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NSDC Secretary Oleksandr Turchynov announced a new crossing in the Kerch Strait. It should involve international partners, especially the OSCE. Ukraine must therefore confirm its right to use the Kerch Strait. Experts are convinced that this step is necessary. At the same time, they note that there is a pretty good chance that this will happen without Russia's attacks.
Ukraine will make a new crossing in the Kerch Strait. The secretary of the NSDC Oleksandr Turchinov made such a statement in an interview with BBC News Ukraine. But this time, international partners, including the OSCE, will be involved. Turchinov stressed that this passage was fundamental for Ukraine.
If we stop and retreat, Russia will effectively fulfill its task of seizing the sea of Azov
"If we stop and withdraw, Russia will fulfill its task of seizing the sea of Azov, present the new self-proclaimed maritime borders of the world in the Black Sea, legalizing the de facto occupation of Crimea ", – said Turchinov.
According to him, until the next crossing of the Ukrainian ships of the Strait of Kerch, the attention of the world's leading countries and "Ros" If the head of the National Security and Defense Council makes a such statement, he probably has information from the Navy and the Ukrainian Armed Forces on his willingness to carry out this task, he also has information from international partners about their state of
"If the head of the National Security and Defense Council makes such a statement," monitor, promote and, in general, do not mind, because if this is not the case , this statement is similar to populism, "- notes the chairman of the council of the" Ukrainian militarist center " Taras Chmut .
Russia has already reacted to the words Turchinov. The spokesman of the Russian Foreign Ministry Maria Zakharova at a meeting in Moscow described such plans of Ukraine as "new provocation", "irresponsible" and intended " to only make the situation worse ".
The expert of the Center for the Study of the Army, Conversion and Disarmament Mikhail Samus is convinced of the need for a new passage through the country of Kerch, which demonstrates the fact that the strait is international and that Ukraine has the same right to do so. Russia.
Moreover, according to him, if Ukraine abandons the Kerch Strait, it actually recognizes that Crimea is Russia.
Turchinov's argument concerning the need for a new crossing in the Kerch Strait is also accepted by the deputy director of the Institute of World Politics Nikolay Beleskov
. He rejects the possibility that it is a kind of political game aimed at extending the duration of martial law in the country and delaying the election.
Will Russia miss?
Chmut is convinced that this time, Russia will miss Ukrainian ships via Kerch
However, in his view, Turchinov's statements in the same interview about the ability of Ukraine to "destroy everything ship threatening our country "could lead to escalation of the conflict.
"I am a passionate admirer of Ukraine, and the naval forces are happy to continue to make the conflict worse, because we see even more how helpless our navy is and how much our navy is defenseless. country is naked, which somehow pushes ours, politicians and the military to do something to our changed fleet ", – says in the comments to the Rada About the freedom of the Shmut
I'm not I'm not sure that the passage will run "smoothly", because we can not expect anything from Russia to that of "gopnik".
We must not obey people who do not respect the laws and do not respect them. respect the international law of the sea
"It is possible to expect anything from the gopnik, but that does not preclude the fact that the city must always be governed by the police and the law, and that citizens Ordinary people must move around the city regardless of what the "gopnik" demands, and we must not obey people who do not respect international maritime laws and laws, "says Samus.
In addition, Samus points out that "Ukrainian warships must pass daily from the sea of Azov to the Black Sea, and then immediately, return and return from Black to Azov."
Beleskov convinces us that there is a fairly good chance that Ukrainian ships go through the strait.
"The US side has clearly established a link between the holding of the G20 summit at the highest level and the fact that they will release our troops … It is a sign for Russia to not try to repeat the same thing … But they repeat such a thing, now, for example, the European Union simply can not reject it ", notes Beleskov
When will the passage take place?
When a new crossing in the Kerch Strait will take place, Turchinov did not specify. But he pointed out that it was not possible to delay this.
Although, according to Beleskov, this can take place in six months, Ukraine does not have much strength on board to do so.
And Samus suggests that this probably will not happen before Christmas.
"I would not have done this during this period to dismiss all political insinuations, just like the 60/30 days (19459011) of the military state, the passage itself. even should be carried out regularly, with the participation of observers from the OSCE, the European Union and the United Nations, "said Samus.
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