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Today, on July 13, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has established the following rates for major foreign currencies to the hryvnia:
1 USD – 26.23 UAH;
1 EUR – 30.58 UAH
10 Russian rubles – 4,22 UAH
Thus, the dollar remained unchanged from the values of 12 July. Note that the experts predicted what the dollar will be in Ukraine in the autumn .
The euro fell 20 cents, far from the psychological mark of 31 UAH, which was recently negotiated.
10 The Russian rubles remained unchanged from the values of 12 July.
Forecast of the dollar exchange rate for 2018
According to the reference scenario of the triennial budget resolution, in 2018, the average annual rate of hryvnia USD 2019 – 30.5 UAH / USD , and 2020 – 31 UAH / USD
However, in the budget for 2018 k indicates that the calculations were made according to the rate of 30.1 UAH / USD. At the same time, both the Ministry of Finance and the NBU ensure – this course is not a prognosis, therefore, it should be taken as a technical indicator taken for calculations to create an "airbag" [19659002] At the same time, According to the consensus forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade, the average rate in Ukraine in 2018, in a negative scenario, will be UAH 28.95 / USD, which is expected to fall by 20.25 UAH by hryvnia, while the share of entrepreneurs expects the depreciation of the hryvnia. and in 2019 – 32 UAH / dollar.
At the same time according to "P. ohnozom economic and social development of Ukraine for 2019-2021 years" developed by the Ministry of Economic Development and adopted by the Council of Ministers on July 11, on the basis of 2018 should depreciation of the hryvnia c 28.1 UAH / USD. to 28.5 UAH / USD (plus or minus 1 UAH) with further weakening to 29.4 UAH / USD. (plus or minus 2 USD) by the end of 2019. According to MERC calculations, the deviation hryvnia to 30.7 UAH / USD. (Plus or minus 2 USD) by the end of 2021.
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