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The Danish bank Saxo Bank has presented its traditional "shocking forecasts" for 2019. Most of them – the so-called "black swans" – are events with a probability of being in danger. occurrence is minimal, but can have catastrophic consequences. The information is published on the Saxo Bank website.
These forecasts are published by the bank over 16 years, traditionally over the year. For example, last year, they had predicted that the bitcoin rate would rise to $ 60,000 first, and then drop to $ 1,000. Cryptovolume, of course, did not reach such a level, but managed to spend $ 20,000 to four.
In 2019, the bank prepared ten shocking forecasts that could threaten the economy and the global order next year.
Apple buys Tesla
Apple will buy an electric vehicle manufacturer, Tesla Inc., and penetrate even deeper into the auto industry. Tesla will not receive financing and Apple will buy its shares at a 40% premium. Such an agreement will help the company develop its capabilities and create new production in Europe and China.
Economic slowdown in Germany
Automobile construction ceases to be the driving force of the German economy.
Trump frees the head of the Federal Reserve
US President Donald Trump renounces Jerome's Federal Reserve Head (FRS) to head the Federal Reserve (FRS) Pavel
The European Union will cancel some of its debts
The old Europe and Germany, in order to avoid the collapse of the euro area, will support the monetization of debts exceeding 50% of GDP. The powers of the European Central Bank will be extended.
The world renounces the concept of "GDP"
The IMF, together with the World Bank, will stop measuring GDP and declare that it is necessary to focus on productivity. The rationale will be the fact that GDP does not reflect the real impact on the economy and the environment. As an example, the impact of bad ecology on human health and the environment in many countries of the world.
The pound sterling equals the dollar
The British Prime Minister Teresa May will not be able to negotiate a Brexit via Parliament and until the date set 29. March 2019, the kingdom will be created without a decision specific final. There will be a re-election in the country, on which the work will win. Inflation will begin to intensify. The book will be in danger. Due to the unresolved issue of the exit of the European Union, it will continue to decline and, for the first time in its history, will equal the dollar.
End for Netflix
By 2019, the US corporate bond market could overtake the "domino effect". Large companies will start to lose confidence, panic spreads. As a result, companies such as Netflix will lose investors. Similarly, the company is clearly not going to favor the entry into the market of Disney streaming videos.
Australia will have to nationalize the banks
Australia is the only country in the world where it managed to avoid the collapse of the real estate market in 2008. But the situation in the country no It's not as rosy as it may seem at first sight. In 2019, a country could suffer a catastrophe and banks and large companies will have to nationalize.
World Transportation Tax
By 2019, a Global Transport Tax (GTT) could be introduced. This is a surtax for the tonnage of vessels and the cost of airline tickets. In addition, its rate will be linked to CO2 emissions.
The sun will turn against investors
In 2019, the 25th cycle of solar activity will begin. The solar storm can fall on the Western Hemisphere. Most satellites in this hemisphere will be destroyed. The damage caused by a disaster of this magnitude will rise to about $ 2 trillion.
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