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Its net approval rating (approval rating minus rating of disapproval) has always been negative.
New polls conclude however that the depth of opposition to Trump is much deeper than she's been in. was at Reagan. This suggests that Trump could have a much harder job reversing his bad grades than Reagan or actually any president in the modern polling era.
Compare that with a Garth analysis study done in February 1983 for Reagan (ie, at about the same point in the Reagan presidency). Only 32% of voters said they would certainly vote against Reagan, 31% considered voting for someone else and 26% said they would certainly support Reagan.
In other words, by a margin of 24 points, more citizens now say they will definitely vote against Trump in 2020 than those who said they would definitely vote against Reagan in the 1984 round. [19659006ItisinterestingtonotethatReaganandTrumphadsimilarsizedcorebasesThe26%whosaythattheywouldcertainlyvoteforReaganisonly2pointsbelowthe28%whosaytheywouldcertainlyvoteforTrump
However, Reagan had a whole series of potential supporters to whom Trump seems to be lacking. More than double the percentage of voters were at least willing to vote for Reagan (31%) compared to those they were willing to vote for Trump (14%). (Another 10% said that they did not know Reagan, while only 1% said it for Trump.) Together, those who would certainly vote for Reagan and who were considering voting for him reached 57% . For Trump, it only reaches 42%.
Indeed, for all presidents to whom this question was asked, Trump clearly has the strongest opposition.
Only 32% of respondents said in an Ipsos poll in January 2003 that they would definitely vote against George W. Bush. A majority of 40% said they would certainly vote for him, with 25% considering voting for Bush. Together, 65% said that they would at least consider voting for Bush.
Before we get carried away, I must obviously note that we are still in almost two years of elections in 2020. Many things can potentially happen to change these numbers.
But these statistics paint a very gloomy picture for the president. Anyone who thinks it will be easy for Trump to persuade his unbelievers to get deeply wrong.
The ABC News / Washington Post poll is the latest to suggest that Trump's opposition is much more stalled than suggested by popularity ratings.
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