The NBU reacted to the forecast of a possible hryvnia fall to 40.8 per dollar



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On July 12, the National Bank will announce an update of forecasts for the further development of the macroeconomic situation in Ukraine, according to the progress of cooperation with the International Monetary Fund.

This was reported by the regulator's press service, commenting the presentation with the forecast in the absence of new tranches of the IMF by the devaluation of the hryvnia at the end of the year. 39; year at 31.8 UAH / USD, and in this case even a decline in metal prices – up to 40.8 UAH / USD Read also: Dollar by 40: scenario NBU without slices IMF

"Updated forecasts, which will reflect the current vision of the National Bank for future development The macroeconomic situation, in particular according to the progress of cooperation with IMF will be made public at a press briefing on July 12 monetary policy and detailed in the 19 July Inflation Report, "reads the commentary. [19659002] It is noted that the National Bank is considering different scenarios for the Development of the situation to make the most effective decisions and protect the & # 39; economy against the potential risks by defining a baseline scenario with the highest probability of implementation.

Also in NBU it is recalled that, following the last discussion of the Monetary Policy Committee, the regulator is considering two different scenarios, depending on subsequent cooperation with IMF the most likely of which is the continuation of reforms and cooperation with the Fund.

At the same time, as explained in NBU the regulator studies and possible scenarios but less likely, on the basis of the assumption that there is no reforms and financial support for official creditors combined with other factors, including a change of situation in foreign markets.

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