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L The 115th Congress seems to have given up, as the House and Senate fail to reach an agreement to end the current government shutdown. This could ruin the 116th Congress over the border wall, where Trump will face a Democratic majority in the House. An agreement will not be good, but it would be a good lesson for Trump and another one that could set the stage for two productive years.
Since Democrats control the majority in the House, any new deal that lands on Trump's desk will have little chance of retaining Trump's funding for the wall. Given that Trump will not let the government stay in place until the end of his term, he will eventually have to sign an agreement to end the stalemate. This will be considered a capitulation for Representative Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., The likely new Speaker of the House.
This is not a good start for the new year. It also does not help Trump to convince his base that he is the man to stand up to the Democrats and keep the campaign promises before 2020.
However, in the long run, give a quick victory for Democrats in the House could wake up needed on the reality of a divided government.
Early awareness of the fact that a Democrat-controlled House is synonymous with more problems than investigations and subpoenas could push the President to sit down and to make agreements rather than simply demanding. In addition, Trump could learn to better assess Republican allies in Congress and listen to their advice on what is possible or not. Indeed, if he had followed this advice during the period before the holidays, the government would probably always open with an agreement on the allocation of credits, a final victory of the government under Republican control.
For conservatives, the president learns very early the hard lessons of a divided government and avoiding two years of stalemate would be an important step towards victory in 2020. However, a record of disagreement and disagreement The impasses will not convince anyone. The most loyal supporters that Republicans and Trump seriously consider governing.
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