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M Most politicians travel to Iowa to announce their intention to run for president. Tom Steyer made the trip to do the opposite. From Des Moines, he announced to the country that he would not run. He prefers to light his money.
Steyer will dedicate 2019 to continue his efforts to remove the current president by spending an additional $ 40 million.
This left political observers puzzled. His impeachment speech was always uplifting, which excites Vox bloggers, yes, but always for a broader purpose. The smart game would have been to incite the progressives to a frenzy about the impeachment, to collect all their relevant contact information, then to use this hysteria and those email addresses collected to fuel a race to the White House.
And for a moment, Steyer built exactly this type of primary fragmentation machine. He paid for TV commercials and conducted polls in the early primary states. He formed a team and appointed an acting campaign manager. As the New York Times reports, all that Steyer had to do was give the floor, his impeachment groups would turn overnight into presidential political machines.
But everything was for nothing. Steyer does not run.
"We have a lawless president who is eroding our democracy and the situation will only get worse," said Steyer in an announcement about Rachel Maddow's teleprompter.
"The elimination of Donald Trump's power ultimately determines whether or not we can meet all the challenges we face in America – and whether or not we continue to live in a democracy for, by, and by the people. It is high time for Congress members to fulfill their constitutional duty. The question that remains is: what will the Congress do? "
The obvious answer? Absolutely nothing. Why? The numbers say it.
If he has not already done so, Steyer should become familiar with Article I of the Constitution and the results of the last mid-term election. The House of Representatives must first vote to dismiss the president. This requires a simple majority, which is possible thanks to the constituency efforts of the new president, Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif. But then the Senate must decide whether to condemn or not. This requires a two-thirds majority, which is virtually impossible as long as Senator Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., Remains the leader of the majority.
There is simply not enough voices for the impeachment, and Steyer will have no voice until 2020, regardless of the amount of his budget.
This leaves the Democrats in a stalemate. They need to find another billionaire, and quickly. Howard Schultz or Michael Bloomberg, a model focused on the nanny, may be able to answer. Like Steyer, they have their own billions. Unlike Steyer, they will probably master basic political arithmetic.
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