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Manchester United started under the direction of Ule Gunnar Sulcher. What was the result of luck and what are the main advantages of the Norwegian work on Old Trafford – in our history
In mid-December – Manchester United is in deep crisis. To play the order book of the Champions League zone in the NRL tournament table? Fancy José Mourinho himself admitted that saving the season would only help a miracle. This miracle was finally announced: with the new coach, the United States of America signed a magnificent series of six consecutive victories and got closer to the top 4 at a distance of 3 points.
The club management chose the perfect time to change coaches, but the choice of coach changed. the results of the team under the leadership of Ule Gunnar Sulcher have all exceeded all expectations. The Norwegian has started better Manchester United than the legendary Matt Bassby, after the game of "devils" again pleasant to watch, and football fans Mourinho are gradually forgotten this season.
Sulcher in the United States: what to expect from the coach who managed the reserve "devils" "and in Norway, but failed in the submarine
How the has the United game improved since the change of mentor? To better understand the situation, let's look at the popular metric xG (Expected Objectives) of the day and look at this season's submarine statistics.
Mourinho, Manchester United had an average of 1.66 xG per game, with Sulcher the number of goals expected, the game jumped to 2.33. In the last 6 laps, the mankunians on the xG in second place in the championship – 14. In front of only Liverpool – 15.5
During this period, Manchester United scored 17 goals, that is to say that "overload" is not Cosmic, it's simplistic to talk – it's not just a matter of luck – Southampton, Everton and Wolverhamp your were luckier. What about Tottenham, who scored 7 goals more than expected.
We are a little distracted by the spurs due to luck and three people who have not yet become rivals in the fight for the Champions League. Tottenham has +7 at the tournament table before MJ, but Mauricio Pochettino is waiting for a new test. Harry Caine and Delle Alley, two of the three above, will not hurt the team next March.
During this season, APN Kane scored 12.46 xG (scoring 14 goals), Ally – 4.94 xG (scoring 4 goals). Together with Hin Min Son, they got Tottenham's 59% xG share in the championship. Luckily for the Londoners, Dream suddenly left the Asian Cup and came back for help. Without three, it would be incredibly difficult. Nevertheless, with such success, the "Spurs" are much closer to the defense positions in the top 4 than real races for Man City and Liverpool.
Let's go back to "evil things". In the context of progress, Manchester United and Sullsher are the two most discussed actors – Fields Pogba and Marcus Reesford.
Ule Gunnar tells Reshford the role of the main attacker. Marcus justifies his hopes – 5 goals in 6 games. Improved performance of the student MJ has an element of luck. If he does not score with Mourinho at 8%, then under Sulcher he advances 39% (5 goals against 3.6 xG). Marcus did not have him anymore since his first season when he had "shot" in the main team of Louis van Gaul.
However, Reshford is now really more active than in the final phase. season. In the last 6 games, the striker scored an average of 4.7, while the Mourinho system had 1.9 beats per game. As a result, progress was made for xG: from .33 with 90 goals scored from 90 minutes of Jose to .63 with Ule Gunnar. In summary: Marcus has more attack traits and next he "enters".
Pogba is even more interesting – he has just blossomed. Of course, the Frenchman was exalted by the release of a hated coach, who put him in reserve and almost called the main problem of the team disorder. However, it is not necessary to simplify and diminish the merits of the new coach – Sulcher's own decision became the main reason for improving the playing field. [19659002] The first impression when comparing MJ Moorinho and MJ Sulcher – the passage from coward to courage [194597]] Norwegian football is more like fans (big clubs have to play bravely) and players ( more freedom in creation), but it is not yet clear that it is better for these "devils" to obtain results. The number of matches and the level of rivals Manchester United still do not know if things have improved so much.
Mankindians play more openly and, at the same time, they have less opportunity to create rivals on their doors – 1.07 unfulfilled goals. for a match with Sulcher and 1.56 on average for the rest of the season. A miracle that will necessarily disappear at a distance. Brave football increases the dispersion of goals scored, which is profitable for strong teams, given the high class of high performers, but it simply can not lead to greater reliability of their own goals on equal terms.
Even weak opponents on average will create more than talk. on direct competitors. Tottenham in the game with United worked 1.8 xG – the effects of the open match did not turn into real rivals goals with David De Hea. This will not always continue (unless the Spaniard takes the courage of the last season).
However, Pogba definitely won the innovations of the Sulscher. It's no secret that Paul is lazy in the field of defensive work, but at the same time is one of the world's best midfielders in terms of progression and Exacerbation of the balloon. Manchester United after a change of coach launches faster in an attack and mostly faces his opponent with a presing, which leads more time in the last third of the field (28.5% vs. 26.3%). As a result, Pogba is closer to the doors of others. Perfectly – 5 goals and 4 assistants in 6 rounds.
Paul in the Sulcher System is central. In 4 games against 6, he became the team leader for knocking on the door. On average, 4.8 beats per game – an improvement of almost half a shot compared to the Mourinho period. A similar situation with key gears – four times with a new coach, the Frenchman was the leader of the "devils" for this indicator, giving an average of over 2 assists under attack for 90 minutes.
The pogba became much more acute. In the last 6 fights, he worked 5.64 xG + xA (expected goals + expected assistants) – about an expected performance on the match. Under Mourinho, Paul pushed 0.6 xG + xA to the match. Very tangible progress in the attack. And the fight with real productive actions – +3 against expectations – is not so important (Mourinho was a draw of 1.5).
Ule Gunnar Sulcher has found an approach. Not off the field, namely in the game, creating comfortable conditions. I can not say that Manchester United is now playing Pogba, but is right to say that MJ plays around Pogba.
Nemanja Matić and Ander Herrera in the middle of the field are adjusted to move and secure the area. Markus Reschford has a perfectly free space to connect the deep lands, pushing rivals to the flank. Pogba is the main star of the team, and the team plays perfect way for him.
And Pogba, Rushford and the brave Sulcher, and all Manchester United are now in luck. The goals in the division will be less, the failures – more, but the new coach reveals the best qualities of his strongest players. Ule Gunnar – at this stage, good child
Data Understanding and Opta graphics – The Telegraph
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