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President Donald Trump, anxious to reject his most loyal supporters who had told him of his 2016 demands for a border wall, deepens a partial closure of the government that has lasted for 11 days with no clear outcome. [19659002] The race for the Democratic presidency has already begun to spark after the announcement by Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, in the final hours of death, of the creation of an exploratory committee, the first step toward a campaign for the party's investiture.
to the holidays given the dark cloud hovering over Trump because of special advocate Robert Mueller, whose findings could move the country on the bitter path of destitution in the coming year.
But the president does not have to worry about Mueller. . Democrats are just days away from taking control of the House of Representatives and ushering in a new challenge for Trump's presidency – congressional oversight.
And as always, there are signs of instability and of chaos at the White House, with confusion over Trump's exact position on
Government Closure to please the base
Trump stays home, often alone at the White House at Christmas . and the New Year's break, tweeting the Democrats, but without any real visible political movement after the closure. The goal often seemed to be to focus on its sole political base – a trend that will likely continue throughout the year.
"I am at the Oval Office Democrats, come back from vacation now and give us the necessary votes for border security, including the wall.You voted yes in 2006 and 2013. One more yes, but with me in power, I will build it, and quickly! "Trump tweeted Monday afternoon.
It is unclear how Trump plans to break the partial closure that has hit hundreds of thousands of federal workers, as Democrats are reluctant to give money to his border wall.
He could have avoided the total closure if he had agreed to sign an interim measure passed by the Senate last month that would have kept the government open in the short term, but would not have funded the wall .
But the president backed down under pressure from conservatives from House commentators and right-wing media, such as Ann Coulter and Rush Limbaugh.
So a fall now would risk a similar sentence and the possibility of a weakening of the support of grassroots voters on whom it depends for its political viability, its decision not to try to expand its coalition of 2016
With a low but stable political status – between 40% and 45% of MPs approve of the work that he performs in most polling stations – the president clearly understands that he must organize a series fighting that pleases the base this year to keep its political foundation intact.
But as the Democrats regain power in the House, they are no longer motivated to bail out the President, at least until it is proven that his tactic of imposing them in security at the border causes them political damage.
The next stage of the saga will take place later in the week, when the Democrats will have found the ball in the Republican.
The House, which will soon be controlled by the Democrats, is expected to vote on six Senate spending bills and an interim measure to reopen the Department of Homeland Security at its current funding levels until the end. February 8, told CNN Monday an assistant Democratic Party.
Although the temporary measure maintains the current $ 1.3 billion spent on border security, the leader of the majority of GOP Senators, Mitch McConnell, says he will not introduce any legislation until Trump report it.
Both parties are therefore in deadlock.
The calendar says 2019 – but we are already in 2020
Warren made the first dive of the Democrat squad at the front of the pack, giving it a head start on the race of first-quarter fundraiser to be used to assess the viability of the best candidates.
Among the trump cards are the long crusades against the big banks and the Wall Street titans, while the Democrats are looking for a candidate capable of detaching Trump's control over the working-class voters in the industrial Midwest. 2020.
"Corruption poisons our democracy," Warren said in a website. video filmed in his kitchen, then a reference to Trump on "fanaticism and fear"
The Pundits are already wondering if Warren missed his moment, will be considered too old to 69 years or if will be considered too white to a moment when a young and ethnic transformation is taking place in the Democratic Party.
His efforts to defuse Trump's attacks on his claims regarding the Native American heritage The first year with a DNA test was widely regarded as unsuccessful and detrimental to his candidacy by Beltway insiders.
Still, Warren has an edge over other rivals, including California Sen. Kamala Harris, Senegalese Senator from New Jersey, Cory Booker and the former Vice President. President Joe Biden.
This revolutionary democratic race will also give Trump something he has long lacked, but which he likes: a new enemy that he can use to define his own bid for reelection and a genuine openness to The electoral campaign. he excels.
The fight for the position among the Democrats and the response of the candidates to the dying firing of Trump will define the first year of the 2020 campaign.
It is still the time of Mueller
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A reminder
Trump's campaign, transition, inauguration committee and presidency are under active investigation. The same goes for his company, the Trump organization, and for his foundation, the Trump Foundation. The president was indirectly implicated by New York prosecutors, overseen by his own Department of Justice, in an attempt to undermine laws governing campaign financing.
The end of the year 2018 has proven to be far from the goal.
But every week at the end of last year brought other bad news for Trump and signed that Mueller was getting closer to the president after an avalanche of legal filings, court proceedings and convictions. and guilty pleas against associates close to Trump.
Trump's longtime political advisor, Roger Stone, asks about, among other things, what he knew about WikiLeaks email messages and when he knew it. And people even closer to Trump, such as his son Don Jr. and his son-in-law Jared Kushner, can not be sure to be clear, although all, including the president, profess innocence and minimize Mueller's investigation.
Rudy Giuliani, Trump's lawyer, pushed by the pressure on the White House to step up his efforts to discredit the special advocate during the holidays.
"My ultimatum is up or down, Bob," Giuliani said in "Fox and Friends" on Sunday.
"What do you have? Some of us think you have nothing on collusion," he continued. "And by the way, it's not a crime, so what are you doing?"
Despite this challenge, Mueller could have the most lethal impact on the political year he concluded that Trump had something to answer report likely to put the entire presidency at risk.
Restlessness in the West Wing
The first half of Mr. Trump's tenure resulted in unrest, unrest and unprecedented chaos in the West Wing. There is no reason to think that this is changing now.
The President enters the New Year more liberated from the "adults of the room" than ever and more free to follow his impulses. What this means became clear at the end of last year, with the sudden announcement on Twitter of a complete withdrawal of its troops from Syria with the words "they are coming back now".
The will of the president to follow his instinct was also reflected in his fire. Government's decision.
Yet since then, his improvised style of government has been strategically confused about his intentions on both issues.
Confusion is another sign that the President's often-changing positions and goals – which he sees as the key to keeping his opponents out of balance – will mean another year of political lashing in Washington.
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