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The story continues (19659006) The outgoing representative of Texas, Beto O 'Rourke, who lost a Senate race last month, ranks third, at 11%. Senator of Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren at 8% Kamala Harris, California Senator, at 5%.
All other candidates have a support of less than 5%. Only 6% of survey respondents said they did not know who they would support after reading a list of 20.
Iowa is the first state in the presidential nomination process. The caucus winner won the Democratic presidential nomination in six consecutive election cycles, after his favorite son, Tom Harkin, won the 1992 vote.
The registry survey is a closely monitored barometer of state policy. Pollster Ann Selzer is a political celebrity in Iowa, equally divided for her track record of accuracy and the influence of caucus voting.
Most Democratic voters in Iowa, the survey says, give priority to eligibility. A majority, 54%, believes that it is more important that the caucus winner has a strong chance of defeating President Donald Trump in November 2020 – more than the 40% who feel that it is more important to To have a candidate who shares his positions on key issues.
And with a vast field of candidates that may include the experienced Biden – who has spent 36 years in the Senate and 8 years as a Vice President – and a three-term Congressman in O & # 39; Rourke , more and more voters say they want an "experienced hand". "Must face Trump (49%) to a newcomer (36%).
In addition to the top three candidates, the top candidates are New Jersey Senator Cory Booker (4%), former Mayor of New York Michael Bloomberg (3%) and Amy Klobuchar, Senator of Minnesota ( 3%). According to his campaign, four other candidates represent only 1%, including Maryland representative John Delaney, a declared candidate who has already visited 99 counties in Iowa.
Potential candidates who did not register any support were rich. businessman Tom Steyer, who aired ads in that state to brag about his willingness to dismiss Trump
Biden and Sanders, two nominees in contention, are also at the top of the name identification. Only 4% of voters said they did not know enough to have an opinion of each man. O'Rourke (36% has no opinion), Harris (41%) and Warren (16%) have a lower name ID.
Biden, in particular, stands out from the rest of the field. In addition to the 32% who say the former vice president is their preferred candidate, he is the second choice of 18% of the other likely caucus participants. Only 8% of caucus members say they never imagine voting for Biden.
He is also the most popular potential candidate: more than eight Democrats out of 10, or 82%, have a favorable opinion of Biden. Only 15% perceive it unfavorably.
Sanders is considered favorably by 74% of the Democratic caucus deputies and against 22% unfavorably.
The potential candidate with the greatest number of negative points: Bloomberg, Republican elected in New York. Forty percent of Democrats perceive it favorably, while 31 percent have an unfavorable opinion.
A long-time Democratic figure, however, is not welcome in the race: a large majority of caucuses, 72 percent, believe that candidate Hillary Clinton nominated for 2016 would "destroy" From the race to the presidency , while only 25% say that she would add to the race. And just about as many Democratic voters have an unfavorable view of Clinton (49%) that she considers it favorably (47%).
Clinton, who narrowly beat Sanders in the 2016 caucuses, says she will no longer run for the presidency. 19659004] The survey was conducted December 10-13 by Selzer & Company of West Des Moines. Of the 1,838 registered voters contacted, 455 said they would definitely or probably participate in a Democratic caucus early in 2020, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.
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