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In the United States of America, they predict that Russia could step up armed aggression in Ukraine during the New Year's and Christmas holidays. The Kremlin might well use this time to attack because the world will be distracted by the celebrations.
US analysts John Herbst and Michael Carpenter have expressed such an opinion, reports Newsweek.
Read also: Putin's aggression and the war in Ukraine: what threats NATO sees next year
Moscow likes to organize aggressive attacks when the world is not paying attention. She invaded Afghanistan during the Christmas holidays in 1979 and attacked Georgia during the holiday season in August
– recalled Herbst
According to the former diplomat, the holiday season and the resignation of the minister of US Defense James Mattheys created the ideal conditions for the Kremlin offensive.
"The weak response of the West to the escalation of Moscow's war against Ukraine during the capture of Ukrainian vessels also increases the chances of a another blow to the Kremlin, as well as the Washington mess and the departure of Mettis, "he added.
Before the war is now Mr.
The former Deputy Secretary of State for Defense for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia, Michael Carpenter, pointed out that there could be an intensification of the confrontation over the control of the sea of Azov. The Russians seek full dominion over the Kerch Strait and the Azov Sea, and the Ukrainians do not want to control their own territorial waters and the freedom to cross the strait, and that is their right. As a result, the potential for escalation is important,
Carpenter emphasized.
The former Pentagon representative noted that Ukrainian naval forces probably could not withstand the massive aggression of Russia.
"I fear that the Ukrainian navy is too small, In order to defend its rights against the largest Russian fleet of the Black Sea, I would advise Ukraine not to try to cross the strait again: the creation of a fleet of mosquitoes, which provides for the Ukrainian plan of naval development, is a good strategy, but it will be necessary to implement it.According to the analyst, the Special Envoy American for Ukraine, Kurt Volcker, said that the Kremlin could trigger a new aggression in Ukraine, but that the United States will monitor the situation to avoid such a situation .Development of events.According to him, the Russia seeks an excuse, which is confirmed by the attack of Ukrainian ships near the Kerch Strait
What happened in the sea of Azov? November 25 , a Russian border ship attacked the raids of the Ukrainian army not in the Kerch Strait. It is known that two small armored Ukrainian artillery boats and raids were conducted in accordance with international standards, from the port of Odessa to the port of Mariupol
. However, Russia has stated that Ukrainian warships have illegally entered the temporarily closed waters of the Russian Sea. and continued their movement towards the Kerch Strait.
A group of Ukrainian ships continued their journey to Mariupol. However, during the withdrawal from the Kerch Strait, Russian border ships opened fire on Ukrainian ships, injuring six Ukrainian soldiers. Russia also seized two Ukrainian ships and captured 24 Ukrainian sailors, who were subsequently arrested in occupied Crimea and taken to SIZO Moscow.
Ukraine then went into a state of war in the 10 regions until December 26th. In addition, on November 30, Ukraine banned the entry into its territory of Russian citizens aged 16 to 60 years.
Russia is no longer the first month of blocking foreign vessels going to the Ukrainian ports of the Azov Sea. As a result, the Ukrainian economy is suffering considerable losses.
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