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Trump President 
Donald John Trump: Citizen Rights Figures Inaugurate Super Bowl With Raffle Congress Can Avoid National Discrimination Statement Troubled Howard Dean Calls for Northam's Resignation, reverses the GOP on the double standard PLUS Speech on the state of the Union Tuesday at one of the most vulnerable moments of his presidency – and his supporters as his critics are skeptical about the that it can reverse the situation.
The problem, they say, is that Trump's opinion has become even more deeply ingrained. , both for and against, since the partial closure of the government. It will be very difficult to move them even despite the pump and the circumstances of the annual event.
"Voter views on Trump are stalled and there is very little room to move there," said Doug Heye, a former communications officer. Director of the Republican National Committee (RNC).
The polarized atmosphere of the nation will also provoke reactions to speech.
"He could deliver an inspiring speech of the Franklin Delano Roosevelt type, and the Democrats would say that it was horrible and the Republicans would say that it was wonderful," said Tobe Berkovitz, a professor at the University of California. Boston University, specializing in political communications. "The answer is cooked even before it gets up there."
But if the state of the Union ends up not not give a real boost to the political momentum, it will be bad news for Trump
a serious political setback – a self-inflicted wound, in the eyes of his critics – at the 35-day closure in December and The episode sparked questions, even in the spirit of his loyal base, as to whether he was ever going to build the wall that he had promised at almost every stage of his life. his campaign of 2016.
The President, whose political appeal rests in partly on his claims of machismo and negotiating prowess, is also beaten by the president. Nancy Pelosi 
Nancy Patricia's Alesandro PelosiDems Fights an Internal Battle Against Bill Trump BDS Anticipates on the State of the Union Scott: The Emergency Statement Is Not My "First choice "for Trump to build the MORE wall (D-Calif.). The decision pulled down Trump's job approval ratings. In the average RealClearPolitics polls Monday afternoon, he was 41.2% approval and 55.5% disapproval. The differential – negative 14.3 points – is the largest for almost a year.
Allan Lichtman, a professor of history at the American University, claimed that the closure had damaged Trump, but he had also noted that the number of polls the president was moving within
"It it was much harder for him to extend beyond his main base, "said Lichtman. "Forget the Democrats – they'll never come back – but he's trapped in the independents."
Even the timing of this year's speech is a testament to Trump's problems. Initially scheduled for January 29, it was postponed after Pelosi pushed the president to postpone it until the closure was resolved. She will be behind him as President for the first time while he delivers the speech, a powerful visual reminder of the realities of the divided government that makes it difficult for Trump to achieve one of his legislative goals.
have a Democratic House, their goal is to elect someone who will take the place of President Trump, "said Ron Bonjean, GOP consultant. "It is not in the Democrats' interest to pass Trump's law."
The White House said Trump would nevertheless seek to make overtures to Democrats – and to launch a wider call for compromise – later this year. address. A senior administration official told reporters on Friday that Trump would "encourage Congress to reject policies of resistance and retaliation and instead adopt a spirit of cooperation and compromise so that we can achieve this".
This same manager also shared a course of action. The draft of Trump's speech, which consists in seeing him say: "Together we can break decades of political stalemate. We can overcome old divisions, heal old wounds, build new coalitions. "
That this really happens is a very different matter. But some observers believe Trump could get credit for at least having appeared in court.
"What he must do, in my opinion, is to show that he is reasonable in his demands," Berkovitz said. "Show that he thinks about it and says," Yes, that's what I want and here are some quiet reasons that motivate him. That will not change anyone's mind at that time, but at least it would have the aura of reasonableness. "
Regarding the substance, the administration officials said that Trump's speech would focus on five areas: immigration, trade, infrastructure, health care, the drug pricing and foreign policy.
As always with Trump, there will be a risk of surprises in the night.
Among the points of interest, there is the vigor with which he lambasts the Democrats; he'll discuss the controversy that revolves around Virginia Governor Ralph Northam (D); and how seriously it will threaten a second government shutdown if no agreement is reached before February 15, when the current spending restraint measure will be exhausted.
Some Republicans argue that it is important not to count Trump prematurely, as this has happened. Heye, the former communications director of RNC, said: "The country is visibly very polarized and I think its map seems closer this time than last time. But if you look at President Reagan's numbers, they were worse than Trump's, and he got off to a good start.
On the other side of the political divide, claims that Trump is increasingly politically impotent are becoming stronger. "There will be no wall. There will be no national emergency – or, if so, it will be before the Supreme Court, "said Democratic strategist Hank Sheinkopf. "He has no ability to do anything he talks about."
The memo is a chronicle reported by Niall Stanage, centered mainly on the presidency of Donald Trump.
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