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Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to figure at the top of the list when prospective Democratic voters question who they would most likely support the candidacy, with 30% of them saying that They would support it. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders comes second with 14%. Support for everyone is about the same as in October. O & # Rourke comes in third with 9%, up 5 points since October. New Jersey Senator Cory Booker follows at 5%. Californian Senator Kamala Harris and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren each lost 5 points since October and now have support of less than 5%.
None of the other 14 possible candidates were reached with 5% support.
At more than a year of primaries and caucuses and where most candidates are not declared, there are few significant demographic or political differences in the bid race. The one who helped define Hillary Clinton-Sanders battle in 2016 for the Democratic group continues, with Sanders garnering much more support among younger voters (22% among under-45s) than among the older crowd (7). % of the oldest). 45 and over the back).
Rep. John Delaney of Maryland is the only fully declared candidate in the field of surveyed candidates. Former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Julian Castro, announced earlier this week that he was forming an exploratory committee. Neither earns 1% in the survey. Others have taken public, albeit unofficial, measures, and many have already visited the first primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire.
O 'Rourke, the only candidate to make significant gains since the last CNN poll in October, said late last month that he had not ruled out a candidacy for the presidency, but that he renounced the negation. the White House during its unsuccessful campaign for the Senate early in the year
Of all adults, prominent candidates are generally viewed more positively than negatively. Warren is an exception. She is a frequent target of President Donald Trump and his opinion of Warren is very negative: 32% see it unfavorably, 30% favorably.
However, among the potential Democratic electorate, Biden, Sanders, Warren, Booker, O & # 39; Rourke and Harris are all seen far more positively than negatively, with O'Rourke and Harris still unknown to the majority.
The size of the field suggests that the race could get deep into the primary season, a prospect that many Democrats would want to avoid. The survey reveals that 51% of Democrats and Democrat independents say that it would be better for the party that a strong candidate would quickly appear at the top of the ranking, while 41% of them would prefer a number of strong candidates. compete for the green light. This is a reversal from 2015, when 53% of those surveyed said they wanted to see a number of competent candidates fighting over their heads, but only Hillary Clinton and Sanders ended up finding substantial support.
Self-identified Democrats broke away from independent Democrats on this issue. Supporters are more likely to say that they want to see a strong candidate run early (57% say so), while independents are moving towards a larger and more competitive field (50% of those in favor).
Who can get out of the fight for the Democratic nomination A little over half of adults (51%) think that Trump will lose his candidacy for reelection, up from 47% in October. Before the mid-term elections, the Republicans had suffered heavy losses. This figure includes 17% of Republicans who think the president will lose.
Less Optimism In The US Economy
The Prospects Of The Economy – The Most Important Problem Of The President In Terms Of Approval Rate – start softening, according to the survey. If this trend continues, it could threaten his chances of reelection. While most still say the economy is doing well, the economy's perceptions of being "very good", which had reached their highest level since June 2000 in a CNN poll in September, fell 9 points and the share of those who expect the economy to be down. in "very good" form in a year plunged 10 points. These setbacks are almost entirely attributable to Republicans.
Trump publicly attacked General Motors CEO Mary Barra over the company's decision to close factories in the United States, and the poll suggests the public could support his criticism. Globally, 64% of respondents believe that the loss of any manufacturing jobs in the United States is a loss for the country's economy, as the manufacturing sector is critical to economic success, while only 26% believe that Job losses in the manufacturing sector are inevitable as the economic situation improves.
But its tariff policies may not prove so popular. Most, 68%, view foreign trade as an opportunity for economic growth through exports rather than as a threat to imports.
The CNN survey was conducted by SSRS from December 6 to 9 on a random national sample of 1,015 adults with live interviewers, including 463 self-identified Democrats and independent Democrats. The results for the full sample have a sampling error margin of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, it is 5.6 points for the results among the l & # 39; 39, potential democratic electorate.
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