharova, spokeswoman for the ministry, said that Russia "feared the deployment of large-scale hostilities" from Ukraine, and even that Ukraine would plan an attack using chemical weapons.
Moscow "invades Afghanistan during the Christmas holidays 1979 and attacked Georgia during the holidays of August"
"Moscow loves to engage in aggression while the world is not paying attention. It invaded Afghanistan during the Christmas holidays in 1979 and attacked Georgia during the holiday season in August, "says former US Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst in comments from Newsweek.
"Weak Western Response to Escalation" Moscow's war against Ukraine, during the capture of Ukrainian ships, also increases the chances of a further blow to the Kremlin, "says Herbst, "as well as the unrest in Washington after retirement and early retirement (Defense Minister Jim) Mattis".
The escalation of the confrontation is also possible. For the control of Az According to the director Biden Diplomatic Center Michael Carpenter .
The potential for climbing is enormous
"The Russians seek to exercise dominance over the Kerch Strait and the Azov Sea , and the Ukrainians do not want to control their waters and their territory. going through the strait, and that's their right. Therefore, the climbing potential is important, "said Michael Carpenter.
" I fear that the Ukrainian fleet is too small to assert its rights over a much larger fleet (of the Black Sea), then if I advised Ukraine, I would not try to go through it right now, "says the analyst.
Meanwhile, a researcher from the group of public inquiry Bellingcat Arrick Toler believes such predictions are unjustified
"Have repercussions on a career for Western (typically American)" analysts who publish panic articles 6-8 Once per year, Russia is preparing a large-scale invasion of Ukraine by an independent incident or in comparison with the war in Georgia or the winter war (the assault of the Soviet Union against Finland in the winter of 1939-1940 – Ed.)? "- sarcastically remarked the researcher
" Whenever someone was right about Crimea or Donbass in the spring of 2014 or on Debaltsev in the winter of 2014-2015, there are 50 "analytical works" painfully inaccurate prediction that Russia will capture the earth transition to Crimea next week or send troops from Transnistria to Odessa ", – he added.
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